Archive > The Amazing Race 18 Spoilers and Speculation

TAR 18 Ep 6 "I Feel Like a Monkey in a Circus Parade" (Kolkata, India)

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Prophet:
Ron: I can't disco and paint at the same time. :lol3:

Pedaler:

--- Quote from: BK_amazing_race on March 27, 2011, 10:58:00 AM ---Has anything like this ever happened before on previous seasons of TAR?  Have they ever spoiled too much?  I've only been here since last season so I wouldn't know.

--- End quote ---

I don't know where it came from, but Peach's precious predecessor Puddin, posted the entire boot list in correct order for the All Stars Season (11) before the season began on CBS.

georgiapeach:
And that was a huge coup at the time...but puddin said many times that given the chance, she would never do it again.

It pretty much killed much of the speculation, the suspense, and the sheer FUN of figuring out what would happen next.

SO we never have again.

apskip:
I think it's worthwhile to take a mathematical look at the tea tasting. Let us start with these assumptions:

1. There were 1500 cups of tea.
2. There were a very limited number of cups that matched the reference sample tasted in Kunming.
3. For every 5 cups sampled, an individual went to the tea master.
4. Some individuals used their sense of taste or smell to "beat the odds" and others did not; for the latter this became a needle-in-a-haystack task.

Let's say there were 8 matching cups among the 1500 ( I tried it with 10 and the results did not reflect the real situation well). That means the odds of an individual tasting each cup without special knowledge would be 0.5333%. If we say that it took 15 seconds to choose and sample a cup and another 15 seconds to get the result verified, then here is the way it would have gone on average assuming no smell or taste assistance:

#1 8 cups available 94 tastings to reach midpoint in average 28 minutes
#2 7 cups available 107 tastings to reach midpoint in average 33 minutes
#3 6 cups available 125 tastings to reach midpoint in average 38 minutes
#4 5 cups available 150 tastings to reach midpoint in average 45 minutes
#5 4 cups available 187.5 tastings to reach midpoint in average 56 minutes
#6 3 cups available 250 tastings to reach midpoint in average 75 minutes
#7 2 cups available 375 tastings to reach midpoint in average 112 minutes (a bit less than the 3+ hours it took Flight Time)
#8 1 cup available  750 tastings to reach midpoint in average 225 minutes (3.75 hours, close to what it took Luke)

Teams using taste or smell to their advantage would have finished more quickly than indicated above, but the last 2 teams were in for a very difficult task.

Slowhatch:
My Mandarin is non-existent but if this is the shop sign then this might be the POI page. That would put Jin Fu Yi Zhan in the middle of the wholesale tea district (seen here).

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