Archive > The Amazing Race 15 Spoilers
TAR 15 spoilers, sightings & locations *summary page 1*
puddin:
--- Quote from: woden on August 31, 2009, 03:56:08 PM ---I suppose Keri/Lance are another possibility for early elim -- I think the only thing keeping them in the mix is the "old but not too old" speculation in Dubai.
NVM - they were spotted leaving Vietnam, so they're solid through the first 3 legs.
--- End quote ---
Remember the source wasn't sure about Keri and Lance, he thinks it might have been them so not really solid evidence imo woden and what an outstanding job on the Timeline updates woden :jam:
And thank you so much girlclumsy, I follow your blogging because your such a riot and someone I would love to hang out with in real life :D
apskip:
However, the logic of Woden's statement that there should be 4 eliminated teams by the fourth leg is true under two major conditions:
1. There was an elimination in Los Angeles.
2. There were no NELs in the first 3 legs. Historically, I cannot every remember a NEL in the first 3 legs of any Amazing Race, but that doesn't mean it couldn't happen. There were many people telling me that a prediction of AR12 finishing in Alaska was crazy because there was no precedent for a finish outside the lower 48 states. We all know where that finish was. There could have been a precedent-setting NEL in one of the first 3 legs, but I would rate its probability in the 10% range.
Jobby:
--- Quote from: georgiapeach on August 31, 2009, 02:30:00 PM ---The brothers in red were already spotted in Cambodia, we have photo evidence of them at the temple. (pretty sure it is them)
And if Tokyo is really two legs, then maybe there would be a NEL/TBC? All spec... :lol:
--- End quote ---
All speculation too.
But it's a 2 hour season premiere.. so it could really just be a mega leg for Leg 1 in Japan. Doesn't have to be TBC/NEL or what?
puddin:
If the 12th team Vegans are eliminated at the start it could be that a team is spared leg like you all said above, a superleg and back to back TAR's, whats not to love?
Jobby:
--- Quote from: puddin on August 31, 2009, 11:56:35 PM ---If the 12th team Vegans are eliminated at the start it could be that a team is spared leg like you all said above, a superleg and back to back TAR's, whats not to love?
--- End quote ---
I just secretly hope that the 12th team has been spared from elimination from 5 minutes into the race. Maybe they have been forced to take a third flight that departs latest? :funny: Just hoping.. because it's really saddening to go into the race and be eliminated 5mins later.. as if Bilal and Sa'eed's elimination wasn't sad enough.. but at least they FLEW to China! :(
Imagine being in the cast for like a whole month and being talked about before TAR 15 started.. and letting the whole world know and see you getting eliminated ASAP the race started. :(
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