I've been using an objective tool going back to TAR 3 that helps get a handle on who is racing well consistently, and provides a way to make comparison of teams and seasons. It utilizes the average of a team's placement at the end of each leg. I might try to post this info here after the season is over, but it is posted at TWoP in a prediction thread.
(There are different ways of computing this average, what I have settled on treats the uberlegs (TM ME!) as two separate legs since it is possible to identify the arrival order and makes season-to-season comparisons more balanced. And this measure seems to work even with the variations in Race course and task design and the other rule changes over the history of TAR.
Using that measure, Meghan and Cheyne are the heavy favorites to win. They won't have the best average of any team in the history of TAR (that's Eric and Jeremy), but they will have the best average of the remaining teams at this point no matter what actually happens. The best average they can have is 2.00 which would place them second, and the worse is 2.33, which would make them fourth all-time.
Yes, they may come across to some as boring. But you know what? Almost all of the winners have come across to some as boring. Because usually, they make the fewest mistakes.
