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Dom:
Forgive me, I've been away for a few days. How do we know that Italy is before Germany?

georgiapeach:
We don't know 100%. Neobie has a great analysis here, but it is pinned on one sighting. I talked to her, she seemed reliable with nothing to gain...but bottom line is we can't be 100% sure.

http://forum.realityfanforum.com/index.php/topic,26521.msg708830.html#msg708830

apskip:
Part of this note about destinations is just logic and then the rest will be speculation. CBS and WRP have publicized in advance, as they frequently do, the new countries never visited before by an Amazing Race. Those are Paraguay and Azerbaijan. We have the countries of Italy, Germany, Tanzania and Japan nailed down.  That means that the European legs will be Italy and Germany (order is arguable and I have with Neobie on this point) and the next two should be Azerbaijan and Tanzania (again, order is arguable and to me does not matter for this analysis).

So we are left with legs 8, 9 and 10 almost certainly in Asia (as is Azerbaijan in leg 6 or 7) and the knowledge that countries will be previously used by WRP. So which ones might those be (in no particular order)?

1. India
2. Sri Lanka
3. Thailand
4. Malaysia
5. Singapore
6. China
7.Cambodia
8. Taiwan
9. United Arab Emirates
10. Vietnam
11. Mongolia
12. South Korea
13. Japan
14. Kazakhstan


Which countries won't it be?
1. Nepal (sorry, all you Nepal proponents but you have to face the facts)
2. Myanmaar/Burma
3. Bhutan
4. Laos
5. Qatar 
6. North Korea
7. Saudi Arabia
8. all of the Asian "Middle East countries"
9. 3 other "stan" countries besides Kazakhstan

I say that 2 or 3 out of the 14 countries on the "which ones might it be?" list was chosen for 3 unknown legs on the AR20 route.

apskip:
The MODIFY function on posts still does not work consistently, so I have to add things to a note to MODIFY it. For the "prior countries list" add Bangladesh and Oman and up the count to 16 countries.

For the "never visited countries list" please add Pakistan and Yemen.

DavidJunior:
Is there any chance that this could be a 13 leg race?

We have up to at least leg 4 (if not leg 5) done by Dec. 4

Then teams being spotted in Japan on Dec. 19 before finishing in Hawaii

That leaves 14-15 days to get from Italy to Osaka

And since we have 6 confirmed legs (4 in the beginning, and 2 at the end); to me it seems like 14-15 days is a little much for just 6 legs

Call it wishful thinking, but it seems at very least feasible to me

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