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TAR AUS 6 DISCUSSION of the LIVE SPOILERS

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stunami:
I would expect another setting than latin/spanish america for the next few legs.
Cuz that is like 3 countries in a row with Spanish as it's main language (I think for Belize also?)

So maybe Canada or Northeast USA
Would love for them to come to Quebec!

Xoruz:

--- Quote from: Xoruz on April 08, 2022, 06:11:03 PM ---^^Might be Plaza Grande in Mérida.

--- End quote ---


--- Quote from: ovalorange on April 09, 2022, 08:44:37 AM ---Mariachi task looks to be in Parque de Santa Lucía

--- End quote ---

So Detour: Mariachi or Mochila?

Xoruz:

--- Quote from: stunami on April 09, 2022, 10:11:09 AM ---I would expect another setting than latin/spanish america for the next few legs.
Cuz that is like 3 countries in a row with Spanish as it's main language (I think for Belize also?)

So maybe Canada or Northeast USA
Would love for them to come to Quebec!

--- End quote ---

Belize's main language is English though some people speak Spanish.

fossil-racer:
So I've been thinking, if the race was 24 legs, we would have 17 eliminations, 6 non-eliminations and a final 3.
If the race was 20 legs, we would have 17 eliminations, 3 non-eliminations and a final 3.
The race has to be at least halfway to finish by the end of the month so how many legs are in each country and how many eliminations have there been.

With that said, here are some possible theories based on number of legs:

A) 24 Legs

I think we are more than halfway if Morocco, Greece, Turkey and Colombia are at least 3 legs each.

Morocco (3), Greece (3), Turkey, (3) Colombia (3), Belize (2), Mexico (1+?)

B) 20 Legs

I think we are more than halfway if we have at least 2 legs in each country.

Morocco (2), Greece (2), Turkey, (2) Colombia (2), Belize (2), Mexico (1+?)

With that said, here are the top 4 possible theories I have based on number of eliminations:

A) Simplest Theory - 15 Legs and 13 Eliminations so far/20 Leg Race
3 legs each in Morocco, Greece and Turkey with 9 eliminations
11 teams in Colombia
3 legs in Colombia and 3 eliminations
Belize 1 is final 8 and non-elimination
Belize 2 is final 8
Mexico 1 is final 7
If Mexico 1 is non-elimination, 5 Legs Left and 4 eliminations left
If Mexico 1 is elimination, 5 Legs Left and 3 eliminations left and 1 non-elimination

B) Complicated Theory - 15 Legs and 12-14 Eliminations so far/20 Leg Race
3 legs each in Morocco, Greece and Turkey with 7-8 eliminations
12-13 teams in Colombia
3 legs in Colombia and 2-3 eliminations
Belize 1 is 9 to 10 teams
Belize 2 is 8 to 9 teams
Mexico 1 is 7 to 8 teams
If Mexico 1 is non-elimination, 5 Legs Left and 4-5 eliminations left  (with a possible non-elimination)
If Mexico 1 is elimination, 5 Legs Left and 3-4 eliminations left (with a possible non-elimination)

C) Complicated Theory 2- 11 Legs and 9 to 11 Eliminations so far/20 Leg Race
2 legs each in Morocco, Greece and Turkey, Colombia with 7-8 eliminations
Belize 1 is 12 to 13 teams
Belize 2 is 11 to 12 teams
Mexico 1 is 10 to 11 teams
If Mexico 1 is non-elimination, 9 Legs Left and 7-8 eliminations left (with a possible non-elimination)
If Mexico 1 is elimination, 9 Legs Left and 6-7 eliminations left (with a possible non-elimination)

D) Complicated Theory 3- 15 Legs and 9 to 11 Eliminations so far/24 Leg Race
3 legs each in Morocco, Greece and Turkey, Colombia with 7-8 eliminations
Belize 1 is 12 to 13 teams
Belize 2 is 11 to 12 teams
Mexico 1 is 10 to 11 teams
If Mexico 1 is non-elimination, 9 Legs Left and 7-8 eliminations left (with a possible non-elimination)
If Mexico 1 is elimination, 9 Legs Left and 6-7 eliminations left (with a possible non-elimination)


Now there are other theories, like if some countries are 2 legs instead of 3 (or vice versa), but I'm thinking we have about 20 legs and they are going to wrap up soon to finish before the end of the month.

The only way I see a 24 leg race is if the first 4 countries have 3 legs each or 3 countries have 3 legs each. Even then, we would be around 13 to 14 legs and have 10 to 11 to go.

Xoruz:

--- Quote from: gamerfan09 on April 09, 2022, 02:23:25 PM ---https://www.instagram.com/p/CcJADjfO6T8/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=

Team #9 sighted. Looks like a Roadblock.

--- End quote ---

From the second photo, looks like they have to count the number of papel picado of a certain color like TARAU 3's umbrella Detour.

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