Archive > The Amazing Race 14

TAR14 Finale: 'This is How You Lose a Million Dollars'

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Dånooky:

--- Quote from: TARAsia Fan on April 30, 2009, 08:39:04 AM ---
--- Quote from: Raymond on April 30, 2009, 04:42:39 AM ---
--- Quote from: cdfe88 on April 30, 2009, 03:46:29 AM ---maybe the author inquires a penalty at the finish line

--- End quote ---

That would be a first. I've never actually known what they do when a team incurs a penalty at the final leg.
--- End quote ---
Can you imagine? Let's say someone gets to the Finish Line kind of like how Wil & Tara and Chris & Alex did in TAR 2 and Chris & Alex used their personal effects to pay off the taxi cab driver, race to pass W/T, nip them by seconds, then Phil says, "Chris & Alex, you are the first team to arrive."

C/A: WHOO!!!!!! YES!!!!! ONE MILLION DOLLARS!!!!

Phil: However...

C/A: Zoiks!

Phil: You used your personal items to pay a taxi cab fare and as you know, that's against the rules of The Amazing Race. You have incurred a two hour penalty. Please step to the side.... Wil & Tara? After 39,000 miles.......

That would be devastating after all that racing to lose that way, but it would make for great television.

--- End quote ---
Phil: I need you to step off the finish line and wait until your penalty's over

Ruth:
Totally sounds like a Jaime/Cara quote to me. If Tammy/Victor, Jaime/Cara and Margie/Luke are indeed our final three, here's what I predict.

1. Jaime and Cara
2. Tammy and Victor
3. Margie and Luke

All for the first all-female win!

apskip:

--- Quote from: Ruth on April 30, 2009, 12:29:30 PM ---Totally sounds like a Jaime/Cara quote to me. If Tammy/Victor, Jaime/Cara and Margie/Luke are indeed our final three, here's what I predict.

1. Jaime and Cara
2. Tammy and Victor
3. Margie and Luke

All for the first all-female win!

--- End quote ---

Ruth, you've got a slightly less than 1/3 chance of that happening. I say that because I rate Tammy/victor and Margie/Luke as stronger teams than Jaime/Cara (just look at their finish rankings for proof).

FLFan:

--- Quote from: apskip on April 30, 2009, 03:49:10 PM ---
--- Quote from: Ruth on April 30, 2009, 12:29:30 PM ---Totally sounds like a Jaime/Cara quote to me. If Tammy/Victor, Jaime/Cara and Margie/Luke are indeed our final three, here's what I predict.

1. Jaime and Cara
2. Tammy and Victor
3. Margie and Luke

All for the first all-female win!

--- End quote ---

Ruth, you've got a slightly less than 1/3 chance of that happening. I say that because I rate Tammy/victor and Margie/Luke as stronger teams than Jaime/Cara (just look at their finish rankings for proof).

--- End quote ---

If you just base the expected final on previous finishes including the TBC, then the approximation of winning per team is: J/C 28%, M/L 35%, T/V 36%

However, if you look at only the last few legs, then the results are far more equal.  J/C have been placing better in each of the last few legs and "won" the TBC.  J/C have apparently been improving, even with the language issues.  Whereas T/V didn't "win" the TBC or the previous 2 legs even with the language and tourist advantages. However, it does look like T/V may smoke the Beijing leg.

With the equalizing that should occur with airport bunching, I think it is possible for any team to win.

T/V have been running good thru most of the game.

M/L have played hard and been very consistent.  If they can get past the K/J problem (which should go away since it is apparent that K/J are gone) and get down to business, they have an excellent chance.

J/C have been improving and in the Hawaii leg there should not be any language issues so hopefully Jaime can concentrate on the game. And if Jaime is not being the ugly American, maybe Cara can concentrate and take her game up a notch.

I know various people in this group do not like different team members.  However, everyone of the remaining players has worked hard and deserves a win.

TARAsia Fan:

--- Quote from: apskip on April 30, 2009, 03:49:10 PM ---
--- Quote from: Ruth on April 30, 2009, 12:29:30 PM ---Totally sounds like a Jaime/Cara quote to me. If Tammy/Victor, Jaime/Cara and Margie/Luke are indeed our final three, here's what I predict.

1. Jaime and Cara
2. Tammy and Victor
3. Margie and Luke

All for the first all-female win!

--- End quote ---

Ruth, you've got a slightly less than 1/3 chance of that happening. I say that because I rate Tammy/victor and Margie/Luke as stronger teams than Jaime/Cara (just look at their finish rankings for proof).
--- End quote ---
You certainly are the final word.

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