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Rabbit:
One thing to keep in mind is not just how many F/F teams there are in the group, but what the OTHER teams consist of. I had a discussion last month on another board concerning the fact that if there is a young M/M team in the competition, it greatly reduces the chance of any other combination of team of winning.

Here is my post from back then:

Season/winners

1. Rob & Brennan
2. Chris & Alex
3. Flo & Zach (young M/M team 4th)
4. Reichen & Chip
5. Chip & Kim (no young M/M team)
6. Freddy & Kendra (only youngish (32yo) M/M team knocked out first eppy)
7. Uchenna & Joyce (young M/M team 5th)
8. Linz family (3 young M 1 young F)
9. BJ & Tyler (2nd place was a M/M team too)
10. James & Tyler
11. Eric & Danielle (no young M/M team)
12. TK & Rachel (no young M/M team)

Out of 12 seasons, 4 seasons did not have any young M/M teams. (i included season 6 as Avi & Joe were knocked out first eppy). So out of 8 seasons with a young M/M team racing, 6 of the 8 had a young M/M team WIN!! That's 75% of the time! The only 2 seasons that had a young M/M racing that didn't go on to win were #3 and #7 with the young M/M teams finishing 4th and 5th respectively. So by that history, if there's a young M/M team on the race, there's a 75% chance a M/M will win and 100% chance they'll end up in at least the Top 5.

AND of all 12 seasons, only TWO of them had winners that were not young. (chip & Kim and Uchenna & joyce).

So here are the odds/stats:

Scenario: young M/M team is competing (8 seasons)

-If you're young M/M, there's a 75% chance you'll win (6/8 seasons)
-If you're a young F/M, there's a 13% chance you'll win (1/8 seasons)
-If you're an older team, there's a 13% chance you'll win (1/8 seasons)


Scenario: NO young M/M team is competing (4 seasons)

-If you're a young F/M, there's a 75% chance you'll win (3/4 seasons)
-If you're an older team, there's a 25% chance you'll win (1/4 seasons)

Overall in 12 seasons:
-young M/M won 50% of the time (6/12)
-young M/F won 33% of the time (4/12)
-older team won 17% of the time (2/12)

making it a whopping 83% chance the winners will be YOUNG!

michael:
Chances of an all F/F team winning are 1000000% because I say so!

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