So, when do we believe TAR30 will film?
We don't know. It WILL film, but I do not believe it will be in 2016. There are no signs for casting at all right now, DESPITE that old update.
The first thing we need is a date for 29. My guess is that will be next Jan/Feb. It will be ready to go soon (or is already) so not ruling out a very late fall Premiere...but as we lose time and there is no obvious slot for us, it looks to me that 2017 is more likely. They are going to want this to do well, so we WANT them to find us a good spot.
WHEN 30 will film MIGHT have something to do with when 29 starts...so I think it is up in the air right now. I expect them to have a route worked out. Casting could happen quickly IF they use previous casting finalists or previous racers. But right now there is NO EVIDENCE for any casting or filming, in fact we have evidence suggesting it will not happen anytime soon.
I personally think TAR will continue as a once a year show after 30. But we don't know.
What we need is for 29 to be a big success, so will be asking all of you to support it as best you can. We know from spoilers this should be a really good one, so FINGERS CROSSED!