The Amazing Race > The Amazing Race Discussion
Ranking the Teams -- A basis for comparing all teams (TAR 1 - 33)
theschnauzers:
I'm seriously having a tough time right now, especially without a schnauzer and badly needing to find one to adopt. I've got a lot going on, and losing that sweet Edie hasn't helped. I've had a really hard time sleeping and the weather here (20 degrees above normal, and pine pollen everywhere) is not helping.
Anyhow, I finally got to updating the projections, and here they are.
Lowest Placement for a final three team
5.1818
Lowest Placement by winning team
3.6153
Assuming best remaining performances are 4 placement points for 4 remaining legs, and 17 placement points for worse possible performance is (5-5-4-3) to reach final 3 and finish mat and two more eliminations, 1 NEL and final leg)
Jet-Cord 2.8750 23/8
27/12-40/12
Predicted range (2.2500 to 3.3333)
Note if J-C were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 3.1666.
Carol-Brandy 3.8750 31/8
35/12-48/12
Predicted range (2.9133 to 4.0000)
Note if C-B were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 3.8333.
Louie-Michael 4.5000 36/8
40/12-53/12
Predicted range (3.3333 to 4.4166)
Note if L-M were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.2500
Brent-Caite 5.5000 44/8
48/12-61/12
Predicted range (4.0000 to 5.0866)
Note if B-C were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.9133
Jordan-Daniel 5.5000 44/8
48/12-61/12
Predicted range (4.0000 to 5.0866)
Note if J-D were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.9133
What this tells us:
With four legs remaining, Jet-Cord have become the favorites, now, with Steve-Allie out of the Race. Carol-Brandy have a decent chance with the three other remaining teams steadily moving out of range to win, but still have a decent chance for Final 3.
everbloom:
At the rate this is going, it's most likely either the cowboys really win this thing, or a team will top Eric and Danielle for worst team to ever win based on performance.
Dånooky:
What I like of this season so far is that the leader board is much harder to predict than Season 4 :lol:
everbloom:
True. What with a complete reversal of finishes and inconsistent teams!
By the way, is it just me who noticed Carol/Brandy's alternating finishes between 2nd and 5th?
Hooky:
--- Quote from: Dånooky ✟ on April 08, 2010, 09:25:20 PM ---What I like of this season so far is that the leader board is much harder to predict than Season 4 :lol:
--- End quote ---
1st, 9th, 1st, 9th. Enough said. :lol:
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