Archive > Survivor 12: Panama - Exile Island

TDT analysis...It all makes sense now....sort of

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MrsKutz:
Currently TDT  Survivor-meter has the following order:

Aras
Danielle
Terry
Cirie
Shane
Courtney
Sally
Bruce
Austin
Nick
Dan
Bobby


Let's look at the top 9...the jury and the final two.   ???


Obviously from the list the Casaya tribe dominates at the jury phase. ( I don't say Merge, because we can never be sure about how many Survivors will be at the merge, the two tribes could become one at 11,10, or even 9)  But if they merge at 10 ( the mostly likely).... it will probably be 6-4 in favor of Casaya....and they will stick to their original tribe as much as possible and vote off LaMina one by one ....except for "immunity challenge whore/ idol holder" Terry.  :woohoo:

Courtney goes before Cirie...because they know Cirie is with them (Shane, Aras, and Danielle) and Courtney annoys them...a WHOLE LOT.  :umn:

Sally is the second to last La Mina to go(Terry is safe because of immunity or II.) perhaps because she is perceived as the lowest threat compared to the other guys.

Bruce only goes before her because of his  physical "issues."

Shane goes before Cirie because..well, he is Shane.  :knuckles:

Why at the final four do Aras and Terry keep Danielle instead of Cirie?...because they both think they can beat Danielle with the jury vote...and going into the final three challenge, they agree, may the best man win.  ;D

So that discombobulated alliance actually works out pretty well for two of the four, and if Shane finishes fifth, that isn't too bad... especially considering that the non-spoiler viewer may have him pegged as an early boot.  :meow:

It appears that in the TDT list that Austin and Nick may be interchangeable in the order

One last thing.  Why/How does Dan go?  Easy.  Austin and Nick vote with Sally.  They believe that Dan is weaker than Sally..  ;)

MrsKutz comment.... "or I could be wrong."  Sorry this isn't a real order like CJ's and others.  It just came out as my thoughts.

Swanee:
 :jumpy: Good thoughts, MrsK....I concur.

puddin:
the only problem I have is Dan going , Terry would have to agree .....otherwise whats to stop him from handing the HII over to Dan ? forcing either a Nick/Sally/Austin boot depending on who Dan & Terry are voting for that week
One last thing.  Why/How does Dan go?  Easy.  Austin and Nick vote with Sally.  They believe that Dan is weaker than Sally.. 

other than that ot looks great Mrs. Kutz !!

MrsKutz:
Terry is NOT going to  agree to vote out DAN, but nor is he going to give that HII to Dan. And they both will be sad...and surprised.

I think.

puddin:
Looks like TDT thinks Bobby this week then Dan the following ,Dan might be a victim of a merge  :(

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