Archive > The Amazing Race 16 Spoilers/Speculation

TAR 16 Start Date?

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tigellinus:
When did TAR 7 wrap? I remember the Jamaica airport had Christmas decorations, and I thought it finished very close to Xmas!

Moo:
YAY! Please let them return to Africa... <3

Though I think they'll revisit Costa Rica for the infamous coffee bean Roadblock :(

ImANewUser:

--- Quote from: Moo on November 06, 2009, 04:44:16 AM ---YAY! Please let them return to Africa... <3

Though I think they'll revisit Costa Rica for the infamous coffee bean Roadblock :(

--- End quote ---

Please let there be the return of the "If you go there, they will kill you"/"Baby there's NO MORE MIIIILLLLKKK!!" Roadblock. :funny:

theschnauzers:
According to Wikipedia the filming dates for TAR 7 was November 20 to December 19th 2004.  Other seasons filmed in that period include TAR 9 November 7th to December 3rd, 2005, TAR 11 (AS) November 20th to December 17th, 2006, and TAR 14, October 31st to November 21st, 2008.

With the exception of All-Stars, I believe all the others mentioned above completed filming before a TARcon for a season aired in the fall.

walkingpneumonia:
Start date speculation...
Again, I'm going to try to predict when they might start filming TAR 16 by analyzing past dates... eventually I'll get this right.
My guess makes a few assumptions:
TAR 16 premiers on February 14. Week after Superbowl - dissenting opinions welcome.
WRP needs an average of 109 days to edit. TAR 15 took 71 days - which accounts for the lousy editing job. Will the editors work over the Christmas holidays? I'll give them 79 days to edit.
(Note - the days to edit column is calculated from the start date to the air date.  I should probably throw out the edit days for TAR 1 when calculating the average.)
Race will start on a Friday.
They probably won't race over Christmas holidays - but Hanukkah is fair game. Will they start on Thanksgiving or Black Friday? Maybe if the race doesn't start in the USA. :jam:

So my guess - Friday November 27 to start racing.

Race   Start Date                                                                        End Date                                         Dur. Air Date   Edit Days
TAR 16 Friday    2009-11-27  Los Angeles, California, Probably, Outside USA, maybe    Friday    2009-12-18  USA West Coast, Probably   22   2010-02-14 79
TAR 15 Saturday  2009-07-18  Los Angeles, California, (LA River)                      Friday    2009-08-07  LV, Nevada or CA desert    22   2009-09-20 71
TAR 14 Friday    2008-10-31  Los Angeles, California, (Los Alamitos Naval Base)       Saturday  2008-11-22   Maui, Hawaii               22   2009-02-15 107
TAR 13 Tuesday   2008-04-22  Los Angeles, California, (Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum) Wednesday 2008-05-14   Portland, Oregon           22   2008-09-28 159
TAR 12 Sunday    2007-07-08  Los Angeles, California,  (The Playboy Mansion)          Sunday    2007-07-29   Anchorage, Alaska          21   2007-11-04 119
TAR 11 Monday    2006-11-20  Miami, Florida, (Charles Deering Historic Estate)        Sunday    2006-12-17    San Francisco, California  27   2007-02-18  90
TAR 10 Saturday  2006-05-27  Seattle, Washington, (Gas Works Park)                    Saturday  2006-06-24   New York City, New York    28   2006-09-17 113
TAR 9  Monday    2005-11-07  Morrison, Colorado, (Red Rocks Amphitheatre)             Saturday  2005-12-03    Morrison, Colorado         26   2006-02-28 113
TAR 8  Thursday  2005-07-07  New York City, New York , (Brooklyn Bridge)              Sunday    2005-07-31   Lewiston, New York         24   2005-09-27  82
TAR 7  Saturday  2004-11-20  Long Beach, California, (Queen Mary Museum Ship)         Sunday    2004-12-19    Fort Lauderdale, Florida   30   2005-03-01 101
TAR 6  Friday    2004-08-13  Chicago, Illinois, (Buckingham Fountain)                 Sunday    2004-09-12    Chicago, Illinois          30   2004-11-16  95
TAR 5  Friday    2004-01-30  Santa Monica, California, (Santa Monica Pier)            Friday    2004-02-27   Dallas, Texas              28   2004-07-06 158
TAR 4  Saturday  2003-01-18  Los Angeles, California, (Dodger Stadium)                Friday    2003-02-14   Phoenix, Arizona           27   2003-05-29 131
TAR 3  Friday    2002-08-09  Everglades National Park, Florida                        Saturday  2002-09-07    Seattle, Washington        29   2002-10-02  54
TAR 2  Tuesday   2002-01-08  Pahrump, Nevada                                          Tuesday   2002-02-05   Marin County, California   28   2002-03-11  62
TAR 1  Thursday  2001-03-08  New York City, New York, (Central Park)                  Sunday    2001-04-08   New York City, New York    31   2001-09-05 181

Most frequent start days:
Sunday -1
Monday - 2
Tuesday - 2
Wednesday - 0
Thursday - 2
Friday - 4
Saturday - 4

Most frequent end days:
Sunday - 6
Monday - 0
Tuesday - 1
Wednesday - 1
Thursday - 0
Friday - 3
Saturday - 4

Average edit days - 109

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