The Amazing Race > Amazing Race 33
TAR 33 ORIGINAL PRE-RACE Speculation (dates/cast/routes)
Brannockdevice:
Hey everyone! I'm back for some more analysis :funny:
I want to talk about a specific region of the world that the Race often visits - East Asia (for clarification, my definition of East Asia includes China, Japan, North & South Korea and Taiwan).
This region of the world is visited frequently. In fact, East Asia has only been skipped a sum total of seven times - it was skipped in Seasons 3, 5, 7, 13, 22, 25 & 32. Especially since it was skipped last season, I think it's definitely up for another visit this time around. However, there are a few things I would like to point out.
Because the United States is currently having some strained relations with Mainland China, I don't think it will be visited. Granted, just because the governments are having some issues doesn't necessarily mean that tourism and such would be affected. That being said, I will be surprised if the Mainland is visited.
Also, there are some protests in Hong Kong right now. I know there is a general consensus of an October/November visit, so conditions could clear up by then. If I was production though (which I'm not), I wouldn't risk it. Again, I would be surprised if Hong Kong was visited. Plus, it was just visited in Seasons 27 and 30.
I'm also skeptical of a visit to Japan, but much less so than China. In past seasons, Japan has, for the most part, followed a very nice pattern of being visited every three seasons: Seasons 9, 12, 15, and 18 had Japan, and then again in 20, 23, and 26. I'm actually a little surprised they waited five whole seasons between 26 and 31 for another visit. I know this is a reach, but a visit in 33 would go against the pattern. I do concede that a visit to Japan is much more likely than China. However, I would at least hope that they go to another city besides Tokyo. I would be quite pleased with a first time visit to Kyoto or a return to Osaka.
That being said, I think the most likely candidates are Taiwan and South Korea. Taipei and Seoul are quite capable of hosting legs again, but perhaps we could see new visits to cities like Kaohsiung, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju or Jeju. If I could add a personal note with a touch of analysis, I would also not rule out an exclusive visit to Macau. The only full Macau leg was Season 11, and if you ask me it was not a memorable one. Perhaps we could take a lesson from the Canadian and Australian legs. :bow:
Thanks for reading! I know it was long, but hopefully thought out and analyzed well! Let me know your opinions on a visit to East Asia!
Parovic:
--- Quote from: Brannockdevice on June 26, 2019, 01:42:39 AM ---Hey everyone! I'm back for some more analysis :funny:
I want to talk about a specific region of the world that the Race often visits - East Asia (for clarification, my definition of East Asia includes China, Japan, North & South Korea and Taiwan).
This region of the world is visited frequently. In fact, East Asia has only been skipped a sum total of seven times - it was skipped in Seasons 3, 5, 7, 13, 22, 25 & 32. Especially since it was skipped last season, I think it's definitely up for another visit this time around. However, there are a few things I would like to point out.
Because the United States is currently having some strained relations with Mainland China, I don't think it will be visited. Granted, just because the governments are having some issues doesn't necessarily mean that tourism and such would be affected. That being said, I will be surprised if the Mainland is visited.
Also, there are some protests in Hong Kong right now. I know there is a general consensus of an October/November visit, so conditions could clear up by then. If I was production though (which I'm not), I wouldn't risk it. Again, I would be surprised if Hong Kong was visited. Plus, it was just visited in Seasons 27 and 30.
I'm also skeptical of a visit to Japan, but much less so than China. In past seasons, Japan has, for the most part, followed a very nice pattern of being visited every three seasons: Seasons 9, 12, 15, and 18 had Japan, and then again in 20, 23, and 26. I'm actually a little surprised they waited five whole seasons between 26 and 31 for another visit. I know this is a reach, but a visit in 33 would go against the pattern. I do concede that a visit to Japan is much more likely than China. However, I would at least hope that they go to another city besides Tokyo. I would be quite pleased with a first time visit to Kyoto or a return to Osaka.
That being said, I think the most likely candidates are Taiwan and South Korea. Taipei and Seoul are quite capable of hosting legs again, but perhaps we could see new visits to cities like Kaohsiung, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju or Jeju. If I could add a personal note with a touch of analysis, I would also not rule out an exclusive visit to Macau. The only full Macau leg was Season 11, and if you ask me it was not a memorable one. Perhaps we could take a lesson from the Canadian and Australian legs. :bow:
Thanks for reading! I know it was long, but hopefully thought out and analyzed well! Let me know your opinions on a visit to East Asia!
--- End quote ---
Hong Kong is safe at this moment
The dispute is not that severe right now
I am leaning towards South Korea especially Seoul has a big airport and other countries have some issue with US
cerealking:
--- Quote from: Parovic on June 26, 2019, 01:54:16 AM ---
--- Quote from: Brannockdevice on June 26, 2019, 01:42:39 AM ---Hey everyone! I'm back for some more analysis :funny:
I want to talk about a specific region of the world that the Race often visits - East Asia (for clarification, my definition of East Asia includes China, Japan, North & South Korea and Taiwan).
This region of the world is visited frequently. In fact, East Asia has only been skipped a sum total of seven times - it was skipped in Seasons 3, 5, 7, 13, 22, 25 & 32. Especially since it was skipped last season, I think it's definitely up for another visit this time around. However, there are a few things I would like to point out.
Because the United States is currently having some strained relations with Mainland China, I don't think it will be visited. Granted, just because the governments are having some issues doesn't necessarily mean that tourism and such would be affected. That being said, I will be surprised if the Mainland is visited.
Also, there are some protests in Hong Kong right now. I know there is a general consensus of an October/November visit, so conditions could clear up by then. If I was production though (which I'm not), I wouldn't risk it. Again, I would be surprised if Hong Kong was visited. Plus, it was just visited in Seasons 27 and 30.
I'm also skeptical of a visit to Japan, but much less so than China. In past seasons, Japan has, for the most part, followed a very nice pattern of being visited every three seasons: Seasons 9, 12, 15, and 18 had Japan, and then again in 20, 23, and 26. I'm actually a little surprised they waited five whole seasons between 26 and 31 for another visit. I know this is a reach, but a visit in 33 would go against the pattern. I do concede that a visit to Japan is much more likely than China. However, I would at least hope that they go to another city besides Tokyo. I would be quite pleased with a first time visit to Kyoto or a return to Osaka.
That being said, I think the most likely candidates are Taiwan and South Korea. Taipei and Seoul are quite capable of hosting legs again, but perhaps we could see new visits to cities like Kaohsiung, Busan, Daegu, Gwangju or Jeju. If I could add a personal note with a touch of analysis, I would also not rule out an exclusive visit to Macau. The only full Macau leg was Season 11, and if you ask me it was not a memorable one. Perhaps we could take a lesson from the Canadian and Australian legs. :bow:
Thanks for reading! I know it was long, but hopefully thought out and analyzed well! Let me know your opinions on a visit to East Asia!
--- End quote ---
Hong Kong is safe at this moment
The dispute is not that severe right now
I am leaning towards South Korea especially Seoul has a big airport and other countries have some issue with US
--- End quote ---
Agreed. SK is the most likely place they’ll visit. They’ve been there recently but Japan is more even more recent and China/HK are both probably out for political reasons . They’re not going to miss East Asia two seasons in a row.
zacz:
I know its unlikely since season 32 is South America heavy but I've always wanted them to visit the Guianas (Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana), From what I've read they are quite safe to visit. The only reasons I can think of why they have been avoided for so long are that there are very few flights in and out making connections difficult and also the proximity to Venezuela.
One issue I have with modern race legs if that they all take place close to major cities. Even the 'rural' legs are usually under 2 hours from a major city. I understand the reasons (there is much less travelling and legs are relatively more condensed and shorter than in the past due to budget issues) but it really does minimise the possible options within a country. It also increases the chance that when a country is revisited the same big cities are used for legs rather than a smaller locatation. I would love a more rural based race which avoids almost all major cities but I am aware this is completely unrealistic.
Brannockdevice:
--- Quote from: zacz on June 27, 2019, 09:28:38 AM ---I know its unlikely since season 32 is South America heavy but I've always wanted them to visit the Guianas (Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana), From what I've read they are quite safe to visit. The only reasons I can think of why they have been avoided for so long are that there are very few flights in and out making connections difficult and also the proximity to Venezuela.
One issue I have with modern race legs if that they all take place close to major cities. Even the 'rural' legs are usually under 2 hours from a major city. I understand the reasons (there is much less travelling and legs are relatively more condensed and shorter than in the past due to budget issues) but it really does minimise the possible options within a country. It also increases the chance that when a country is revisited the same big cities are used for legs rather than a smaller locatation. I would love a more rural based race which avoids almost all major cities but I am aware this is completely unrealistic.
--- End quote ---
I think these countries in South America are viable, especially in a winter season! I think it’s would definitely be possible, in terms of airports, for us to see something akin to JFK to GEO (Georgetown, Guyana) to PBM (Paramaribo, Suriname) to AMS, as there are nonstop flights between each.
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