The Amazing Race > The Amazing Race Discussion
Ranking the Teams -- A basis for comparing all teams (TAR 1 - 33)
apskip:
--- Quote from: everbloom on April 08, 2010, 11:41:30 PM ---True. What with a complete reversal of finishes and inconsistent teams!
By the way, is it just me who noticed Carol/Brandy's alternating finishes between 2nd and 5th?
--- End quote ---
No, I didn't because the record for then is:
6th
3rd
3rd
5th
5th
2nd
5th
2nd
Everbloom, you are one of many trying to discover non-existent patterns but thank you after-the-fact for correcting my typo reversing Carol and Brandy's legs 7 and 8.
everbloom:
--- Quote from: apskip on April 10, 2010, 09:14:46 AM ---
--- Quote from: everbloom on April 08, 2010, 11:41:30 PM ---True. What with a complete reversal of finishes and inconsistent teams!
By the way, is it just me who noticed Carol/Brandy's alternating finishes between 2nd and 5th?
--- End quote ---
No, I didn't because the record for then is:
6th
3rd
3rd
5th
5th
2nd
2nd
5th
Everbloom, you are one of many trying to discover non-existent patterns.
--- End quote ---
Found it on Wikipedia. Check it out. They were 2nd on this leg...and we all know what came before this.
theschnauzers:
I could always post my compiled record of placements by season that shows each leg. (And I have all of the uberleg midpoints which Wikipedia doesn't have.) :lol:
theschnauzers:
I hope someone asks Carol about her schnauzer. It would cheer me up.
Here's the placements afyer leg 9. With Carol-Brandy out of the mix, the remaining final four teams stayed in place this week:
Team This Week Week 8 Week 7 Week 6 Week 5 Trend
Jet-Cord 2.8888 26/9 (2.8750) (3.1428) (2.6666) (2.4000) Stable
Louie-Michael 4.4444 40/9 (4.5000) (4.7142) (4.8333) (5.6000) Stable
Jordan-Daniel 5.0000 45/9 (5.5000) (5.5714) (6.1666) (6.4000) Rising
Brent-Caite 5.1111 46/9 (5.5000) (5.7142) (6.1666) (6.2000) Rising Slowly
Carol-Brandy 4.0000 36/9
Steve-Allison 3.3750 27/8
Jeff-Jordan 5.6666 34/6
Joseph-Heidi 4.4000 22/5
Monique-Shawne 5.3333 16/3
Jody-Shannon 10.0000 20/2
Adrian-Dana 11.0000 11/1
theschnauzers:
Lowest Placement for a final three team
5.1818
Lowest Placement by winning team
3.6153
Assuming best remaining performances are 3 placement points for 3 remaining legs, and 10 placement points for worse possible performance is (4-3-3) to reach final 3 and finish mat and one NEL, one more eliminations, and final leg)
Jet-Cord 2.8888 26/9
29/12-36/12
Predicted range (2.4166 to 3.0000)
Note if J-C were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 2.8333.
Louie-Michael 4.4444 40/9
43/12-50/12
Predicted range (3.5833 to 4.1666)
Note if L-M were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.000
Jordan-Daniel 5.0000 45/9
48/12-55/12
Predicted range (4.0000 to 4.5866)
Note if J-D were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.4166
Brent-Caite 5.1111 46/9
49/12-56/12
Predicted range (4.0833 to 4.6666)
Note if B-C were to perform with barely surviving finishes but win final leg, they’d end up with 4.5000
What this tells us:
With four teams remaining, Jet-Cord have become the heavy stastical favorites, period. Louie/Michael would have to win all three remaining legs to avoid becoming the worse averaging winning team ever.
All four teams have a decent or better chance of being final three. None of the teams can finish with an acerage as low as the worse performing final three team. There isn’t much to go on as to which team is most likely to be the last eliminated team, but since next week has to logically be a NEL, there’s still one more leg to factor in to see if a favorite for elimination emerges.
One statistical oddity. At this point in the Race, all team acerages will tend to improve, especially for the teams whose current placement average is at 4.0000 or higher. Jet-Cord on the other hand could still raise their average closer to or above 3.000, as their average is lower than 4.000.
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page
[*] Previous page
Go to full version