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TAR 20 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**

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apskip:

--- Quote from: supah3ro on March 30, 2012, 10:37:37 PM ---
--- Quote from: apskip on March 30, 2012, 08:41:57 PM ---
--- Quote from: supah3ro on March 30, 2012, 04:39:10 PM ---in the end this should be the final race route:

Leg 1 (United States - Argentina)
Leg 2 (Argentina)
Leg 3 (Argentina - Paraguay)
Leg 4 (Paraguay - Italy)
Leg 5 (Italy - Germany)
Leg 6 (Germany - Azerbaijan)
Leg 7 (Azerbaijan - Tanzania)
Leg 8 (Tanzania)
Leg 9 (Tanzania - India)
Leg 10 (India)
Leg 11 (India - Japan)
Leg 12 (Japan - United States)


its actually an awesome race route. and they are only spending 4 legs in Asia (if you include Azerbaijan) compared to 5 legs in the last two seasons  :yess:
as much as i would've loved two legs in Japan, I'm excited because India never fails to deliver excitement and drama :hrt:

i definitely think Leg 7 is a NEL, and my other guess is Leg 9 is the other NEL (which I'm hoping is a TBC)
it makes more sense to not take a non-eliminated team to Japan because theres a better chance they catch up JMO


--- End quote ---

supah3ro,

What you wish for is not possible. The reason is that a 12 leg race has 8 elimination points, 1 finale and 3 NELs. Since there was one NEL already in Torino, there can be only 2 NELs or one TBC in the remaining legs. Your wish for a NEL and a TBC requires 13 legs.

--- End quote ---

sorry apskip i don't quite understand what you are talking about.

there are SIX legs remaining
- ONE of the six legs must have THREE teams racing, which is the FINALE
- that means there are 5 remaining legs in which THREE of the remaining teams MUST be eliminated in

THREE out of FIVE legs are ELIMINATIONS
TWO out of the same FIVE legs can be NELs or TBCs
right?
say one of those two legs is a NEL and the other is a TBC
doesn't it make sense? .

--- End quote ---
supah3ro,

Not right. Wrong! "say one of those two legs is a NEL and the other is a TBC doesn't it make sense?" only applies for 2 NELS. Any TBC counts as two legs and throws off the math. So the only possible combinations are 2 NELs or one TBC. Your suggestion of one NEL plus one TBC does not compute.

Zack.:
I think when supah says 'TBC' they mean a zero-hour Pit Stop, as with Brussels last season and Sydney and Lijiang in UB.

What I think might happen:
Leg 7: NEL (6 to 6)
Leg 8: 6 to 5
Leg 9: 'The next leg starts right now, here's your next clue.' (5 to 5)
Leg 10: 5 to 4
Leg 11: 4 to 3

My main issue with a zero-hour rest in Tanzania is that TAR generally avoids having African legs take place in the evening, which is a possibility (we don't know when they arrive in Tanzania, how they get around, or what tasks they'll do). Brussels was fine to have a zero-hour rest since WRP doesn't particularly care about people driving in Europe, while Sydney and Lijiang each had forced long-distance (overnight) transit to get Phil and co. ahead of the racers.

Admittedly, we don't know if the second Tanzania leg is in or around Arusha, nor do we know where the Indian legs are beyond Kerala so this is all presently spec. I do think a long-distance train ride or flight to a different location entirely would give production the jump they need on teams (especially if it's to somewhere like Mumbai, Delhi, or a city close to either of those two, where they can more easily get to Osaka).

Jimmer:
A TBC counts for only one NEL not two.  :tup:

supah:

--- Quote from: Zack. on March 31, 2012, 11:12:56 AM ---I think when supah says 'TBC' they mean a zero-hour Pit Stop, as with Brussels last season and Sydney and Lijiang in UB.

What I think might happen:
Leg 7: NEL (6 to 6)
Leg 8: 6 to 5
Leg 9: 'The next leg starts right now, here's your next clue.' (5 to 5)
Leg 10: 5 to 4
Leg 11: 4 to 3

My main issue with a zero-hour rest in Tanzania is that TAR generally avoids having African legs take place in the evening, which is a possibility (we don't know when they arrive in Tanzania, how they get around, or what tasks they'll do). Brussels was fine to have a zero-hour rest since WRP doesn't particularly care about people driving in Europe, while Sydney and Lijiang each had forced long-distance (overnight) transit to get Phil and co. ahead of the racers.

Admittedly, we don't know if the second Tanzania leg is in or around Arusha, nor do we know where the Indian legs are beyond Kerala so this is all presently spec. I do think a long-distance train ride or flight to a different location entirely would give production the jump they need on teams (especially if it's to somewhere like Mumbai, Delhi, or a city close to either of those two, where they can more easily get to Osaka).

--- End quote ---

sorry if i didn't get this through to you apksip but what Zack said is what I'm trying to say. not a TBC but a zero hour pit stop.

TARFansurvivor:
Just read that leg 9 and 10 are both in India. So i hope it is Kerela, Goa and Bangalore!!!!

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