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The Amazing Race 14 Speculation on Spoilers

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apskip:

--- Quote from: Alvin06 on December 17, 2008, 04:39:23 AM ---Just a speculation here: Is it possible that before going to China, teams go to an Oceanian country, say Australia or even Papua New Guinea before going to Guillin, China?

Another question, as for the country before Thailand, is it possible to have a northeast African country like Egypt (since geographically, it's quite near Romania and perhaps other intermediate countries in between?)

--- End quote ---
Alvin06, I will do my best to give you my takes on your questions:

Yes, it is possible that AR14 went to Oceania(Australia or Papua New Guinea) between Phuket and Guilin. However, it is maybe 4000 miles to either one so the probabilty of doing so is miniscule, far less than 1% in my opinion. They are not worth thinking about. If TAR14 was headed from Phuket for Australia or New Zealand before jumping off to Hawaii, it would be different.  But a known route from Beijing to Hawaii negates that possibility.

Egypt is a possibility. It along with many other places not on my list for the place after Russia and before Phuket has a combined probability of about 50%. I believe those on my list above have a combined proability of about 50%. However, the straight line for the route from southern Russia to Phuket does not come within thousands of miles of anywhere in Eqypt, so again I have to rate its probability at below 1%.

selkie:
I'd say Georgia was low probability because the conflict in the region is so recent, and even though the peace agreements seem to be holding right now, there's still risk of something nasty spilling over into Tblisi. Egypt seems to be quietly sliding toward something nasty. There have been a couple other reality shows that have filmed there in the last two years (Anthony Bourdain's No Reservations, Ewan MacGregor's Long Way Down) and Tony's talked about having to sneak cameras around because the government didn't want him filming pretty much anywhere outside pre-selected tourist areas, and the Long Way Down crew had to be part of an Army caravan from Cairo down to the Sudan border because of banditry concerns on Egyptian roadways.

I'd bet Papua New Guinea is off the list because of safety concerns and because it would cost a lot of money to get insurance to go there.

Uzbekistan might be a possibility. It's a new place, relatively safe since the unrest of 2005, and seems open to 'cultural exchanges' with Noth American and EU countries.

TARAsia Fan:
I also feel Georgia, USA is not a site for this year's race simply due to the fact the producers do not know any other section of the country besides Los Angeles. :P

Hooky:

--- Quote from: TARAsia Fan on December 18, 2008, 09:32:12 AM ---I also feel Georgia, USA is not a site for this year's race simply due to the fact the producers do not know any other section of the country besides Los Angeles. :P

--- End quote ---

My second biggest pet peeve about the new "condensed" seasons, the first being the "condensed" part. :cmas7

mjriches2005:
I'm thinking that the leg between the Phuket, Thailand and Guilin, China they could've stayed in Thailand like they did on TAR1 (Bangkok/Krabi-Phuket) and TAR2 (Bangkok-Chiang Mai) or have gone to another country in Southeast Asia. There are many locations that the American Amazing Race has not been like Kuching and Penang, Malaysia; Laos; Medan, Indonesia (on the island of Sumatra); and Brunei.  Besides, there is no chance that they could go to Australia or any other part of Oceania since it would take two days to get there from Phuket even with airport connections in Bangkok and Singapore.   

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