I think Dan has made a huge mistake today. He's PO'd Keesha and Renny, Renny in particular sees what Dan was trying to do, make Keesha the target in case she gets to the end. Everyone will be hating on her and not on Dan, the poor innocent little guy who only wants to make a good show.
I don't think Memphis is buying all this either. Ultimately no one is going to trust Dan, they had suspicions before because of the AP thing, and wearing the rain coat. (Which btw, he was wearing it during the eviction, they could have wondered then and put on more clothes. They already knew it had something to do with ropes.)
This is almost as bad as April asking people if they wanted to go home or go to sequester. 'I'm playing the game to win and I really want you to go along with me while I pull the strings and make a big show today.....'