Ciera Eastin (original Bayon, Ta Keo after 1st swap, Ta Keo after 2nd swap)
Following Episode 7 (the merge): Ciera's stock took the biggest hit as the result of Kass' elimination. While I felt all along that Ciera would outlast Kass, she was exposed by Kass' outburst. Andrew Savage was correct in viewing her as the greatest threat for causing trouble down the road. I enjoyed Ciera's speech at tribal council about playing to win. It was much more eloquent and on point than Stephen Fishbach's tear-filled private confessional in the previous episode. If nothing else, it may have shown her tribemates that they can still work with her toward going further toward their goals, since everyone there naturally wants to reach the end, and she has the mindset for achieving that and not falling victim to an earlier than expected elimination (a.k.a. blindside). Her speech alone might motivate the rest of her tribe to work with her on eliminating the perceived biggest threats for winning the game, which I feel will spare her for several votes, and I would assume Savage, Joe, and Keith (collateral damage from Joe) would be her primary targets. She did cast a vote for Savage, going against her and Kass' discussion about voting for Tasha, perhaps as a sign to her tribe to keep an eye on him. Despite this setback, I still believe Ciera can win the game for the same reasons I noted in early episodes, because she will achieve the same sort of voting maneuvers that will earn her respect from veterans of the game while not being as abrasive as Kass.