Archive > The Amazing Race 16 Spoilers/Speculation
Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
Cocoa:
--- Quote from: Caelestor on January 18, 2010, 11:51:19 PM ---
We know that Chile has 2 legs for TAR 16. That leaves 2 more unaccounted for.
--- End quote ---
Well Malaysia *could* be one too, one in KM and in Penang. (Blissful Spec)
Hooky:
--- Quote from: Caelestor on January 18, 2010, 11:51:19 PM ---A far more visible trend that really started in TAR 13 is the fact that 3 countries host more than 1 leg:
TAR 13: Brazil, India, Russia.
TAR 14: Russia, Thailand, China.
TAR 15: Vietnam, Dubai, Czech Republic.
We know that Chile has 2 legs for TAR 16. That leaves 2 more unaccounted for.
--- End quote ---
The two legs in Djibouti and Malaysia speculated by north09 fit well with this trend. I think that route is a distinct possibility.
woden:
--- Quote from: Caelestor on January 18, 2010, 11:51:19 PM ---
--- Quote from: theschnauzers on January 18, 2010, 08:37:36 PM ---I just want to make one observation. Ever since TAR 12, the structure of the route has changed in consistent ways from earlier seasons. We now have a pattern with 11-12 legs, rather than 12-13 (and I'm not counting the uberlegs as seprate legs in this comparison).
In the recent Races, there has been a consistent pattern of two or three cities where there are double legs. In the earlier seasons , two legs in a country didn't always mean two legs in the same city or metropolitan area. And it appears the remaining legs are often a grouped together so that several proximate countries are plotted out in each continent/area the route goes through. I'm sure it may be stating the obvious, but my point is that there really is a change since Race 12 as compared to the Races prior to that one.
--- End quote ---
Actually, TAR 12 did not stay in the same city for one leg (they went out to the country and back into the capital during the Burkino Faso legs). TAR 14 only stayed in Beijing due to the TBC. TAR 13 stayed in Delhi and Moscow, and TAR 15 stayed in Dubai and Prague for 2 legs each.
A far more visible trend that really started in TAR 13 is the fact that 3 countries host more than 1 leg:
TAR 13: Brazil, India, Russia.
TAR 14: Russia, Thailand, China.
TAR 15: Vietnam, Dubai, Czech Republic.
We know that Chile has 2 legs for TAR 16. That leaves 2 more unaccounted for.
--- End quote ---
Argentina seems a distinct possibility for 2 legs as well.
apskip:
Argentina is more than a possibility. It is a high probability. To do 5 legs in South America, #3 will be in Bariloche and #4 could be anywhere but the most likely is in the Buenos Aires metro area.
I have speculated that there will be 2 legs in Penang to make an 11 leg race with known pit stops; it happens there is no Germany and no 2nd leg in Djibouti. I think the odds are slightly less than even that a 12th leg might be in either Germany or Djibouti 2.
Caelestor:
I'm still taking all spec between our confirmed legs in Bariloche and Penang with a grain of salt.
That said, I wouldn't be surprised if TAR decided to be cheap innovative and have five legs in SA, including 2 in Argentina.
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