Some time long ago, on a forum far far away, an eager Survivor fan decided to apply media theory and statistical analysis to his favorite TV show to try and determine who the winner of the season was based on the editing. There are all sorts of different Survivor fans – from casuals, to superfans, to newbie fans. But there is a special selection of the Survivor nerddom that are known as the Edgic community, and each season they dedicate their time to thoroughly analyzing the individual edit of each player.
I'm posting full 25-27 edgic soon, but there's one trend I DEFINITELY noticed in modern TAR.
There will always be a team that screams "Winner Contender" on the first leg with a strong CP edit and will eventually crumble into obscurity and lose.
Examples:
-Tim & Te Jay (Started fading away from Leg 4)
-Jelani & Jenny (They were winning until Thailand 2 hit and then from then on they would be just pretty MOR or MORN tbh)
-Tanner & Josh (Strong edit until they pretty much just became background at times from Africa 2 onwards)
There will also be a strong contender "shock boot".
Examples:
-Kym & Alli (Self-Explanatory)
-Jeff & Jackie (IDK for me they seemed like they were winning until their shock boot)
-Denise & James-Earl (They had unusually strong CP edits until their boot which was not shock at all bc of crap leg design)
There are also some teams who start out alright and end up being strong contenders who eventually lose.
Examples:
-Misti & Jim (I was sure they were winning until they suddenly went with a streak of more toned edits, but they were still my number one contender heading into the finale.)
-Hayley & Blair (They started getting a semblance of a winning edit from Monaco onwards IMO.)
-Tiffany & Krista (Self-explanatory lol.)
I agree with oval on some points.
I think that overall Edgic has no use if it's done without much analysing. And I don't know if you're doing it, gamerfan.
There really are some very weird results in your TAR27 edgic, especially with the way you declare winner contenders ??? How is that even determined? A lot of things just don't make sense.
Is this not more to do with their placements and not their edits? Obviously a shock boot can only be portrayed as such if a team has actually done well ranking wise, therefore eliminated before their time.
This is an interesting concept gamerfan09, but I am not sure the Survivor edgic rules really apply to The Amazing Race. Firstly, TAR has two people per team as oppose to individual players in Survivor. How do you accommodate for drastic tone differences between team members in an episode? There have clearly been some major differences in team members visibility and personalities throughout the seasons (Tim/Marie and Justin/Diana spring to mind). It is not easy to model both members as a whole with such edgic rules.
Further, just because you're a boring, useless team or a villainous, rude team does not mean you cannot win TAR. A Survivor winner is rewarded by the jury for playing the best game. In TAR, the team who runs the final leg the best will win. It is more unlikely for a castaway to win the game if he is not looked upon well by his jury members. It is just as likely for a villainous or boring team to win the race as oppose to anyone else - they just need to win the final leg. I am not sure how one can as easily pinpoint a TAR winner using such a method.
Please note I am not saying looking at the editing is useless, in fact, I believe such devices can be used to deduce the winners ahead of the finale airing. However, I do think that such a process is much more complex than the standard Survivor edgic framework. Perhaps you may need to consider further aspects which are not explored in the Survivor edgic rules.
edgic can be applied to TAR :-) thx for your insight anyways oval
ABSOLUTELY NO FUTURE SPOILERS HERE PLEASE.
Discussion of the previous episode only, this does NOT include Previews.
:thankyou:
Since when is it prohibited to discuss spoilers in the spoiler section? :funny:
Great job gamer, I enjoyed reading the explanations - much better than just plainly giving the table. :conf:
I would also place Matt & Dana as winner contenders after this leg. That's because of their confessional at the end and the constant cuts to them, when they say nothing relevant, i.e. things that can be said by any other team like "I hope I get this right" and so on. I've noticed that TAR winners often get such MOR edits.
Might be wrong though, but these are just my observations ???
P.S. it must be a bitch counting all the cuts :lol:
The best way to put it is this thread(Editing and Logic) is for predicting who goes far/who doesn't based on the edited 43 minutes of the show. Therefore it is cheating/pointless/unethical to interfere by discussing spoilers gained from production spoilers.
I enjoyed reading this thank you gamerfan09 :waves:
Agreed!
Though I'm unsure as to whether they release insider videos in the same manner as they edit the main show, i.e. portraying which team is the villains, inspirational or token bickering team. (I rarely watch them)
Agreed!
Though I'm unsure as to whether they release insider videos in the same manner as they edit the main show, i.e. portraying which team is the villains, inspirational or token bickering team. (I rarely watch them)
They don't.
The best way to put it is this thread(Editing and Logic) is for predicting who goes far/who doesn't based on the edited 43 minutes of the show.
:hearts: love this gamerfan09 !!
I don't understand how Sheri and Cole got a MOR while Jessica and Brittany got UTR. The models explained their actions for helping Cole while we got nothing out of Alabama.Truth
I don't understand how Sheri and Cole got a MOR while Jessica and Brittany got UTR. The models explained their actions for helping Cole while we got nothing out of Alabama.Truth
I like your analysis this week gamerfan09! :tup:
I'm just curiously wondering, gamer, does doing Edgic (which means rewatching the episodes many times) reduce your enjoyment of the season? ???
I would be very interested to read your remarks about Dana and Matt this week. For me they got a very mixed edit in this episode. When I saw the episode I thought that Matt was getting a positive edit while Dana was still getting a negative one.
IMO it's been that way eversince leg 2 - Dana being negative, but Matt still edited very positively. It sucks because neither of them seem like one-dimensional people.
I don't understand why Brodie & Kurt are among the winner contenders with an obnoxious edit :lol:
Brodie and Kurt or Tyler and Korey may get the Tanner and Josh edit.
Brodie and Kurt or Tyler and Korey may get the Tanner and Josh edit.
It's a possibility, but they ARE a wee bit far from it. At this point, they haven't been overtly negative towards anyone (Unlike Tanner & Josh in regards to Justin), but we'll see if it changes soon. :tup:
Brodie and Kurt or Tyler and Korey may get the Tanner and Josh edit.
It's a possibility, but they ARE a wee bit far from it. At this point, they haven't been overtly negative towards anyone (Unlike Tanner & Josh in regards to Justin), but we'll see if it changes soon. :tup:
Tanner and Josh Edit - Team dominates the 1st half of the race. Once leg 6 or 7 is over, they begin to go downhill and get knocked out by a U-Turn in around leg 9 or 10.
Seriously I don't know how you're doing these analysis gamer! Not a joke re-watching an episode once, how much more nth times? :lol:
Still I always go back here to read everything. :)
Episode Six analysis to be posted later today!
Tyler & Korey weren't N at all. Tbh, the N tone that you think they had probably stemmed from ur personal opinion of them. Their plotting scene was purely strategic and there was no part of the edit that tainted them as negative.
So, edgics will be on Wednesdays or Thursdays?
Once again, love these ones gamer! :lol:
I just think that that Tyler & Korey's negative edit should be completely disregarded due to their overwhelming amount of positively-toned edits. I know you've not eliminated them from the winner contenders and I agree that they're not top 3 of it, but I think leg 7 (and/or 6) made absolutely no difference in their overall edit. It was just a portion of the race where they FINALYL ended up towards the bottom and fighting for their lives -- as a result, naturally, getting frustrated and stressed.
Analysis coming tomorrow, expect a slight shift in the Winning Contenders :lol:
So you're saying Brodie and Kurt lost their winners' edit this episode.
Analysis coming tomorrow, expect a slight shift in the Winning Contenders :lol:
So you're saying Brodie and Kurt lost their winners' edit this episode.
I wish this thread was done by someone who didn't already know spoilers and was able to analyze the episodes without letting personal bias affect their opinion. blahblah
I think Brodie and Kurt are all about the Roadblocks edit. Kurt has been a RB star! Brodie on the other hand is super strong but has the frustration tolerance of a two year old. My guess is they are being set up for us to see more along that line.
I'm definitely gonna try to go into 29 unspoiled though.
I wish this thread was done by someone who didn't already know spoilers and was able to analyze the episodes without letting personal bias affect their opinion. blahblah
I'm definitely gonna try to go into 29 unspoiled though.
Oh no you aren't!! Them's fighting words!! :funny:
I wish this thread was done by someone who didn't already know spoilers and was able to analyze the episodes without letting personal bias affect their opinion. blahblah
I wish this thread was done by someone who didn't already know spoilers and was able to analyze the episodes without letting personal bias affect their opinion. blahblah
>First quote.
Yeah, this is probably a troll.
lol @ brodie and kurt still being winner contenders even though they're eliminated
lol @ brodie and kurt still being winner contenders even though they're eliminated
THE SCENE IN THE EPISODE:
Tyler & Korey
@TylerOakley/@KoreyKuhl
Tyler: I was so glad we didn't do the unicycle Detour. The painting Detour was so much harder than we expected...
Korey: Yeah.
Tyler: Hopefully the other Detour trips up Burnie & Ashley and gives Sheri & Cole a chance to catch up and be the Comeback Kids today.
*cut to Dana & Matt who are also on their way to the Pit Stop*
Dana & Matt
@DanaAlexaNY/@MattSteffanina
Matt: I just want to see Phil and hear any number less than four.
*the show cuts to Sheri & Cole then doing the Scooter Detour and when we DO return, Tyler is easily shown as winning the leg and Dana & Matt just shown as being lost and stumbling to the Pit Stop*.
Reading your Edgic gives me a LOT more hope that Sheri & Cole can win, which I've wanted since mid-race after seeing that my pre-race and early race favourites Dana & Matt had no chance.
BUT, I'm still inclined to think that Tyler & Korey have more of a winner's edit for some reason ??? I'm not analysing the episodes and the edits as thoroughly as you are obviously, but they just give me winner's vibes?
It may be because I see a Tyler & Korey win more probable performance-wise and they are not edited in a way that casuals would hate them winning, but we'll see.
I'm still very surprised you're writiting them off so much and not giving at least 70/30 odds.. :P
I'm giving a 100% Tyler and Korey are winning, Dana and Matt second, Sheri and Cole third. :funny:
In terms of edit, Sheri & Cole seem like winners, I agree with you there. But I just don't know how they'll do it :lol: Fingers crossed!
GGF? ???
When will you reveal the votes of this poll?
I'm surprised more people don't think Tyler & Korey are winning. I do. :P
I'm surprised more people don't think Tyler & Korey are winning. I do. :P
Just want to say that it was really fun reading your edgic. So much work put into it and it was awesome! :hearts: Hope you continue next season!
Now I understand why Dana was so upset with her edit! Quite odd for a winner!
Now I understand why Dana was so upset with her edit! Quite odd for a winner!
I enjoyed reading as well! I might not have gotten as much out from spoilers (i.e. dismissing Burnie & Ashley based on the second places spoiler) but it was well-done! :yess:
Were you going to do any of the old seasons between 28 and 29? Even though the results are known, the more data there is, the better a prediction or analysis that can be made(if you do this then I'd start from TAR 14 as the editing noticeably shifts).
(https://fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xpt1/v/t1.0-9/13239215_990209437733006_3123673708913095566_n.jpg?oh=225da27df8616c1952dab5f707bf1c6c&oe=57DA6060&__gda__=1470192228_9eaba2944a69ce3135c895324640018c)
LOL
Yet i want to congratulate you, Gamer, for this awesome thread. Hope you'll continue it for TAR29.
You never had Dana and Matt under winning contenders even once (me too). I think that's what upsetting and underwhelming about this season gasp.NO??
You never had Dana and Matt under winning contenders even once (me too). I think that's what upsetting and underwhelming about this season gasp.NO??
This unpredictability made the season great and I was watching the finale in full excitement like I don't recall lately.
Will there be an analysis for the final leg?
Will there be an analysis for the final leg?
Why would I bother when it's all over now? :lol: