AMAZING RACE 36 (originally 35) **LIVE SPOILERS** (Members Only) > AMAZING RACE RACE 35 (originally run as 36)
TAR 35 (formerly called 36): Bitch, Moan & Squeal Here! *POSSIBLE SPOILERS!*
Jjw26:
--- Quote from: docol on July 05, 2023, 05:36:18 PM ---no clue at all where the finale will be held???
--- End quote ---
That's not allowed to be revealed until the finale begins for racers' safety. It's in the RFF rules.
ghmorello:
I wonder how much r/TheAmazingRace will seethe at this final 3 if Reddit is still around when S36 airs.
PikaBelleChu:
--- Quote from: Parovic on July 05, 2023, 04:50:46 PM ---Is there any chance that Leg 4 is not Vietnam?
--- End quote ---
Teams are seen in Ho Chi Minh City. *facepalms* :groan:
Zack.:
--- Quote from: cole1024 on July 05, 2023, 02:19:47 PM ---With the information that Steve/Anna were probably eliminated in Dublin, here are the demographics of the final 3 teams in the 30s:
MM teams: 10 (Tyler/Korey, Leo/Jamal, Will/James, Madison/Riley, Ryan/Dusty, Cesar/Ricky, Shane/Juan, Corey/Rob, Joel/Garrett, John/Greg)
MF Teams: 8 (Henry/Evan, Jessica/Cody, Colin/Christie, Hung/Chee, Kim/Penn, Derek/Claire, Michelle/Luis, Rod/Leticia)
FF Teams: 3 (Kristi/Jen, Raquel/Cayla, Emily/Molly)
--- End quote ---
Did some more math based on this based on some of the discourse we've had. Based on the 82 teams cast from TAR 30 to present-
Demographics of Finalist Teams as Percentage of Total Teams Cast:
MM teams - 10/28 = 35.71%
MF teams - 8/34 = 23.52%
FF teams - 3/20 = 15%
Likelihood of Chosen Demographic Making F3: (not weighted by ability or circumstances like COVID, just straight odds)
MM teams - 28/82 = 34.14%
MF teams - 34/82 = 41.46%
FF teams - 20/82 = 24.39%
Subtracting the actual demographics (first numbers) from the theoretical odds of each type of team making the final leg and we find:
MM teams are performing +1.59% better than expected
MF teams are performing -17.94% worse than expected
FF teams are performing -8.39% worse than expected
If you factor in things like U-Turns, Yields, people leaving due to COVID, these figures are less indicative of overall success but it's a good baseline. If I could make a claim casting overcorrected for how successful MF teams were in the past (especially with seasons like 26 and 29 which leaned heavily in favor of MF teams to begin with).
Jjw26:
--- Quote from: PikaBelleChu on July 05, 2023, 05:39:03 PM ---Teams are seen in Ho Chi Minh City. *facepalms* :groan:
--- End quote ---
Where did you see this? RFF had no sightings of HCMC
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