The Amazing Race > The Amazing Race Discussion
Some interesting (and some not so interesting) facts and records!
Dom:
--- Quote from: apskip on November 28, 2011, 10:03:33 AM ---
--- Quote from: SuperTux on November 28, 2011, 07:49:49 AM ---Then there's no doubt that Jeremy & Sandy will win the race of S19.
Ernie & Cindy got EP, which promises them to get into the Final 3 with no opportunity to win.
Amani & Marcus were the 5th in Leg 1, and Andy & Tommy the 7th.
--- End quote ---
Supertux,
Get Real! Those past events have no impact on what happened when AR19 unless you can prove some causality (which nobody can). I'm with Prophet. There is an equal chance of each team that makes the final 3 winning. Are you trying to run an Astrology exercise here?
Also, how do you know that Andy/Tommy are even going to make the final 3? I think they will be displaced by Ernie/Cindy.
--- End quote ---
Chill out! I'm sure that SuperTux was simply having some fun with the statistics. Of course it's absurd to think past outcomes affect the probabilities in any way, but still its fun to figure out what outcomes would satisfy all the rules.
Prophet:
I don't think it's so much that past outcomes effect the present, but more that there are subtle tendencies in Race positions.
What is the best logical explanation for the famous leg 3 curse? I venture that it has to do with teams that win a lot of legs in the middle of the season and then somehow taper off. Eric and Jeremy had a similar run to Andy and Tommy. On the other hand Meghan and Cheyne won many legs as well but in the latter half of the race.
Cocoa:
--- Quote from: theschnauzers on November 28, 2011, 01:03:17 PM ---At some point, I plan to also publish my compilation of each season's leg-by-leg finish order (including the uber-leg midpoints) that I use in computing the final placement averages for all the teams in all seasons list. (Wikipedia has never kept midpoint arrival order for the uberlegs.)
I'm well aware of some of those odd facts in the performance of teams.
--- End quote ---
All uber-leg midpoints are seen already at Wikipedia now, though. I believe I started seeing Wikipedia adding race positions during midpoints at the time of Season 18 (maybe to settle the technicalities for the special TBC of Season 18, they added all race placements)
SuperTux:
--- Quote from: apskip on November 28, 2011, 10:03:33 AM ---Also, how do you know that Andy/Tommy are even going to make the final 3? I think they will be displaced by Ernie/Cindy.
--- End quote ---
??? I didn't say Andy & Tommy would be in the Final 3...
I just deduced my conclusion from those curses. Those funny patterns that have existed for 18 seasons really deserve to have a research. :lol:
Jobby:
:lol: apskip, you really never know. But I know where you're coming from.
But... that's the purpose of this thread right? It's all just pure fun and speculation. :tup:
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