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MW Round 13

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puddin:
Going into Tribal Council, who thinks they holds the power and is torn between an alliance and a friendship? (50 Minutes of Fame)

I dont know I'm thinking Katie ?? What do you all think?
..this from TDT
Perhaps the CBS synopsis lends a clue here: "Going into Tribal Council, one Survivor holds the power and is torn between an alliance and a friendship." Since the promo shows the episode will go to great pains to explore the Katie-Ian bond, as well as the women plotting while the men are away at reward, the most plausible synthesis would be that Katie is torn a newly formed alliance with Caryn and Jenn (neither of whom have anything to lose in going against Tom and Ian here), and her friendship with Ian. For this to work, Ian must be vulnerable at Tribal Council, so we'll say Tom wins IC.


GarboTalks @ Fever
From the website clues: "Going into Tribal Council, one Survivor holds the power and is torn between an alliance and a friendship. Which way will the vote swing?" 
Katie is the swing vote who will decide who goes next episode.  She can get rid of Caryn, someone she’s argued with and felt betrayed by when Caryn nearly took her position as final three with Tom and Ian, due to an agreement with Tom.  She can get rid of Ian, someone she considers her best friend on the island and like family, but who didn't choose her for reward, and who she doesn't entirely trust.  She can't win against Ian in the finals, but might win against Caryn.  However, Caryn and Katie will neither one win any challenges, most likely.  The challenge hogs are Tom and Ian.  She can't get rid of Tom because he keeps winning immunity.  Katie's best play is to remain aligned with Tom and Ian, the challenge hogs.  Getting rid of Jenn wouldn’t help her.  Jenn has no agreements with anyone but Katie.  Caryn is dangerous, because she could go with Tom and Ian.   Boot: Caryn

Jusalurker:
FWIW   I put Katie also, before I read TDT. Who knows!

 :<(

rmax:

--- Quote --- Katie is  torn a newly formed alliance with Caryn and Jenn (neither of whom have anything to lose in going against Tom and Ian here), and her friendship with Ian. For this to work, Ian must be vulnerable at Tribal Council, so we'll say Tom wins IC.
--- End quote ---

I don't know, I can see Ian torn between his friendship with Katie and his alliance with Caryn.  After last week, I find it hard to imagine Caryn would flip on Tom to join Katie and Jenn, especially if Jenn is seen as an easy boot (unless Jenn wins immunity).  I suppose they might convince her that she'd have a better shot at winning if she's in an F3 with Katie and Jenn.

puddin:
rmax , I read a few things and think it could be Ian also , but I'll stick with Katie only because I think shes the deciding vote  [^/ Shes mad at Ian and last week we could see shes not all that crazy about Tom as she was willing to vote him out ..will she vote with Toms alliance or the girls ?
Also fwiw I have good info that Tom wins IC  ;) maybe this is what TDT heard too ?

shanghilill:
I'm thinking it could be Caryn..if she made an alliance with the ladies..then got side-tracked by the guys...they would try and sell her some paranoia story again..while selling Katie and or Jenn on a Caryn betraya (calling the rock alternative into play and we saw how JAtie hated that last boot)l..hence getting Katie/Jenn to vote Caryn and Caryn to vote Jenn..  [^/

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