The Amazing Race > The Amazing Race Discussion
Final Leg : Evenly-Matched Odds to Win.
LFelix:
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--- Quote from: MrDS on December 02, 2014, 10:56:37 PM ---
--- Quote from: Declive on December 02, 2014, 12:03:55 PM ---Definitly NOT every season for TAR , Leafs , Mrds and ZBC.
Dandrew , Brian & Ericka , Brent & Caite , Brendon & Rachel (20) in my opinion had ZERO chances to get the million dollars in their seasons , and this was clear to all of us.
--- End quote ---
Wrong! You can't say that one team had zero chance of winning unless they were not running the Final Leg to begin with - one team does not have a heightened chance purely due to their performance in the last X legs; the Final Leg could be their Achilles Heel, and then they come unstuck at one specific task, and hence a team that didn't do so well in the first 11 legs could propel ahead and win.
--- End quote ---
Well,in TAR 1 and 4,one team fell 1 day behind the other 2 and didn't have a slight chance of winning.
So,there's wasn't a 33%-33%-33% chance in EVERY TAR Finale.
Declive:
--- Quote from: MrDS on December 02, 2014, 10:56:37 PM ---
--- Quote from: Declive on December 02, 2014, 12:03:55 PM ---Definitly NOT every season for TAR , Leafs , Mrds and ZBC.
Dandrew , Brian & Ericka , Brent & Caite , Brendon & Rachel (20) in my opinion had ZERO chances to get the million dollars in their seasons , and this was clear to all of us.
--- End quote ---
Wrong! You can't say that one team had zero chance of winning unless they were not running the Final Leg to begin with - one team does not have a heightened chance purely due to their performance in the last X legs; the Final Leg could be their Achilles Heel, and then they come unstuck at one specific task, and hence a team that didn't do so well in the first 11 legs could propel ahead and win.
--- End quote ---
What i'm saying : nobody believed on them. Everyone guessed them to be 3rd. And they were. The whole season they never did anything that wasn't surviving. And reached the final leg without that fire on their eyes.
Gingerbeasts:
In TAR14, pretty much the final 3 has a chance of winning.
Dånooky:
I think 9 was pretty even, as well as 17
naejae91:
--- Quote from: Dånooky on December 15, 2014, 11:14:41 PM ---I think 9 was pretty even, as well as 17
--- End quote ---
I agree on 17 but don't agree on 9. BJ & Jyler and Eric & Jeremy have higher chance to win than Ray & Yolanda.
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