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TAR 30: Pre-Race Speculation

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nrh2110:

--- Quote from: BritishTARFan on September 08, 2017, 11:16:55 AM ---
--- Quote from: nrh2110 on September 07, 2017, 11:03:19 PM ---Because of the filming date, I'm predicting a visit to the Middle East/North Africa region. Maybe we'll finally see another Egypt leg, likely in a more politically temperate area like Hurghada, Luxor, Sharm el Sheikh, or Alexandria. I also think Oman is a plausible guess; we haven't seen a visit there in a while. The producers have already said Qatar isn't happening because something like "the government is disorganized". I don't think we'll see UAE or Morocco due to having seen it in 28 and 25, Lebanon is too close to Syria, Palestine/Israel is too controversial at a time that TAR desperately needs good ratings, so my guess is Oman, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain, Jordan, and/or Tunisia. Tunisia and Jordan are the most likely because they are the most politically stable (especially Tunisia), plus Tunisia hasn't been seen since 1 and Jordan has never been seen.

--- End quote ---

Hahaha, Tunisia is very far from stable. Perosnally I would love to see Jordan. Also what about Turkey, My aunt is currently in Istanbul and it's fine, the Aegean region is amazing and I visit often. Öludeniz, Kas, Istanbul and Cappadocia would be great.

--- End quote ---

I actually study international political science at my university, and I specialize in the Middle East. I actually just spent all of May in Dubai studying Middle Eastern politics and I can tell you Tunisia is definitely the most stable country out there, because its authoritarian ruler was ousted and they were able to reform into a democratic system. Tunisia is definitely the safest and most stable country in the MENA region.

As for Turkey, I was just there in June and I can agree that everywhere is safe except Ankara, however, we saw it in 21 so I think we're more likely to either see a new Middle Eastern country or one that hasn't been seen in a while, like Oman, or again, Tunisia.

BritishTARFan:
I promise you that Turkey is very safe, definitely compared to Tunisia. I've been to multiple regions quite frequently.

georgiapeach:
https://travel.state.gov/content/passports/en/alertswarnings/tunisia-travel-warning1.html 

BourkieBoy:
These are the restricted areas:
Jendouba south of Ain Drahem and west of RN15, Kef, and Kasserine, next to the Algerian border
Ben Guerdan and Medenine, next to the Libyan border
Gafsa and Sidi Bou Zid in central Tunisia
The desert south of Remada is designated as a military zone by the Government of Tunisia.  If travelers wish to enter the military zone, special authorization is required.

Now, if they wish to hold some legs in Tunisia, they CAN hold one in Tunis. I have also looked at the Smartraveller webite (which is run by the Australian Government) and this is the picture.


It is a little bit blurry, but you can see that both Gabes and Tunis are in the 'reconsider your need to travel' bracket. However, Tatotine is out of that. So, we would THINK that there wouldn't be a leg there.

So the question is, will CBS run the risk of something bad happening in either Tunis or Gabes, if they design a leg there. I tend to think not.

Thoughts?

RealityFan11:
Is this season gonna be a regular season or is this gonna have a gimmick? Also my predictions for the route is gonna be oceania, southeast adia, western europe, and hopefully a north american country other than usa

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