Archive > Survivor 12: Panama - Exile Island

May 14, 2006: Survivor: Panama---The Final Showdown

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amikino:
One thing to point out about Danielle's fire:  it looks like she has constructed the sticks so that they touch the rope.  Or they come so close to it.  That would be cheating. 

amikino:

puddin:
 :snics: what are you going to do about it amikino ? call the Whammbulanceeeeeeeeeee !
Aras to win the $$$$$, thats my story & I'm sticking with it , yeah the preview of Cirie with the higher fire gave me a spark of hope for Cirie but I'm over that ....it was so for the meant for the average viewer because everyone likes Cirie as Texan said above , and they want you to stay tuned on Sunday .

Texan:
AMINKO !!   :hrt:    :waves:

Well Jeff just said that you had stuff to create your fire, not real rules.  Is that really sticks in D's pic or jsut smoke and the pic looks funny, I keep goign back and forth.

You are true about D might take Terry ~ she may do this witht he defense that Aras was going to vote her out more then once and she made a final 2 pact at final 4 and Aras and Cirie did not talk to her.   I think Aras will hold a grudge if she does.  We know she will not get courtney's vote. 

I think if she takes Terry she will lose.

Terry ~ Sally, Austin, Cortney and Bruce (will respect the game play)

Danielle ~ Shane, cirie and Aras  ~ the last two are iffy

Bruce could be the deciding vote...will he stick with casya  and they have been showing him respecting Terry's game play but had to stay with and alliance?

puddin:
TDT ~

Jury vote: Aras vs. Danielle 
On to the most important question: Who wins the million dollars?
Answer: One of Aras or Danielle. But beyond that, we have no idea.

So... on to the guessing. CBS has claimed (in the ad for Thursday's penultimate show): "Don't miss the stunning, surprise finale." Honestly, would anybody be surprised if Aras won? We think not, although maybe they're hoping people will be surprised if Terry comes in third.

For most of the season, we thought Aras would win. And indeed, we do have one fairly solid tip that suggests he ought to be the favorite. And maybe he actually is. But along the way, we've been struck by how the editing has consistently seemed to undercut Aras's abilities as a leader, while highlighting Danielle's ability to turn votes around, and/or affect the outcome of votes (booting Bobby, turning down Terry's hidden idol overtures). So we'll play along. If the Survivor editing team wants us to think Danielle might have a chance, here's a a heap of hand-waving arguments as to why Danielle might win:

The boots from Courtney on have been tied to the following/preceding boots by fights: Courtney fought with Shane, his boot followed hers. Cirie wanted to mess up Shane's plans, and backstabbed him: Cirie followed Shane out. Cirie also wanted to interfere with Terry, and fought with him at the start of Ep13: Terry (F3) follows her (F4). And the late post-merge focus has been on fights between Aras and Terry. Logically, Aras should thus follow Terry, leaving Danielle to claim the million.

Then there's the Exile Island shot at right. Note the water has been false-colored green. That's because it's meant to represent the order of the final three finishers, by original tribe. At the bottom (3rd place) is La Mina orange (Terry). Next is Viveros green (Aras, 2nd place). And on top, emerging through the clouds: the clear skies shining Bayoneta blue (Danielle, 1st place).

We have no idea how the jury votes will come down, although we think it's fairly likely that Courtney will vote for Aras, and Bruce for Danielle. The rest could go either way.

Is there anything to all this drivel? Probably not. We'll be rooting for a Danielle win, because it would be more interesting. Do we know that happens? Nope. 

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