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Millionaire "Tournament of 10"

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Here's something that's new and different. Millionaire started broadcasting today the Touronament of 10 series of 10 shows. Here 's how it works:

1. There is a pool of 10 qualifiers, one who won $250K, 4 who won $100K and 5 who won $50K and used 1 minute 13 seconds to 2 minutes 19 seconds. Each day they move up from the bottom of that list to ask a $1,000,000 question. If that individual chooses to answer it, they forfeit all but $25,000 of their original winnings. If they get it right, then they either establish the first position as a potential $1 million winner or they knock out the already established person from that.

2. The regular show goes on till the end of the 3rd commercial, then it flips into Tournament mode for the last short segment, in which contestants have the amount of time remaining form their original allotment plus 45 seconds to answer a very tough question. This was over 3 mintues for the bottom qualifier. They are discouraged from doing so by several things, the forfeiture of their winnings the primary one, the fact that there are no Lifelines available (very common when you reach the $1 million question) and no access to the Internet (which you do not have in the studio but your Phone a Friend will inthe unlikely event that you still have that lifeline). The odds for these questions are barely above 25% that someone will get it right since it's going to be a guess.

3. Let me examine the probabilities here. A $25,000 forfeit( it could be more for the laster contestants) is compared to a 25% of maybe getting $1 million. I am assuming that anyone who gets the $1 million question right will at least get their original winnings back if they are knocked out. So the upside is either a 25% probability of return of the $50,000, a net present value of $12,500, or a net present value of $250,000. I don't know how to estimate the chances of that but as you can see it would take only about a 16% chance of ultimately winning the big prize to break even on this bet. I would take the risk if I were competing.

4. Today's first contestant, Alex Ortiz, got this question:
Which First Lady is a 9th generation descendant of Pocohontas?
Helen Taft
Bess Truman
Edith Wilson
Mamie Eisenhower

Now that's a tough question and one with an equal probability of any answer being right unless you are lucky enough to know it. Alex refused to guess so she could keep her winnings. The correct answer was Edith Wilson.

Coutzy:
This sounds kind of similar to a new version of Millionaire that we have called Millionaire Hot Seat.

6 contestants begin, with one contestant answering questions at a time, all contestants play for the same money tree, that only one person can win.

A contestant stays in the hot seat until they either get a question wrong, or pass the question to the next contestant and join the back of the line, where they must hope that everybody else passes a question on so they can get back into the hot seat. (A contestant cannot pass on a question that has been passed to them.)

The top prize starts at 5 Million AUD, but every time a contestant answers incorrectly, the price drops dramatically (Usually the overall winner walks away with anything from $100,000 to $250,000)

Most importantly, contestants only have 20 seconds to answer each question, and they get no lifelines, except for the ability to pass one question.

apskip:
Today's $1 million question was another tough one:

Which one of these individuals died as a result of chasing a chicken in snow to test food preservation?
Archimedes
Plato
Francis Bacon
Issac Newton

The correct answer was Francis Bacon. The contestant thought it was but did not submit that. He walked with his original $50,000.

 

Coutzy:
fwiw I think Plato died because a bird dropped a turtle on his head... I think.

apskip:

--- Quote from: Coutzy on November 11, 2009, 12:35:15 AM ---fwiw I think Plato died because a bird dropped a turtle on his head... I think.

--- End quote ---
Coutzy, There is little on it and none of it helpful to answer this question. I am going with this:
Plato
Born: 427 BC - Died: 347 BC
Cause of Death: Natural causes
Now, natural causes does not mean turtles dropped on head!

However, I have verified the death of Francis Bacon, which is one of the most ludicrous chain of events in history:
Aubrey's vivid account, which portrays Bacon as a martyr to experimental scientific method, has him journeying to Highgate through the snow with the King's physician when he is suddenly inspired by the possibility of using the snow to preserve meat. "They were resolved they would try the experiment presently. They alighted out of the coach and went into a poor woman's house at the bottom of Highgate hill, and bought a fowl, and made the woman exenterate it". After stuffing the fowl with snow, he happened to contract a fatal case of pneumonia. Some people, including Aubrey, consider these two contiguous, possibly coincidental events as related and causative of his death: "The Snow so chilled him that he immediately fell so extremely ill, that he could not return to his Lodging ... but went to the Earle of Arundel's house at Highgate, where they put him into ... a damp bed that had not been layn-in ... which gave him such a cold that in 2 or 3 days as I remember Mr Hobbes told me, he died of Suffocation."

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