Archive > The Amazing Race 12 Archive
TAR12 timeline speculation
apskip:
GMAN, AR12 could go on a senseless rush down to South America and then across to Australia just to turn a 4 continent race into 6 continents. But who in the audience would care anyway? So why bother? BVM is a Dutchman and they are known for being sensible people. He did not extend the race for 7 days just to add in South America and Australia.
georgiapeach:
G-MAN--the article says MOST not ALL continents....
and this whole 50,000/28 days vs 30,000/21 days is just poor CBS information. They had one thing on the CBS site and one on the first promo so some web monkey just doesn't know what is up.
We have our route now IMO (at least the broad overview) except for the final city--we just have to narrow it down a little more--adjust the order--and play with the timeline--and look! we're all done! :lol3: :colealert:
apskip:
With the confirmation from PHIL of 11 legs, there are manay things that are now clear or for which the choices are limited:
1. There will be 8 elimination points, 1 FINISH LINE, and 2 TBCs as predicted. My fearless predicting goes on to guess that the TBCs will come between Burkina Faso and the second African country (Niger in my opinion) and between Taipei and Alaska.
2. The hints about inclusion of FLORENCE are getting too big to ignore. I'm going to find a way to put it back in.
3. Osaka has been shaky, but when I reanalyzed the numbers, it had to stay in to reach 11 legs.
4. Other than that and the exact locations of the Africa country(which I believe to be Niger and its capital Niamey) and the Indian place (which could be Jaisalmer; I'm going to put it in that way and see how it fits), this TIMELINE is ready for primetime:
1. 8th LAX to DUB EI144 1630 to 1030(July 9), July 9th DUB to SNN EI133 1145 to 1230 or EI125 1300 to 1345 OR BA278 LAX to LHR 1535 0945(July 9) EI375 1050 1210
2. 11 SNN to DUB EI132 0700 0745, conecting with either EI604 DUB AMS 0940 1215 or EI606 DUB AMS 1120 1355
OR SNN LHR EI372 0845 1005 connecting with BA434 LHR AMS 1135 1350
3. 13 AMS to CDG many Air France choices: 8227 0645 0805; 8223 0725 0850; 8229 0800 0930; 1141 0850 1005; 1241 0930 1045; 8233 1210 1330; 1641 1340 1455
CDG to OUA (Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso) AF732 1640 to 1940 Note: it is possible that teams actually took AF732 that day instead, 1100 to 1635
14 OUA to Bingo by rail; tasks and pitstop
4. 14 or 15 Bingo to OUA by road.
either fly OUA ABJ 2J 322 0800 0930 or VU815 1440 1610
or fly OUA BKO 2J 338 1345 1505
or something within Burkina Faso
for all options, end in TBC since it didn't happen for leg 3
16 late flights from OUA or ABJ or BKO to CDG
5. 17 CDG to FLR AF5038 0720 0915
6. 18 FLR to FRA LH4067 0715 0855
FRA to DBV LH2468 1210 1355
Note: there is one later nonstop FLR to FRA LH4059 1010 1140, but the connection goes FRA ZAG, then ZAG DBV and arrives DBV 1635
7. 20 DBV to VNO OU418 0700 0900 LH 3252 1100 1400 OR X3 418 0945 1145 BT224 1325 1630
8. 22 VNO to FRA TE420 1130 1300
FRA DEL LH760 1345 1225 +1
23 DEL JDH IC471 1310 1400 (Note: due to the tightness of this, I expect backup with a charter flight)
Jodhpur to Jaisalmer 3 hours minimum by road
9. 24 Jaisalmer to Jodhpur leave by noon for 3 hours minimum by road
IC472 JDH DEL 1825 1920
25 AI314 DEL KIX 2315 1235+1
10. Osaka tasks afternoon and evening of 25th
11. 26 KIX TPE EG211 1035 1220 or CX565 1115 1310
Taipei 101 sighting early afternoon on Friday, then leg in Taipei with TBC to avoid having to go below 3 teams
28 TPE to ANC CI11 0345 0630 (July 28 after crossing the International Date Line)
FINISH LINE on July 29 in either GIRDWOOD or ANCHORAGE in 21 Days
EDITOR'S NOTE: There have been new changes in Africa and Florence. Examine them.
apskip:
Teams finished up in Amsterdam way ahead of what I expeected to be the schedule. With the pitstop reached late afternoon for most teams, the release from the Amsterdam pitstop will be before 6am July 12 for most teams unless there is an extended 36 hours pitstop. The question now is could World Race Productions have fit in Vilnius or Florence before the late afternoon July 13 flight to Ouagadougou from Paris-CDG that we know teams were on? Let's examine those possibilities:
July 12 AMS CPH SK550 0705 0830
CPH VNO BT162 0935 1205
July 13 VNO CDG 0805 0955
This shows Vilnius is technically feasible but there would be only 8 hours to get in from the airport, do all tasks, get back to the airport, and have checkin and slack time at the airport. I conclude that this did not happen.
July 12 AMS FLR KL3134 1010 1155 or IG3422 1020 1210
July 13 FLR CDG AF5039 1015 1210 or AF5041 1305 1500
To me this looks feasible and could have happened. Since we know that Episode 3 is about Africa, it appears that it didn't and the 36 hour extended pitstop did.
patlini:
I think it must have been a 36 hour pit stop, to allow those that did the roadblock to clean up
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