What IF and this is a big What if somehow, Jet & Cord got eliminated very early in TAR16?
Let's say... oh! They left the airport last during the 1st leg, so if they had terrible luck for the rest of the day... oh wait, Dana & Adrian failing the roadblock.
Okay, leg 2: They're too clever to find the correct bus.
Fine, leg 3: Still ahead.
Leg 4 then: NEL
Leg 5: let's say they were a threat, and they were U-turned: If the Detectives U-turned them... well, they'll be clever enough to still stay in the race.
It's almost impossible to eliminate them early, because they are famous for falling behind then catching up.
I think TAR18 is easier to predict than TAR16.