Topic: S30 Ep 13 "My Word is My Bond"

[Ryan]

I know it's a long shot at this point, but I would rank this season 5-6 spots up on my all time is if Will gets voted out 4th. It would be SO SO SO SO SOOOOO satisfying to see a pathetic goat not make final tribal, and for Mike to slide in and take Sierra/Carolyn or Sierra/Rodney with him. He wins in every scenario that doesn't include Carolyn.

Even with Caro, he secures Jenn/Joe/Hali/Shirin and maybe Dan, because Carolyn voted Dan out too so Dan's not exactly just going to hand it to Carolyn.

Someone on the jury could be as stupid as to give a vote to Will or Rodney, or whoever that third person is in a Mike-Caro-??? F3 scenario. That means Mike wins 4-3-1 with a jury of 8.

Honestly, if Rodney gets put on the jury, he may vote for Mike since he's been so pissed at Mama C for not giving him a birthday reward. 

[David]

I know it's a long shot at this point, but I would rank this season 5-6 spots up on my all time is if Will gets voted out 4th. It would be SO SO SO SO SOOOOO satisfying to see a pathetic goat not make final tribal, and for Mike to slide in and take Sierra/Carolyn or Sierra/Rodney with him. He wins in every scenario that doesn't include Carolyn.

Even with Caro, he secures Jenn/Joe/Hali/Shirin and maybe Dan, because Carolyn voted Dan out too so Dan's not exactly just going to hand it to Carolyn.

Someone on the jury could be as stupid as to give a vote to Will or Rodney, or whoever that third person is in a Mike-Caro-??? F3 scenario. That means Mike wins 4-3-1 with a jury of 8.

Honestly, if Rodney gets put on the jury, he may vote for Mike since he's been so pissed at Mama C for not giving him a birthday reward. 

If it is a F3 (which is obvious), No Blue Collars will vote Mike nor Carolyn, I think.

[Ryan]

I know it's a long shot at this point, but I would rank this season 5-6 spots up on my all time is if Will gets voted out 4th. It would be SO SO SO SO SOOOOO satisfying to see a pathetic goat not make final tribal, and for Mike to slide in and take Sierra/Carolyn or Sierra/Rodney with him. He wins in every scenario that doesn't include Carolyn.

Even with Caro, he secures Jenn/Joe/Hali/Shirin and maybe Dan, because Carolyn voted Dan out too so Dan's not exactly just going to hand it to Carolyn.

Someone on the jury could be as stupid as to give a vote to Will or Rodney, or whoever that third person is in a Mike-Caro-??? F3 scenario. That means Mike wins 4-3-1 with a jury of 8.

Honestly, if Rodney gets put on the jury, he may vote for Mike since he's been so pissed at Mama C for not giving him a birthday reward. 

If it is a F3 (which is obvious), No Blue Collars will vote Mike nor Carolyn, I think.

If they send Sierra to the jury, and Mike or Mama C is there, Sierra will vote one of them. She will not vote for Will/Rodney, she just wants to stick with them to make them her goats at F3

[Glamazon Racer]

Am I the only one who thinks that Mike winning (as much as I hate it) is a foregone conclusion lmao

[Ryan]

Oh he's totes winning, and his win would be monumental in terms of impressive victories. If he wins the next two immunities, does he break the all-time male immunity record?

I think Ozzy et al. only had 5 total as a max for their seasons.

[Glamazon Racer]

It might be a record I guess. Tom and Colby had 5 too, I can't think of anybody else who may have had more?

[Nyoman_SB1]

I know it's a long shot at this point, but I would rank this season 5-6 spots up on my all time is if Will gets voted out 4th. It would be SO SO SO SO SOOOOO satisfying to see a pathetic goat not make final tribal, and for Mike to slide in and take Sierra/Carolyn or Sierra/Rodney with him. He wins in every scenario that doesn't include Carolyn.

Even with Caro, he secures Jenn/Joe/Hali/Shirin and maybe Dan, because Carolyn voted Dan out too so Dan's not exactly just going to hand it to Carolyn.

I don't think Dan will vote for Mike if Mike make it to the end. He hates Mike. He always talk crap about Mike at camp and  ponderosa. He considered himself a HERO, and played RESPECTABLE game 

[Hysha]

I think Will have more opportunities to win an IC than Rodney. xD
Rodney didn't throw the grappling hook once! He can't win anything for himself alone...

Dan will vote for the 3th member on the final. And I'm sure Will/Rodney they will make the same, if they are not in the final.
No Collar + Shirin will vote for Mike. If Mike is eliminated, maybe for Carolyn, or at least Sierra. I think Tyler will vote with No Collar + Shirin.

Their preference to vote I think will be:

Hali -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Joe -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Jenn -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Shirin -> Mike - Carolyn - Sierra - Rodney - Will
Tyler -> Mike - Carolyn - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Dan -> Rodney/Sierra/Will - Carolyn - Mike
//
Mike -> Carolyn - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Carolyn -> Mike - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Sierra -> Mike - Carolyn - Will - Rodney
Will -> Rodney - Sierra - Carolyn - Mike
Rodney -> Will - Sierra - Carolyn - Mike

So Mike has more options to win if he is in the final. Carolyn 2nd, Sierra 3rd, Will 4th, Rodney 5th.

If they are nice losers, they will vote for the best survivor. But if they are bad losers, they will vote Will or Rodney knowing they don't have skills to survive.

[katrarinka]

I know it's a long shot at this point, but I would rank this season 5-6 spots up on my all time is if Will gets voted out 4th. It would be SO SO SO SO SOOOOO satisfying to see a pathetic goat not make final tribal, and for Mike to slide in and take Sierra/Carolyn or Sierra/Rodney with him. He wins in every scenario that doesn't include Carolyn.

Even with Caro, he secures Jenn/Joe/Hali/Shirin and maybe Dan, because Carolyn voted Dan out too so Dan's not exactly just going to hand it to Carolyn.

I don't think Dan will vote for Mike if Mike make it to the end. He hates Mike. He always talk crap about Mike at camp and  ponderosa. He considered himself a HERO, and played RESPECTABLE game 

Dan will not vote for Mike, he will vote for Rodney, Sierra or Will

[katrarinka]

I think Will have more opportunities to win an IC than Rodney. xD
Rodney didn't throw the grappling hook once! He can't win anything for himself alone...

Dan will vote for the 3th member on the final. And I'm sure Will/Rodney they will make the same, if they are not in the final.
No Collar + Shirin will vote for Mike. If Mike is eliminated, maybe for Carolyn, or at least Sierra. I think Tyler will vote with No Collar + Shirin.

Their preference to vote I think will be:

Hali -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Joe -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Jenn -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Shirin -> Mike - Carolyn - Sierra - Rodney - Will
Tyler -> Mike - Carolyn - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Dan -> Rodney/Sierra/Will - Carolyn - Mike
//
Mike -> Carolyn - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Carolyn -> Mike - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Sierra -> Mike - Carolyn - Will - Rodney
Will -> Rodney - Sierra - Carolyn - Mike
Rodney -> Will - Sierra - Carolyn - Mike

So Mike has more options to win if he is in the final. Carolyn 2nd, Sierra 3rd, Will 4th, Rodney 5th.

If they are nice losers, they will vote for the best survivor. But if they are bad losers, they will vote Will or Rodney knowing they don't have skills to survive.

I total agree scenario! Bt I am not sure with Hali and Mike, and Tyler.
I think that Joe, Jenn and Shirin would vote for Mike, if he is in the final 3. I dont know about Hali, she is a question for me, she didnt even know that Will turned on them. And also would Tyler vote for Carolyn who turned on him? I dont think so. I am also not sure if he would vote for Mike. And Mike said he is blue blue - so woudnt he vote for Sierra instead of Carolyn? But I am not sure, Carolyn played better game and they have a relationship.
Hali -> Sierra - Mike - Carolyn -Rodney -  Will
Tyler -> Will - Rodney - Mike - Carolyn - Sierra

[Hysha]

I think Will have more opportunities to win an IC than Rodney. xD
Rodney didn't throw the grappling hook once! He can't win anything for himself alone...

Dan will vote for the 3th member on the final. And I'm sure Will/Rodney they will make the same, if they are not in the final.
No Collar + Shirin will vote for Mike. If Mike is eliminated, maybe for Carolyn, or at least Sierra. I think Tyler will vote with No Collar + Shirin.

Their preference to vote I think will be:

Hali -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Joe -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Jenn -> Mike - Carolyn/Sierra - Will - Rodney
Shirin -> Mike - Carolyn - Sierra - Rodney - Will
Tyler -> Mike - Carolyn - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Dan -> Rodney/Sierra/Will - Carolyn - Mike
//
Mike -> Carolyn - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Carolyn -> Mike - Sierra - Will - Rodney
Sierra -> Mike - Carolyn - Will - Rodney
Will -> Rodney - Sierra - Carolyn - Mike
Rodney -> Will - Sierra - Carolyn - Mike

So Mike has more options to win if he is in the final. Carolyn 2nd, Sierra 3rd, Will 4th, Rodney 5th.

If they are nice losers, they will vote for the best survivor. But if they are bad losers, they will vote Will or Rodney knowing they don't have skills to survive.

I total agree scenario! Bt I am not sure with Hali and Mike, and Tyler.
I think that Joe, Jenn and Shirin would vote for Mike, if he is in the final 3. I dont know about Hali, she is a question for me, she didnt even know that Will turned on them. And also would Tyler vote for Carolyn who turned on him? I dont think so. I am also not sure if he would vote for Mike. And Mike said he is blue blue - so woudnt he vote for Sierra instead of Carolyn? But I am not sure, Carolyn played better game and they have a relationship.
Hali -> Sierra - Mike - Carolyn -Rodney -  Will
Tyler -> Will - Rodney - Mike - Carolyn - Sierra

Ponderosa! The others will tell Hali how are the things.
Do you really think Tyler will prefer Will or Rodney to win, rather than Mike or Carolyn? I don't think so. He looks so loyal and smart.

[paradoxinee]

Hali, Joe, Jen, Shirin and Tyler will vote for the best player, even if they voted out you.
Dan will vote for who is not Mike (& Carolyn, maybe).
Sierra will vote for Mike or Carolyn if she is in Jury
Mike will vote for Carolyn or Sierra if he is in Jury
Carolyn will vote for Mike or Sierra if she is in Jury
Will votes for Rodney
Rodney votes for Will

[Hysha]

Hali, Joe, Jen, Shirin and Tyler will vote for the best player, even if they voted out you.
Dan will not vote for who is not Mike (& Carolyn, maybe).
Sierra will vote for Mike or Carolyn if she is in Jury
Mike will vote for Carolyn or Sierra if he is in Jury
Carolyn will vote for Mike or Sierra if she is in Jury
Will votes for Rodney
Rodney votes for Will

That's it.

[katrarinka]

Hali, Joe, Jen, Shirin and Tyler will vote for the best player, even if they voted out you.
Dan will not vote for who is not Mike (& Carolyn, maybe).
Sierra will vote for Mike or Carolyn if she is in Jury
Mike will vote for Carolyn or Sierra if he is in Jury
Carolyn will vote for Mike or Sierra if she is in Jury
Will votes for Rodney
Rodney votes for Will

I hope so. Because Will or Rodney as a winner. 
That's it.

[Ryan]

No chance Tyler votes for Will after spending that time with Shirin at Ponderosa.