Here from my posting on BLOWS (to make it easier on you):
It is time to try to put together what we know so we can fill in the blanks of what we don't know - like who wins and who is eliminated.
First. The teams start off in LaLibella, Ethiopia at their pit stop. Since they all seemed to have arrived during the daylight hours of the afternoon, they will be leaving in the dark hours of early morning. I imagine that they would be directed to return to the local airport and sign up for one of two charters to take them back to Addis Ababa (but since we only have five teams now maybe they are on only one charter) But in any case we will have another good ole bunching as the first plane does not leave until the sun has risen. We have a shot of the same plane they arrived in (small two engine turbo prop) taking off from a rural airstip in what looks like early morning light.
Second. We have teams running again through the Addis Ababa airport lobby and out the door. Most likely they have been told in the route information to find a cab and proceed to the Ethiopian National Stadium for their next clue. We have shots of taxies racing through the streets. Arriving at the stadium, they must form teams with Ethiopian track stars. We see them in their distinctive Olympic green and red uniforms with Ethiopia on their chests. Another possible bunching as they wait for the statium to open. The teams are made up as follows: Racer with no.1, a female Ethiopian racer; she runs one lap and hands off to the no. 2 racer a female member of the team (we see Kris and Lori) who runs one lap and hands off to the no. 3 racer a male Ethiopian racer who runs one lap and hands off to the no. 4 racer the final male member of the team (Bolo and Jon). Bolo is way ahead of two other teams who are on the track at the same time; Bolo is nearing the finish line in front of the stands and has just passed a No.3 male Ethopian with a baton still in his hand (so he has not passed off to the No. 4 racer yet),and a female no. 1 is just coming up with the baton still in her hand. So Bolo is smoking one team by one lap and another team by 3 laps! But this just means he will get to the airport for a longer wait than the others.
Fourth:At the conclusion of the race (don't know if they are competing against each other - that would really be a strain if the losing teams had to race again - so it is probably against a time limit, and if you don't meet the time, you must run again - perish the thought.) the team receives the next route clue which tels them to proceed back to the airport and arrange for a flight to Colombo, Sri Lanka. Ah yes, still another chance for everyone to bunch up once again (We have remarks by Jon and Kris about everyone catching up, so maybe they do win the first relay race) Travelocity lists flights on Ethopian Airlines to Colombo, Sri Lanka connecting in Dubai. Planes leave Addis Ababa either at 1PM or 2:20PM (depending on the day) and arrive in Colombo starting at 5:30AM the next morning (connecting flights also arrive at 5:40, and 6:05AM)
Fifth:After a round-about flight from Addis Ababa, to Dubai, to Colombo, Sri Lanka, they get their next route marker which tells them to go by tuk-tuk to the Fort Railway Station and catch a train going south to Galle. A beautiful ride along the Western Coast.
Sixth: In Galle, again they find tuk tuks to take them to a rural location where they discover the clue for the DETOUR. Either score a goal at the polo pitch of the Ceylon Elephant Polo Association (their headquarters are in the town of Weligama, 15 miles from Galle but they also hold tournaments in Galle) by riding on an elephant steered and driven by a mahout. Or they have to climb a palm, walk a wire and become a Toddy Tapper. So it is either ride and score or climb and walk. We have established Bolo and Lori and Aaron and Hayden on the high wire; and Freddy and Kendra on the elephant (she has just scored a goooooooooooaaaaaaaaaaaaaal). No sign of either Adam and Rebecca or Kris and Jon at the Detour. Just another note. We have a scene of Bolo and Lori in a green tuk tuk passing Adam and Rebecca in a Red (?) tuk tuk. Bolo is wearing a yellow shirt so this is after the train ride; and Adam looks clean shaven. Not quite sure where this fits but it is a ruarl setting so it may be on the way to the Detour.
Seventh: After the detour task they get a route marker telling them to again take a train back to Colombo and make connections north to Habarane-Sigiriya and find the Lion Rock for their next clue. We don't have anything concrete here, but according to the Sri Lanka Railroad Time Table and Map, trains from Galle to Sigiriya must go back to Colombo and make a connection. Here is where I think Adam and Rebecca have their BIG SCENE. It is clear from various pictures that they are at the Fort Station, but it is not clear whether this is before or after the trip to Galle. Since we have seen them in a tuk tuk on a rural road being passed by Bolo and Lori, I suspect that they have returned to Colombo and missed their connection to Sigiriya. In his blowup, Adam now has at least a full days growth of beard, so it probably is after the trip to Galle.
Eighth: The ROADBLOCK is to climb the Lion Rock and using binoculars locate a flag in the distance which is the Pit Stop. We had a similar task in Paris, I do believe. The only people we have established at the Lion Rock in Sigiriya are Kris and Jon, and Lori and Bolo. Both Jon and Lori are shown with cards with red tops (detour clues). Lori has trouble and had to come back to Bolo to get the rest of the clue. We have no idea where the other teams are; whether they are ahead or behind the two teams shown.
Promos on The Early Show this morning definitely say that they will have the next team castaway on the show Wednesday morning so this will, indeed, be an elimination leg.
So to make some purely guesses:
First to the Pit Stop: Either Kris and Jon; or Hayden and Aaron.
Eliminated: Either Bolo and Lori; or Adam and Rebecca (but as Shakespeare has said I think the lady protesteth too much, and CBS has been playing the Adam and Rebecca blowup and their possible quitting too much.)
The team blowing out the other in the race: Bolo and Lori
The team with another falling apart: Adam and Rebecca
The team with trouble reading directions: Bolo and Lori
The team with fear of heights: Hayden and Aaron.