Archive > The Amazing Race 15 Spoilers
TAR15 EP7:"This is Not My Finest Hour" (The Netherlands)
apskip:
I am going to try to estimate when teams released from the pit stop, then assess the probable flight combinations they will take.
I have assigned the tasks and transportation involved in Ep. 6 (Dubai II) the following approximate durations (in minutes):
Taxi to Dubai Creek 15
Rowing to Yacht and Back 30 except Tiffany 15 and Brian 45
Open Briefcase 0 except for Herb/Nate 85
Taxi to Old Souk Abra Station 15
Walk to DETOURs 10 except for Sam/Dan who must have lost 15 minutes in transit and had about 25
GOLD Detour Marie/Tiffany 5, Sam/Dan 5 or
GLASS other 5 teams average maybe 60 except Mika/Canaan 30 Gary/Matt 75 and Brian/Ericka 120 due partly to trying both DETOURs
Taxi to Atlantis Resort 15
Walk to Leap of Faith 10
Leap of Faith 5 except for Mika/Canaan 50
Walk to Pit Stop 5
TOTALS for Maria/Tiffany 1 hour 50 minutes
TOTALS for Sam/Dan 2 hours 5 minutes
TOTALS for Cheyne/Meghan, Gary/Matt 2 hours 45 minutes
TOTALS for Brian/Ericka 3 hours 45 minutes
TOTALS for Nate/Herb 4 hours 15 minutes
TOTALS for Mika/Canaan 3 hours 0 minutes
Add in 12 hours for the pit stop between legs 6 and 7 you have this for release times (add 20 minutes to these to get to Dubai International Airport and 30 minutes minimum to book and board a flight):
Cheyne/Meghan release around 1102pm July 28
Maria/Tiffany release about 137am July 29
Sam/Dan release about 139am
Brian/Ericka release about 144am
Gary/Matt release about 145am
Nate/Herb arrive about 252am
That leads to the following implications for flights teams will get, assuming that the pit stop is 12 hours:
Cheyne/Meghan can make the nonstop KL428 DXB AMS 0140 0600
Maria/Tiffany, Sam/Dan, Brian/Ericka and Gary/Matt will just miss the Swiss connection through Zurich and they will get OS840 DXB VIE 0240 0605 connecting in Vienna to OS371 0720 0915.
That leaves in deep trouble Nate/Herb, who can do no better than waiting for the nonstop KL430 DXB AMS 0800 1220.
This is an anti-bunching approach, but I figure that sometime this race World Race Productions will give us just a glimpse of a real, non-bunched race (then take it all back by bunching for the remainder of AR15).
Caelestor:
Open Briefcase 0 except for Herb/Nate 85
The hood's definitely mad at them! :lol:
Somehow, I think TAR is going to have yet another non-standard pit stop, and force them to take the 8:00 flight. Besides Phil getting ahead of everyone else, non-stop flights are cheaper. :duno:
Chateau d If:
--- Quote from: apskip on October 27, 2009, 11:25:36 PM ---I am going to try to estimate when teams released from the pit stop, then assess the probable flight combinations they will take.
I have assigned the tasks and transportation involved in Ep. 6 (Dubai II) the following approximate durations (in minutes):
Taxi to Dubai Creek 15
Rowing to Yacht and Back 30 except Tiffany 15 and Brian 45
Open Briefcase 0 except for Herb/Nate 85
Taxi to Old Souk Abra Station 15
Walk to DETOURs 10 except for Sam/Dan who must have lost 15 minutes in transit and had about 25
GOLD Detour Marie/Tiffany 5, Sam/Dan 5 or
GLASS other 5 teams average maybe 60 except Mika/Canaan 30 Gary/Matt 75 and Brian/Ericka 120 due partly to trying both DETOURs
Taxi to Atlantis Resort 15
Walk to Leap of Faith 10
Leap of Faith 5 except for Mika/Canaan 50
Walk to Pit Stop 5
TOTALS for Maria/Tiffany 1 hour 50 minutes
TOTALS for Sam/Dan 2 hours 5 minutes
TOTALS for Cheyne/Meghan, Gary/Matt 2 hours 45 minutes
TOTALS for Brian/Ericka 3 hours 45 minutes
TOTALS for Nate/Herb 4 hours 15 minutes
TOTALS for Mika/Canaan 3 hours 0 minutes
Add in 12 hours for the pit stop between legs 6 and 7 you have this for release times (add 20 minutes to these to get to Dubai International Airport and 30 minutes minimum to book and board a flight):
Cheyne/Meghan release around 1102pm July 28
Maria/Tiffany release about 137am July 29
Sam/Dan release about 139am
Brian/Ericka release about 144am
Gary/Matt release about 145am
Nate/Herb arrive about 252am
That leads to the following implications for flights teams will get, assuming that the pit stop is 12 hours:
Cheyne/Meghan can make the nonstop KL428 DXB AMS 0140 0600
Maria/Tiffany, Sam/Dan, Brian/Ericka and Gary/Matt will just miss the Swiss connection through Zurich and they will get OS840 DXB VIE 0240 0605 connecting in Vienna to OS371 0720 0915.
That leaves in deep trouble Nate/Herb, who can do no better than waiting for the nonstop KL430 DXB AMS 0800 1220.
This is an anti-bunching approach, but I figure that sometime this race World Race Productions will give us just a glimpse of a real, non-bunched race (then take it all back by bunching for the remainder of AR15).
--- End quote ---
But we already know, thanks to Puddin's sharp eye, that Cheyne & Meghan finish at 12:15 pm. No need to estimate. And that KL428 1:40 am flight to AMS was actually at 12:13 am. The other direct flight to AMS you listed does not show up.
gator27:
--- Quote from: Caelestor on October 28, 2009, 12:04:51 AM ---Open Briefcase 0 except for Herb/Nate 85
The hood's definitely mad at them! :lol:
Somehow, I think TAR is going to have yet another non-standard pit stop, and force them to take the 8:00 flight. Besides Phil getting ahead of everyone else, non-stop flights are cheaper. :duno:
--- End quote ---
In my experience, direct flights are not cheaper because they are in higher demand. This experience is limited to flying in North America.
I do not think cost of the flight is an issue. Teams need to get to a destination as quickly as possible and direct routes are the best.
apskip:
gator27,
If I were to make a generalization based on years as a travel agent, it would be that nonstop international flights are generally more expensive than connecting flights because passengers value the convenience.
For the Amazing Race, I doubt that it matters, however, as I understand that the standard instructions to teams are to buy the Y class (or equivalent) for a given route. This is economy but with maximum flexibilty and the opportunity to have alterante flights endorsed by the alternate airline very quickly. These cost more than the least expensive economy class seats and there is one price irrespective of whether a flight is nonstop or connecting.
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