Archive > The Amazing Race 18 Spoilers and Speculation
TAR 18 - CAST/Locations: Bitch and Moan and Squeal here! lol
Dånooky:
--- Quote from: the-pr0phet on November 29, 2010, 11:31:13 AM ---
--- Quote from: graytex on November 29, 2010, 11:23:22 AM ---Looks like the first 3 eliminations are all TAR14 alumni. So much for having 5 teams from that season!
--- End quote ---
This can mostly b contributed 2 probability.
--- End quote ---
Sorry to tell you that you fell into a fallacy, because the probability for three consecutive S14 teams to be eliminated is close to 6%.
USsoccer:
--- Quote from: Dånooky on November 29, 2010, 11:35:40 AM ---
--- Quote from: the-pr0phet on November 29, 2010, 11:31:13 AM ---
--- Quote from: graytex on November 29, 2010, 11:23:22 AM ---Looks like the first 3 eliminations are all TAR14 alumni. So much for having 5 teams from that season!
--- End quote ---
This can mostly b contributed 2 probability.
--- End quote ---
Sorry to tell you that you fell into a fallacy, because the probability for three consecutive S14 teams to be eliminated is close to 6%.
--- End quote ---
True, but the first three eliminations of a S14 team had probabilities of 45.5%, 40% and 33%. That's still pretty high odds if you are in Vegas...
Mandoli:
--- Quote from: USsoccer on November 29, 2010, 11:50:38 AM ---
--- Quote from: Dånooky on November 29, 2010, 11:35:40 AM ---
--- Quote from: the-pr0phet on November 29, 2010, 11:31:13 AM ---
--- Quote from: graytex on November 29, 2010, 11:23:22 AM ---Looks like the first 3 eliminations are all TAR14 alumni. So much for having 5 teams from that season!
--- End quote ---
This can mostly b contributed 2 probability.
--- End quote ---
Sorry to tell you that you fell into a fallacy, because the probability for three consecutive S14 teams to be eliminated is close to 6%.
--- End quote ---
True, but the first three eliminations of a S14 team had probabilities of 45.5%, 40% and 33%. That's still pretty high odds if you are in Vegas...
--- End quote ---
It's better odds, so you know you're not going to get a huge payday from it. It's like horse racing - you pick the underdog and the underdog wins, you're getting a fortune. You play it safe by picking the horse that has the best odds to win and it wins? You don't get as much.
selkie:
--- Quote from: Dånooky on November 25, 2010, 06:15:46 PM ---Colombia has been visited by TARLA before and it hasn't been touched by TAR. Conclusion: there are different security standards for different versions of TAR.
--- End quote ---
I also suspect that insurance costs to shoot in certain locales have gone up as the overall TAR Classic budget has been reduced. I'm still kind of impressed that they were able to film in Sri Lanka during something of a lull in Tamil Tiger activity. IMO, that's a more dangerous place than Indonesia or Colombia.
Back to the squees. I'm very glad to see Kynt and Vyxsin for a second time around. They're one of those teams that amused me with seemingly random skill sets like Vyxsin's cheerful "I used to macrame" or Kynt breaking out his old high school marching band moves on a Detour task.
Prophet:
--- Quote from: Mandoli on November 29, 2010, 12:31:47 PM ---
--- Quote from: USsoccer on November 29, 2010, 11:50:38 AM ---
--- Quote from: Dånooky on November 29, 2010, 11:35:40 AM ---
--- Quote from: the-pr0phet on November 29, 2010, 11:31:13 AM ---
--- Quote from: graytex on November 29, 2010, 11:23:22 AM ---Looks like the first 3 eliminations are all TAR14 alumni. So much for having 5 teams from that season!
--- End quote ---
This can mostly b contributed 2 probability.
--- End quote ---
Sorry to tell you that you fell into a fallacy, because the probability for three consecutive S14 teams to be eliminated is close to 6%.
--- End quote ---
True, but the first three eliminations of a S14 team had probabilities of 45.5%, 40% and 33%. That's still pretty high odds if you are in Vegas...
--- End quote ---
It's better odds, so you know you're not going to get a huge payday from it. It's like horse racing - you pick the underdog and the underdog wins, you're getting a fortune. You play it safe by picking the horse that has the best odds to win and it wins? You don't get as much.
--- End quote ---
:whever: I was just making an offhand comment.
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