I think the next ones a NON-ELIM then the next episode is a double leg which replaces a NON ELIM (So its not a non elim).
Then there's one in the next to last episode (like last year), or they've moved it one up one ep (because these people have seen TAR #5 and would be expecting one in the next to last). But, if the NON-ELIM penalty is horrible enough, it doesn't really matter where they put it, racers will not want to be stuck with it and will try to avoid it.
The one that's in the air is the one that saved hayden & Aaron, probably around episode #8.