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TAR 14!

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walkingpneumonia:
I was trying to predict when they might start TAR 14 by analyzing past dates...
The most frequent day to start a race is Saturday and the most frequent end day is Sunday. I would have thought they would avoid the race running over Thanksgiving so they don't have to pay extra time to the US crews for working on a holiday - but it doesn't seem like thats been a factor in previous years.
I was also trying to figure out any other significant world holidays in late October and November that might affect the race.
If it was me - I'd start the race on Saturday November 8 - end on Tuesday Dec 2 - 24 days - just a guess.

Race   Start Date      End Date   Dur.   Holidays
TAR 14                  Election Day Tues. Nov 4, Thanksgiving Thurs. Nov 27, Hajj Dec. 6 - 11
TAR 13     Tuesday   2008-04-22   Wednesday   2008-05-14   22
TAR 12   Sunday   2007-07-08   Sunday   2007-07-29   21
TAR 11    Monday   2006-11-20   Sunday   2006-12-17    27   Thanksgiving Thurs. Nov. 23
TAR 10    Saturday   2006-05-27   Saturday   2006-06-24   28
TAR 9    Monday   2005-11-07   Saturday   2005-12-03    26   Thanksgiving Thurs. Nov. 24
TAR 8    Thursday   2005-07-07   Sunday   2005-07-31   24
TAR 7    Saturday   2004-11-20   Sunday   2004-12-19    30   Thanksgiving Thurs. Nov. 25
TAR 6    Friday   2004-08-13   Sunday   2004-09-12    30   Labour Day Wed. Sept. 1
TAR 5    Friday    2004-01-30   Friday   2004-02-27   28
TAR 4    Saturday   2003-01-18   Friday   2003-02-14   27
TAR 3    Friday   2002-08-09   Saturday    2002-09-07    29   Labour Day Sun. Sept. 1
TAR 2    Tuesday   2002-01-08   Tuesday   2002-02-05   28
TAR 1    Thursday   2001-03-08   Sunday   2001-04-08   31

Most frequent start days:
Sunday -1
Monday - 2
Tuesday - 2
Wednesday - 0
Thursday - 2
Friday - 3
Saturday - 3

Most frequent end days:
Sunday - 6
Monday - 0
Tuesday - 1
Wednesday - 1
Thursday - 0
Friday - 2
Saturday - 3

apskip:
Nice analysis, walkingpneumonia.

The tendency to favor Saturday outgoing and Sunday incoming has two very good reasons behind it:

1. There is much lower chance of outsiders inadvertently viewing parts of the first or last leg on a weekend.

2. The traffic on weekends is much lighter than any weekdays. This allows the use of close-to-center-city-of-Major-metropolitan-area locations.

Kogs:
tar6 started on a friday

tbhl:
HEY I'm from Toronto and I've witnessed a potential clue box today, it was 1:30pm and I was going out of Utoronto campus to eat my lunch, and I saw this clue box that had yellow and red colours on the stand of the clue box..........I don't know how to upload the picture but if someone here can give me their email I can email them the pic so they could upload it.......the clue box had a lock on it, maybe because I was there early.  when I went back to the same location at around 3:30pm, it was gone, and I took 2 pictures at 1:30pm and one at 3:30 pm.......it looks EXACTLY like the clue boxes I saw on the show.....

michael:

--- Quote from: tbhl on October 22, 2008, 03:18:03 PM ---HEY I'm from Toronto and I've witnessed a potential clue box today, it was 1:30pm and I was going out of Utoronto campus to eat my lunch, and I saw this clue box that had yellow and red colours on the stand of the clue box..........I don't know how to upload the picture but if someone here can give me their email I can email them the pic so they could upload it.......the clue box had a lock on it, maybe because I was there early.  when I went back to the same location at around 3:30pm, it was gone, and I took 2 pictures at 1:30pm and one at 3:30 pm.......it looks EXACTLY like the clue boxes I saw on the show.....

--- End quote ---

hey, i gave you my e-mail in the other thread

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