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TAR12 timeline speculation
puddin:
--- Quote from: apskip on December 08, 2007, 04:04:38 PM ---patlini, they are not going to get in to Florence and out to India on the same day. It isn't going to happen. You are correct in believing that the major flights from Europe to Delhi depart around noon, but some are as early as 1030. What you are missing is that with your arrival times into Florence of 1215pm and 145pm you already have a negative connect time, you aren't at a major hub, and no tasks have been completed in Florence. It is obvious that the departure from Florence could not be before evening of July 20 if TBC and morning of July 21 if elim. I expect elim.
--- End quote ---
back to back India?
something like this?
EP1 elim 11- Ari/Staella=10 teams left
EP2 elim 10-the Ministers = 9 teams left
EP3 elim 9 the Sisters= 8 teams left
EP4 elim 8- Lorena/Jason=7 teams left
EP5 elim 7- The Blonds =6 teams left
EP6 elim 6 -insert team = 5 teams left
EP7 Florence elim 5- insert team =4 teams left
EP8 India TBC? 4 teams TBC
EP9 India to Japan elim 4- insert team =3 teams left
EP10 Japan to Taiwan TBC final 3
EP11 Taiwan to Alaska final 3 = winners
patlini:
Puddin
that timeline is looking the most likely. I do like TBC's in India especially long train rides :cmas22
apskip:
Peach and patlini, your requests for me to take a hard look at LOT (after Air Baltic and others that I did analyze) have finally been completed. Unfortunately, I needed a little help from the episode because what is involved here are 3 leg double connection routes. The way in which 3 teams were actually successful in reaching Dubrovnik as scheduled. including OS7059 which did not exist on July 19 according to my source but which is in the Austrian Airlines current schedule:
Vilnius Warsaw 0625 0650 LO774
Warsaw Vienna 0740 0905 LO223
Vienna Dubrovnik OS7059 1010 1120
The aborted route that could have work if arrival in Prague within 45 minutes of schedule had happened was:
Vilnius Prague 0600 0635 OK871
Prague Vienna 0730 0825 OK684
Vienna Dubrovnik OS7059 1010 1120
There were several connecting opportunities from Prague to Zagreb, but one sensible approach would be the nonstop flight OK818 departing PRG 1200 arriving ZAG 1335. That leave one hour for the connection. However, TK and Rachel elected to continue through Vienna.
The first flight was easy: OS704 0840 0945
The next flight does not exist per my source, but does in the current Austrian Airlines schedule: OS731 dep. VIE 1315 arr. DBV 1440
Don and Nic took the OK818 routing direct to Zagreb:
OK818 1200 1335 PRG ZAG
OU662 1445 1540 ZAG DBV
Azaria/Hendekea probably got something like this through Amsterdam, Frankfurt and Zagreb:
TE460 0730 0905 VNO AMS
LH4673 1040 1150 AMS FRA
OU419 1430 1615 FRA DBV
They arrive 35 minutes behind the Don and Nic, who arrive 65 mintues behind TK and Rachel.
Complicated stuff!
NOTE: This was revised after Ken issued a reminder that both TK and Rachel and Don and Nic had been on the Prague flight(I had originally confused myself with a Frankfurt route out of Vilnius for Don and Nic, similar to their route in to Vilnius). Thanks, Ken.
patlini:
Cheers apskip
like you said complicated stuff and the screened episode/pit stop times really didn't help much
apskip:
Ah, but that is not correct, patlini. Knowing the first post-Vilnius city in each route made the puzzle much easier to solve, as all routes had to go through Zagreb at known times or through Vienna at one time. I really should have been able to do the leading 3 teams route earlier, but I just couldn't find the flight from Warsaw to Vienna. Probably the reason is that my main source did not identify the Vienna to Dubrovnik 1000 to 1120 flight on its own. It routes you through Zagreb and you have to be there well before 930am, which is impossible. Even well- programmed computer systems have their errors.
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