Archive > The Amazing Race 17 Spoilers & Speculation

TAR 17 Speculation

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DrRox:

--- Quote from: apskip on October 11, 2010, 10:37:00 AM ---Here are the weekday schedule from Harstad/Narvik Airport (EVE) to Oslo:

Dep.     To     Flight     Airline   

06:45  08:30  Oslo SK4079      SAS   
06:50  08:30  Oslo DY233         Norwegian Air Shuttle
11:05  12:45  Oslo SK4083/DY2 SAS/Norwegian Air Shuttle   
17:15   18:55 Oslo  DY229       Norwegian Air shuttle
17:55   19:40 Oslo  SK4095     SAS   
19:35   21:15 Oslo  DY237       Norwegian Air Shuttle

Only the ones to Oslo matter, as they can easily connect to Stockholm and from there to St. Petersburg. Flights from Oslo to St. Petersburg connect through Helsinki, Stockholm, Hamburg or Copenhagen. We are looking for a flight through Stockholm having the right time parameters.
The possibilities are:

 OSL  ARN SK864   1100 1200
 ARN  LED SK732   1310 1635

Either SK4079 or DY233 get teams to Oslo in time for the connection on to Stockholm and then St. Petersburg.

--- End quote ---


Great research, apskip, but there is a fly in the ointment. The confirmed flight for ARN to LED is SK 732  1000 to 1330. The witness confirmed all the teams on that flight in this communication with Peach.

http://forum.realityfanforum.com/index.php/topic,21997.msg526813.html#msg526813   Post #418

So if we work backwards from ARN to Oslo, for connecting flights, we get two possible flights. If we give 1 hour  of connection time, then they must arrive in Oslo by 0900 on June 5, 2110, a Saturday. These are the two posibilities…

SK 848   0742 to 0833  or
DY 810   0756 to 0845

So looking for flights from EVE to OSL on Sat June 5,2110, there are only 3 flights on a reduced service Saturday. One each in the morning, afternoon and evening. The morning flight is

DY 233  0648 to 0817

As you can see, it does not arrive in Oslo (OSL) in time to make the connection to Stockholm (ARN). They could have left on the evening of June 4, 2110 and slept in the Oslo airport, but I think that is unlikely.

At this time, I think that the teams drove the cars they picked up at Kiruna Airport (KRN) to the Narvik area. That is my assumption for this speculation. If they did drive, then they could be released in time to drive back to Kiruna Airport to make the following flights to St Petersburg.

KRN ARN    DY 3766   0730 to 0855
ARN LED     SK 732     1000 to 1330

One other small matter. The airport at Narvik, Harstad-Narvik (EVE) is 80 km from Narvik. It is on the opposite side of the fjord and west of Narvik. It is a very convoluted drive. I think they could have had the mat and pit stop out there close to the airport, and made them drive out there to check in for Leg 5. But the fact that you can't make the ARN/LED flight by flying out of EVE doesn’t make much sense. I tried to check the railroad timetables to see if traveling between Kiruna and Narvik was viable, but I have been unable to find June timetables.

apskip:
Here are timetables in effect August 22 to December 11 for trains from Kiruna to Narvik:

304 km Kiruna C  7.09    9.31 10.31 14.04(bus)

473 km Narvik      10.01 12.40 13.25 16.51(bus)

I could find nothing for earlier than August, but it is reasonable to assume schedules would be comparable or more frequent.

The reverse direction train schedules  for the same date range from Narvik to KIruna are:

                              
0 km          Narvik          10.26 14.50

169 km Kiruna C          13.27 17.26
                                
473 km Lulea in            17.24 21.04
  
      
473 km Lulea  out         19.57

Uppsala in         8.31
Uppsala  out      8.53

 Arlanda Airport   9.01  

This indicates it takes 22.5 hours to do this route by train.

DrRox:
That long train ride from Narvik to Stockholm, from apskip, sure leads to some interesting spec about the timeline above the arctic circle. If Leg 6 really starts on June 4 with that 22 hour train ride from Narvik to Stockholm, then it would really give Phil almost 2 days before meeting the teams at the mat in St Petersburg on the evening of June 5th. One to do his standups and the other to catch up on the internet and other things that he has mentioned in tweets and facebook posts.

If teams finish Leg 4 before midnight on June 1 near the Norwegian border, from the ski resort identification. Leg 5 could be finished by midnight June 2 or early morning June 3 and Phil could fly out. Teams could have some sort of an extended pit stop in the Narvik area. Then teams could be released to take the train on June 4 to start leg 6, arriving in Arlanda Airport the morning of June 5 when they were spotted.

As Neobie has mentioned, there is no nighttime up there at that time of year. The Land of the Midnight Sun. Its possible they could have some planned HoO tasks to stretch out the legs also to fit into my timeline, with thanks to apskip for the train schedules.

It also provides a good escape route for the 3rd and 4th teams going to the ES. They could fly from Narvik to Oslo to Cancun and not have to reverse course.

furybaby:
I really hope Team Jumba doesn't get eliminated tht soon :'(

furybaby:
Lists are so much more simple than a timeline though  :hearts:
you can actually guess/piece the infos and make a list  :jam:
that way it give me more faith bout other teams heh   :-[

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