Archive > The Amazing Race 15 Spoilers
TAR15 EP8: "This is the Worst Thing I’ve Ever Done in My Life"
apskip:
It's time for some statistics. The average probability of a hit with 7 flags and 186 bales is 3.76% per attempt assuming that all teams left no clues in their bales. That means that it would take an average of 26.6 tries before a team found one flag. Although it could vary as flags are actually found, on average it would still stay roughly the same unless there was a "run on the bank". Sam with over 100 tries would have taken 4 times the average. Somebody has to be above average and others below average because that the way a random task works. It is hard to say how long it took to unroll each bale and get to the next one. My guess is that it was about 2 minutes per try. That means that the average time to complete would be about 53 minutes. Meghan reported 2 hours plus. Gary had 2 hours 45 minutes for his. Sam took longer than Meghan and probably longer than Matt. Maybe 3 hours? Big Easy took a short time and so did Brian.
In comparison to the AR6 Ep. 3 Lena effort, the original specs were for 20 clues in 270 bales with 9 teams. This time there were more bales and fewer clues when the number of teams were equalized. The statistics for the original ROADBLOCK were 7.4% hit rate, almost exactly twice the percentage for AR15 ep. 8. The number of bales were 30 per team originally and 37.2 for AR15. On any measure, AR15 Ep.8 was consdeirably tougher than the original.
Neobie:
Could I request caps for the Arlanda train station? I think we saw a couple of clocks there! ;D
puddin:
--- Quote from: Neobie on November 08, 2009, 09:40:03 PM ---Could I request caps for the Arlanda train station? I think we saw a couple of clocks there! ;D
--- End quote ---
on the way Neobie ,, brb
puddin:
....
puddin:
this shown when the trotters catch their train
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