Archive > The Amazing Race 15 Spoilers
TAR 15 Speculation on Spoilers
Zack.:
After a bunch of research (I have no idea how you guys do this and still manage to do all the other things around here), here's what I came up with for leg 2.
Using simple geography, TPTB would probably wanted to stay along the China Sea/Eastern Pacific. I doubt they would go to China after spending three legs there last season, but then again I thought that about TAR 14 being in Russia and, what do you know, people are running near-naked in Siberia. That being said, here are some possible destinations for our teams. The time indicated is how long they have to run a leg, with a 12 hour pit stop already factored in (obviously extended pit stops would impact this greatly, as would hours of operation/transportation bunches).
From best to worst:
Seoul - 33h 50m for racing
Taipei - 31h 40m for racing
Manila - 30h 20m for racing
Hanoi - 28h 0m for racing*
Kuala Lumpur - 27h 45m for racing
Singapore - 26h 35m for racing
Vientiane, Laos - 26h 10m for racing
Bandar Seri Begawan, Brunei - 25h 55m for racing
Danang, Vietnam - 23 h 0 m for racing
Kuching, Malaysia - 21h 45 m for racing
Australia is possible, but it would be a very tight squeeze (we're talking 8 hours for 10 teams to complete a leg - possible, but hard if someone flies off the rails).
I like Vientiane and BSB as destinations; we typically have a new country in Asia each year (with the exception of TAR 14, which felt the need to have 6 legs in Asian countries previously visited, 5 of them in cities previously visited (:;)).
*Especially for peach - The timing for Hanoi assumes that teams enter and leave Hanoi via airplane. A second option has teams flying into Hanoi and taking a train all the way to HCMC. Nothing would be done in Hanoi, but it would be either an exercise in working the airport/rails or a way to bunch teams up after a difficult first leg. Luckily for teams, there are sleeper trains available every day. Whether TPTB is willing to spend the extra money or willing to not have teams suffer in the hard seats is a mystery. An example of this would be:
JL5135 1100 1435 NRT HAN
SE5 (train) 1900 410(+2) Hanoi HCMC
Thus, HCMC would be leg 2 and we'd have to go from there. While I like that option a lot, I think the best bet is either a second leg in Japan or a leg in the Philippines (since the long amount of racing time allows the teams to travel to different islands in the archipelago and back)).
Glamazon Racer:
--- Quote from: mjriches2005 on July 27, 2009, 01:57:44 AM ---
--- Quote from: racer on July 27, 2009, 01:40:09 AM ---
--- Quote from: mjriches2005 on July 26, 2009, 08:49:58 PM ---
--- Quote from: Mooyou on July 26, 2009, 08:36:01 PM ---Does it make another Asia centric leg??
It looks to me like they're going...
Tokyo 1
Japan 2 - unconfirmed
Bali
HCMC
Phnom Penh
Dubai?
At last. No India...
--- End quote ---
I think they might visit an another middle east country. The only safe ones left besides UAE are Qatar, Bahrain, and Jordan. Hopefully we could see South Africa (Durban) Malawi, Uganda, or Rwanda later on the race!
--- End quote ---
Fifteen seasons and I'm still hoping TAR will go to Armenia. Could be possible from the UAE, plus maybe a leg in Turkey. Just speculating and hoping...
--- End quote ---
Armenia, not at the moment, they have problems; but Azerbaijan is safe! Amazing Race needs to return to Italy and do a leg in Sardinia, Pisa, Genoa, Naples, Turin, Trieste, or Verona. Bordeaux, Toulousse, and Lyons in France would be nice too, as well the tiny nation of Monaco!!!!
--- End quote ---
Yeah, well I can keep hoping until TAR100! As long as we get at least two legs in Africa and at least two new countries, I'm happy.
ImANewUser:
I feel so useless when it comes to these. OMG. I wanna help, but somehow I can't. :'(
Well, thanks and kudos to all you TAR detectives. :tup: :tup:
Just wanna say that. :funny: On topic: Is it possible they finally go to Nairobi from Dubai and stay there for one leg?
Neobie:
Nice, ZachAttack!
An interesting note from TAR 14: Phil was almost always a day ahead of the field, exceptions discussed below. We have the Tokyo leg ending on Monday 20 Jul, and the HCMC leg on Thursday 23 Jul. That gives us enough time for only one spare Phil day, ie...
Scenario 1
20 Jul: Tokyo finish. Phil goes to Leg 2.
21 Jul: Pit Stop release delayed. Spare Phil day to prepare Leg 2.
22 Jul: Leg 2 finish. Phil goes quickly to HCMC.
23 Jul: Phil films HCMC quickly, racing with the teams.
Scenario 2
20 Jul: Tokyo finish. Phil goes quickly to Leg 2.
21 Jul: Phil films Leg 2 quickly, racing with the teams. Phil then goes to HCMC.
22 Jul: Pit Stop release delayed. Spare Phil day to prepare HCMC.
23 Jul: HCMC finish.
We see the pattern continuing with the next two legs:
Phnom Penh, 24 Jul being Phil's free day, 25 Jul the actual racing day.
Dubai, 26 Jul being Phil's free day, 27 Jul the actual racing day.
The two exceptions in TAR 14 were Stechelberg to Vienna (~430 mil), where Phil took a production van; and Phuket to Bangkok (~420 mil), which are within the same country. Apart from Krasnoyarsk-Novosibirsk (~390 mil), which is a headache transport-wise, these are the two shortest legs in the season. I'm guessing Leg 2 is very accessible from either Tokyo or Ho Chi Minh City. And since Phil's in a bit of a rush trying to get to the Pit Stop in the morning for HCMC, I'm guessing he'd use the rest day there. Educated guess conclusion: Leg 2, Japan.
Comparisons:
Tokyo to Kyoto/Osaka (310 mil), Sapporo (490 mil), Seoul (780 mil)
HCMC to Da Nang (370 mil), Vientiane (560 mil), Hanoi (710 mil)
Appendix: TAR 14 simplified timeline
1 Nov: Phil Leg 1; 2 Nov: Racers Leg 1
3 Nov: Phil/Racers Leg 2
4 Nov: Phil Leg 3; 5 Nov: Racers Leg 3
6 Nov: Phil travels; 7 Nov: Phil Leg 4, racers travel; 8 Nov: Racers Leg 4
9 Nov: Phil Leg 5; 10 Nov: Racers Leg 5
11 Nov: Phil travels; 12 Nov: Phil Leg 6, racers travel; 13 Nov: Racers Leg 6
14 Nov: Phil Leg 7; 15 Nov: Racers Leg 7
16 Nov: Phil/Racers Leg 8
17 Nov: Phil Leg 9; 18 Nov: Racers Leg 9
19 Nov: Phil Leg 10; 20 Nov: Racers Leg 10
21 Nov: Phil/Racers Leg 11
ImANewUser:
So based on that, the Hanoi option mentioned somewhere on the board sounds possible (although I prefer a visit to Haiphong - just noticed, most of the Vietnam places on TAR(A) start with an H - Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh, Hue, Ha Long Bay) or they went somewhere else in Honshu. (Kyoto, Nagoya - not sure if this is in Honshu :duno: - or Osaka)
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