The Amazing Race > The Amazing Race Discussion

Ranking the Teams -- A basis for comparing all teams (TAR 1 - 33)

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Caelestor:
Dan/Jordan are becoming more competent every week.  :tup:

Hooky:
Steve & Allie are now the strongest team by average placing! But there isn't really a dominant team this season. :wohoo:

theschnauzers:
Here's an updated projection of final placement ranges for the teams after leg 7:

Lowest Placement for a final three team
5.1818
Lowest Placement by winning team
3.6153

Assuming best remaining performances are 5 placement points for 5 remaining legs, and 20 placement points for worse possible performance is (5-5-4-3-3) to reach final 3 and finish mat and three more eliminations, 1 NEL and final leg)

Jet-Cord   3.1428   22/7
      27/12-42/12
Predicted range (2.2500 to 3.5000)
Note if J-C were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 3.3333.

Steve-Allison   3.0000   21/7
      26/12-41/12
Predicted range (2.1666 to 3.4133)
Note if S-A were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 3.2500.

Carol-Brandy   4.1428   29/7
      34/12-49/12
Predicted range (2.8333 to 4.0833)
Note if C-B were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 3.9133.

Louie-Michael   4.7142   33/7
      38/12-53/12
Predicted range (3.1666 to 4.4166)
Note if L-M were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.1666

Brent-Caite    5.7142   40/7
      45/12-60/12
Predicted range (3.7500 to 5.0000)
Note if B-C were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.8333

Jordan-Daniel    5.5714   39/7
      44/12-59/12
Predicted range (3.6666 to 4.9133)
Note if J-D were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.7500


What this tells us:
With the “first is last, last is first” outcome in leg 7, all of the teams are now projected to be above the worse performing final three threshold.
Two teams are above the first place threshold even at the highest end of their projected range, while two other teams have prediction ranges that are outside of the first place threshold.

WalterC:
Reading this thread, it's like debating who the best quarterback of all-time is. Very interesting!

theschnauzers:
Team      This Week   Week 7      Week 6      Week 5      Trend
Jet-Cord   2.8750   23/8   (3.1428)   (2.6666)   (2.4000)   Stable
Carol-Brandy   3.8750   31/8   (4.1428)   (4.0000)   (4.4000)   Rising Slowly
Louie-Michael   4.5000   36/8   (4.7142)   (4.8333)   (5.6000)   Rising Slowly
Jordan-Daniel    5.5000   44/8   (5.5714)   (6.1666)   (6.4000)   Rising
Brent-Caite    5.5000   44/8   (5.7142)   (6.1666)   (6.2000)   Rising Slowly

Steve-Allison   3.3750   27/8
Jeff-Jordan   5.6666   34/6
Joseph-Heidi    4.4000   22/5   
Monique-Shawne 5.3333   16/3
Jody-Shannon    10.0000   20/2
Adrian-Dana    11.0000   11/1   

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