Archive > The Amazing Race 16 Spoilers/Speculation
Speculation on TAR16 *no wish-lists please*
apskip:
--- Quote from: Ryan83 on December 16, 2009, 05:08:19 AM ---So if they had a 12 hr pitstop and leave pit between 12-2am. Then get the airport to fly out. There are a few popular cities.
Three flights to Johannesburg at 2:30am
Four flights to hong kong at 2:05am and one at 3am, two more at 6:50am
Four flights to Bangkok one at 3:30am and one at 3:55 am, two more at 6:45am
Two to Tokyo both at 6am
Three to Kuala Lumpur all at 6:45am
--- End quote ---
Ryan,
It's important to sort out the easterly destinations from the westerly. The probability that the Amazing Race would use Penang, Singapore or Malaysia as the turning point to head back west to reach the U.S. is negligible, so that would indicate Johannesburg does not need further consideration. The next stop could be in Bangkok (just a little west but also north which is crucial at some point), Tokyo(although that was just done in AR15; however, a connection in Narita is a possibility from wherever the next stop is), Kuala Lumpur or about 14 other large metropolitan areas in East Asia. Here are some possiblities, several of which have had recent Amazing Races visit:
Kuala Lumpur
Bali
Jakarta
Bangkok
Vientiane
Phnom Penh
Ho Chi Minh City
Hanoi
Guangzhou
Chongqing
Xian
Shanghai
Beijing
Taipei
Osaka
Seoul
All 17 have approximately the same low probability, maybe in the 3% range.
I like the prospects for a stop in Australia or New Zealand as the way back to the U.S., but it could be Manila, unvisited by the Amazing Race since AR5. I think all of these 3 possibilities have about a 10% to 15% probability each.
fijibeachbum:
While I have not a clue in the sleuthing aspect, I throw this out for the experts.
I fear that IF Manilla was the plan, there was a volcanic eruption in the Phillipines this morning. Could they have had to alter the plans? Just guessing....
Hooky:
--- Quote from: fijibeachbum on December 16, 2009, 06:15:56 PM ---While I have not a clue in the sleuthing aspect, I throw this out for the experts.
I fear that IF Manilla was the plan, there was a volcanic eruption in the Phillipines this morning. Could they have had to alter the plans? Just guessing....
--- End quote ---
That would be very strange and unprecedented if they did. Usually they plow ahead as planned, but I don't know what they would do in an event like this (maybe skip the leg altogether?). ???
They did skip a leg in the Family Edition, or so I have heard.
fijibeachbum:
According to the news reports, 30,000 to 50,000 people have been evacuated due to the early rumblings of the Mayon volcano in the Albay province in the central part of the country. They began evacuating people as a precaution and are forecasting an imminent major eruption. Not sure if this would affect traveling into and out of the country or not. The area is about 300 miles south of Manila.
puddin:
TAR Asia is not filming ..........
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