Many thanks to Apskip into looking into that. The main reason we are wobbling about how/when teams arrive in Dubrovnik is because of the personal information obtained by our source.
After getting to talk briefly with TK/Rachel, she understood them to say that the reason they were behind in Dubrovnik is that they had missed a flight connection by 5 minutes--the flight that the first 3 teams were on. And add in Azaria/Hendekea arriving at the cluebox so much later per Chateau time--and we are speculating on needing three flights. One for the first 3 arr before noonish, one arr early-mid afternoon and one arr later afternoon. That way we can explain the separation in time between the teams we see.
So per apskip's flight research, that can not happen by starting out from Lithuania, and he shows that there does not appear to be enough time to squeeze in Florence after Lithuania and before Dubrovnik.
So that being said, I'm going with this for now:
RED =puddin's previous summary BLUE= my additionsEP1: 11/4/07 LA-Ireland
11 teams to start -- Ari/Staella eliminated -- 10 teams left Dep LA July 8--arr Ireland 7/9-spend night --tasks/Pitstop7/10 dep 7/11 EP2: 11/11/07 Ireland to The Netherlands
10 teams to start- Pat & Kate elim'ed--9 teams left dep Ireland 7/11, arr Amst 7/11 tasks+36 hour PitstopEP3: 11/18/07 Netherlands to Africa
9 teams to start --Sisters elim'ed --8 teams left Depart via CDG on Fri 7/13, arr Ouagadougou 5PM on 7/13, camp at/near train station overnight, do tasks Sat 7/14, Bingo pitstop- EP4: 11/25/07 Africa to Africa
8 teams to start --1 elim -- 7 teams left Sun 7/15 tasks-- Pitstop EP5: 12/2/07 Africa to Italy?
7 teams to start - 1 elim - 6 teams left --fly out Mon 7/16 and arr FLorence 7/17 Tues AM, tasks and Pitstop needs to be 36 hours, EP6: 12/9/07 Italy to Croatia?
6 teams to start - 1 elim - 5 teams left dep Florence 7/19 arr 7/19 Dubrovnik *confirmed date*--teams seen doing tasks 7/19-- Pitstop EP7: 12/23/07 Croatia to Lithuania?
5 teams to start -- 1 elim or TBC(?) --5 or 4 teams left ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
not addressing the rest of this yet:EP8: 12/30/07 Lithuania to India?
5 or 4 teams to start --1 elim or TBC (?) 5 or 4 teams leftEP9: 1/6/08 India to Japan
4 teams to start --1 elim-- 3 teams left EP10: 1/13/08 Japan to Taiwan
--final 3 TBCEP11: 1/20/08 Taiwan to Alaska
Final 3 --winner So we are putting a lot of faith in the keen eye of our source, but for now it appears to be our best guess. And that means only 6 teams in Dubrovnik, and excludes the possibility of a seventh.
So if she is also right about the F/F team, then we have our next 2 elims.
Unless TPTB throw a TBC in there somehow--in which case
I give up!