Start date speculation...
Again, I'm going to try to predict when they might start filming TAR 16 by analyzing past dates... eventually I'll get this right.
My guess makes a few assumptions:
TAR 16 premiers on February 14. Week after Superbowl - dissenting opinions welcome.
WRP needs an average of 109 days to edit. TAR 15 took 71 days - which accounts for the lousy editing job. Will the editors work over the Christmas holidays? I'll give them 79 days to edit.
(Note - the days to edit column is calculated from the start date to the air date. I should probably throw out the edit days for TAR 1 when calculating the average.)
Race will start on a Friday.
They probably won't race over Christmas holidays - but Hanukkah is fair game. Will they start on Thanksgiving or Black Friday? Maybe if the race doesn't start in the USA.
So my guess - Friday November 27 to start racing.Race Start Date End Date Dur. Air Date Edit Days
TAR 16 Friday 2009-11-27 Los Angeles, California, Probably, Outside USA, maybe Friday 2009-12-18 USA West Coast, Probably 22 2010-02-14 79
TAR 15 Saturday 2009-07-18 Los Angeles, California, (LA River) Friday 2009-08-07 LV, Nevada or CA desert 22 2009-09-20 71
TAR 14 Friday 2008-10-31 Los Angeles, California, (Los Alamitos Naval Base) Saturday 2008-11-22 Maui, Hawaii 22 2009-02-15 107
TAR 13 Tuesday 2008-04-22 Los Angeles, California, (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum) Wednesday 2008-05-14 Portland, Oregon 22 2008-09-28 159
TAR 12 Sunday 2007-07-08 Los Angeles, California, (The Playboy Mansion) Sunday 2007-07-29 Anchorage, Alaska 21 2007-11-04 119
TAR 11 Monday 2006-11-20 Miami, Florida, (Charles Deering Historic Estate) Sunday 2006-12-17 San Francisco, California 27 2007-02-18 90
TAR 10 Saturday 2006-05-27 Seattle, Washington, (Gas Works Park) Saturday 2006-06-24 New York City, New York 28 2006-09-17 113
TAR 9 Monday 2005-11-07 Morrison, Colorado, (Red Rocks Amphitheatre) Saturday 2005-12-03 Morrison, Colorado 26 2006-02-28 113
TAR 8 Thursday 2005-07-07 New York City, New York , (Brooklyn Bridge) Sunday 2005-07-31 Lewiston, New York 24 2005-09-27 82
TAR 7 Saturday 2004-11-20 Long Beach, California, (Queen Mary Museum Ship) Sunday 2004-12-19 Fort Lauderdale, Florida 30 2005-03-01 101
TAR 6 Friday 2004-08-13 Chicago, Illinois, (Buckingham Fountain) Sunday 2004-09-12 Chicago, Illinois 30 2004-11-16 95
TAR 5 Friday 2004-01-30 Santa Monica, California, (Santa Monica Pier) Friday 2004-02-27 Dallas, Texas 28 2004-07-06 158
TAR 4 Saturday 2003-01-18 Los Angeles, California, (Dodger Stadium) Friday 2003-02-14 Phoenix, Arizona 27 2003-05-29 131
TAR 3 Friday 2002-08-09 Everglades National Park, Florida Saturday 2002-09-07 Seattle, Washington 29 2002-10-02 54
TAR 2 Tuesday 2002-01-08 Pahrump, Nevada Tuesday 2002-02-05 Marin County, California 28 2002-03-11 62
TAR 1 Thursday 2001-03-08 New York City, New York, (Central Park) Sunday 2001-04-08 New York City, New York 31 2001-09-05 181Most frequent start days:
Sunday -1
Monday - 2
Tuesday - 2
Wednesday - 0
Thursday - 2
Friday - 4
Saturday - 4
Most frequent end days:
Sunday - 6
Monday - 0
Tuesday - 1
Wednesday - 1
Thursday - 0
Friday - 3
Saturday - 4
Average edit days - 109