Author Topic: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**  (Read 306629 times)

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Offline ianthebalance

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #925 on: March 15, 2016, 10:17:25 PM »
well that spoiler was that I believe that team had last 5 legs in a row in 2nd place so I believe whoever comes 2nd in Armenia that's who gets eliminated and Tyler and Korey definitely won't come 2nd in Georgia because they had footrace to Scott and Blair for last place as seen in sighting

Blair's comment about not being able to win in a footrace is foreshadowing  :hearts:

Offline Platrium

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #926 on: March 16, 2016, 08:52:22 AM »
Tyler and Korey definitely won't come 2nd in Georgia because they had footrace to Scott and Blair for last place as seen in sighting
How did I miss that? ???


Offline Nyoman_SB1

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #927 on: March 17, 2016, 11:07:49 AM »
I wonder what happened to the last 3 eliminations, especially to Brodie & Kurt's. ??? Such a strong team like them were eliminated before the F3.

maybe there was W-turn in leg 10 and Brodie/Kurt got W-turned because they are strong team. We have 5 teams racing In leg 10 and the second W-turn usually appear at top 5


Brodie and Kurt have only one less second place finish than Tyler and Korey, they could be the team with the most second place finishes that is eliminated in China.

If that's the case, then Zach and Rachel and Burnie and Ashley were eliminated in Bali while Brodie and Kurt were eliminated in China.

I'm pretty sure that Brodie & Kurt were eliminated in Bali, leg 10
« Last Edit: March 17, 2016, 07:36:10 PM by Nyoman_SB1 »

Offline claude_24hrs

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #928 on: March 17, 2016, 10:12:48 PM »
I wonder what happened to the last 3 eliminations, especially to Brodie & Kurt's. ??? Such a strong team like them were eliminated before the F3.

maybe there was W-turn in leg 10 and Brodie/Kurt got W-turned because they are strong team. We have 5 teams racing In leg 10 and the second W-turn usually appear at top 5


Brodie and Kurt have only one less second place finish than Tyler and Korey, they could be the team with the most second place finishes that is eliminated in China.

If that's the case, then Zach and Rachel and Burnie and Ashley were eliminated in Bali while Brodie and Kurt were eliminated in China.

I'm pretty sure that Brodie & Kurt were eliminated in Bali, leg 10

Proof there is an indication of the U-Turn in Bali?

Offline Platrium

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #929 on: March 18, 2016, 06:00:26 AM »
I wonder what happened to the last 3 eliminations, especially to Brodie & Kurt's. ??? Such a strong team like them were eliminated before the F3.

maybe there was W-turn in leg 10 and Brodie/Kurt got W-turned because they are strong team. We have 5 teams racing In leg 10 and the second W-turn usually appear at top 5


Brodie and Kurt have only one less second place finish than Tyler and Korey, they could be the team with the most second place finishes that is eliminated in China.

If that's the case, then Zach and Rachel and Burnie and Ashley were eliminated in Bali while Brodie and Kurt were eliminated in China.

I'm pretty sure that Brodie & Kurt were eliminated in Bali, leg 10

Proof there is an indication of the U-Turn in Bali?

U-turns are common towards the end of the race, but was there proof that we've seen one in Bali this season? ??? I don't remember seeing the design, because I wonder if they changed it, like the speedbump. ???


Offline ovalorange

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #930 on: March 19, 2016, 08:00:11 PM »
There doesn't need to be proof of a U-turn in Bali, this is the spec thread :lol: But I agree with Nyoman, at this stage I'd think there's a good possibility Kurt and Brodie are U-turned out.

Also, it's clear from this y'all need to go back and read the spoilers more thoroughly!

Offline Zack.

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #931 on: March 20, 2016, 10:56:13 PM »
Super bored, so presenting my standard single contribution this season. I was ~*inspired*~ by ovalorange just now so I took a look at the timeline for the next few legs:

We've got Tyler spotted in ATH at some point on 25 Nov. There's conveniently a nonstop flight from Athens to Yerevan on Wednesdays that would probably be favored over additional connections in Moscow or Kiev, so I'm guessing he and Korey (and probably everyone else) were on

A3 821 GVA ATH 1625 2010
A3 932 ATH EVN 2340 0320 (26th)

Thanks to bottle we know teams arrived via train in Tbilisi on 27 Nov and someone (Slowhatch maybe?) figured out that that train was an overnight

#372 Yerevan to Tbilisi 2130 0750 (27th)

Most curiously is that every place I've found only said that 372 only operates on even days, which suggests that production would definitely want teams to make that train.

The question then becomes 'how can seven teams run a leg AND have a Pit Stop in ~18 hours', given that production tends to have longer than 12 hour Pit Stops usually? If you answered next leg is a KOR then I agree ^_^. This might also explain why Blair has a Pit Stop interview right across from the train station in Tbilisi; much like with Manila in 25 and Huanchaco in 26 there's a giant gap of time between teams checking in and teams leaving on the same form of transportation which would be enough time to film confessionals (or the Pit Stop could be by the train station but I like my idea still lol).

Offline claude_24hrs

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #932 on: March 21, 2016, 12:26:30 AM »
Super bored, so presenting my standard single contribution this season. I was ~*inspired*~ by ovalorange just now so I took a look at the timeline for the next few legs:

We've got Tyler spotted in ATH at some point on 25 Nov. There's conveniently a nonstop flight from Athens to Yerevan on Wednesdays that would probably be favored over additional connections in Moscow or Kiev, so I'm guessing he and Korey (and probably everyone else) were on

A3 821 GVA ATH 1625 2010
A3 932 ATH EVN 2340 0320 (26th)

Thanks to bottle we know teams arrived via train in Tbilisi on 27 Nov and someone (Slowhatch maybe?) figured out that that train was an overnight

#372 Yerevan to Tbilisi 2130 0750 (27th)

Most curiously is that every place I've found only said that 372 only operates on even days, which suggests that production would definitely want teams to make that train.

The question then becomes 'how can seven teams run a leg AND have a Pit Stop in ~18 hours', given that production tends to have longer than 12 hour Pit Stops usually? If you answered next leg is a KOR then I agree ^_^. This might also explain why Blair has a Pit Stop interview right across from the train station in Tbilisi; much like with Manila in 25 and Huanchaco in 26 there's a giant gap of time between teams checking in and teams leaving on the same form of transportation which would be enough time to film confessionals (or the Pit Stop could be by the train station but I like my idea still lol).

Zack, the start of leg 6 is more likely teams will go back to Geneva and take a taxi to Geneva International Airport. Just what will do a mobile Pit Stop transporting the teams from Chamonix to Geneva for Pit Start somewhere in the city (maybe Broken Chair) to hold their clue and heading to Yerevan.

The list for leg 6 would be:

Mobile Pit Stop from Chamonix to Geneva (just what did in TAR 18 Leg 2 MPS from Broken Hill to Sydney)
Pit Start in Geneva
Taxi or Train to Geneva Airport
Fly to Yerevan, Armenia

At least Wyoming in 8, Moscow in 9 and Beijing 1 in 14 were technically KORs but they did as double-legs which the real 300th leg did in TAR 25 leg 7.

As so, the KOR twist was first debuted in TAR 18, though Sydney, Lijiang, Brussels 1, Christchurch, Lofoten, Zambia/Zimbabwe and Paris existed as KORs.
« Last Edit: March 21, 2016, 12:36:59 AM by claude_24hrs »

Offline Slowhatch

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #933 on: March 21, 2016, 02:14:37 AM »
This is the closest thing I could find for an official timetable.

Offline claude_24hrs

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #934 on: March 23, 2016, 12:31:40 AM »
Sunrise and sunset in Yerevan on the dates shown below where teams actually visited the race:

DateSunriseSunset
November 257:58 am/7:585:39 pm/17:39
November 267:59 am/7:595:39 pm/17:39
« Last Edit: March 23, 2016, 01:50:29 AM by claude_24hrs »


Offline Tallguy700

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #935 on: March 24, 2016, 04:05:05 PM »
So judging by the timeline & sightings, I'm guessing the bootlist is:
Leg 6: Scott & Blair NEL'd or last & KOR
Leg 7: Scott & Blair eliminated - 7th
Leg 8: Sheri & Cole NEL'd
Leg 9: Brodie & Kurt eliminated - 6th
Leg 10: Zach & Rachel eliminated - 5th
Leg 11: Burnie & Ashley eliminated - 4th
F3: Tyler & Korey, Sheri & Cole, Dana & Matt
  :spy:

Offline Marionete

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #936 on: March 24, 2016, 04:21:48 PM »
Why is it necessarily them last on leg 6, if it's a NEL/KOR?

Offline Tallguy700

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #937 on: March 24, 2016, 04:38:04 PM »
Because if it's them against Tyler & Korey for last, I don't see Blair outrunning them. Judging by Blair's live tweets it seems she's the slower one, so she probably slowed them down. Of course, that's just my speculation.

Offline ianthebalance

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #938 on: March 24, 2016, 04:56:29 PM »
Because if it's them against Tyler & Korey for last, I don't see Blair outrunning them. Judging by Blair's live tweets it seems she's the slower one, so she probably slowed them down. Of course, that's just my speculation.

Couldn't that have been leg 7 also? Or is there some info I don't know about that shows that was Yerevan and not Tsibili?

Offline Zack.

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #939 on: March 24, 2016, 06:58:14 PM »
If anything Tyler & Korey having to run against Scott & Blair despite being better at basically every task would suggest they were slowed down in some way (say, an extra task?).

Also technically we don't know in what order Brodie & Kurt / Zach & Rachel / Burnie & Ashley are eliminated however:
a.) we know Burnie & Ashley race in leg 10 (pic of Ashley doing leg 10 RB) and
b.) if the "team with five second places in a row" was eliminated in leg 11, then the first of those five would be in leg 7 (thus, whoever finishes 2nd next leg finishes 4th overall)

Offline gamerfan09

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #940 on: March 24, 2016, 07:27:44 PM »
Why is it necessarily them last on leg 6, if it's a NEL/KOR?

Sheri & Cole look last the next leg? We see Sheri crying at what looks like the Roadblock and we hear Blair wishing her luck.

If anything, I think next week ends with Sheri crying and then "TO BE CONTINUED".

Offline RaceUntilWeDie

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #941 on: March 24, 2016, 08:24:38 PM »
Why is it necessarily them last on leg 6, if it's a NEL/KOR?

Sheri & Cole look last the next leg? We see Sheri crying at what looks like the Roadblock and we hear Blair wishing her luck.

If anything, I think next week ends with Sheri crying and then "TO BE CONTINUED".
...Where is this?

Offline gamerfan09

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #942 on: March 24, 2016, 08:26:25 PM »
Why is it necessarily them last on leg 6, if it's a NEL/KOR?

Sheri & Cole look last the next leg? We see Sheri crying at what looks like the Roadblock and we hear Blair wishing her luck.

If anything, I think next week ends with Sheri crying and then "TO BE CONTINUED".
...Where is this?

The Mid-Season Preview.

Offline RaceUntilWeDie

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #943 on: March 24, 2016, 08:27:14 PM »
Ooh. Somehow, I never heard Blair in the background until now.

Offline Nyoman_SB1

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #944 on: March 24, 2016, 10:36:25 PM »
So judging by the timeline & sightings, I'm guessing the bootlist is:
Leg 6: Scott & Blair NEL'd or last & KOR
Leg 7: Scott & Blair eliminated - 7th
Leg 8: Sheri & Cole NEL'd
Leg 9: Brodie & Kurt eliminated - 6th
Leg 10: Zach & Rachel eliminated - 5th

Leg 11: Burnie & Ashley eliminated - 4th
F3: Tyler & Korey, Sheri & Cole, Dana & Matt
  :spy:

Brodie and Kurt were spotted in leg 10 by Bali team, so they are 5th and Zach/Rachel are 6th  :)


Offline claude_24hrs

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #945 on: March 26, 2016, 07:04:12 AM »
The possibility of teams leaving Switzerland on the 24th (which could be the earliest), and the flights from Geneva to Yerevan, Armenia:

Swiss (LX) 2817 to Zurich, 1831 (11/24) - 1919 (11/24) (scheduled 1830-1925)
Swiss (LX) 1324 to Moscow Domodedovo, 2059 (11/24) - 0218 (11/25) (scheduled 2100-0225+1)
S7 909 to Yerevan, 1015 (11/25) - 1345 (11/25) (scheduled 1005-1400)

In which they could make it on time as sun rose on Yerevan in the 25th was 5:39 pm (1739) local time.

Phil, Bertram, Elise and production crew:

Aeroflot (SU) 2381 to Moscow Sheremetyevo, 1307 (11/24) - 1858 (11/24) (scheduled 1310-1845)
Aeroflot (SU) 1866 to Yerevan, 2143 (11/24) - 0120 (11/25) (scheduled 2125-0120+1)
« Last Edit: March 26, 2016, 07:08:52 AM by claude_24hrs »

Offline BritishTARFan

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #946 on: March 26, 2016, 09:43:25 AM »
The possibility of teams leaving Switzerland on the 24th (which could be the earliest), and the flights from Geneva to Yerevan, Armenia:

Swiss (LX) 2817 to Zurich, 1831 (11/24) - 1919 (11/24) (scheduled 1830-1925)
Swiss (LX) 1324 to Moscow Domodedovo, 2059 (11/24) - 0218 (11/25) (scheduled 2100-0225+1)
S7 909 to Yerevan, 1015 (11/25) - 1345 (11/25) (scheduled 1005-1400)

In which they could make it on time as sun rose on Yerevan in the 25th was 5:39 pm (1739) local time.

Phil, Bertram, Elise and production crew:

Aeroflot (SU) 2381 to Moscow Sheremetyevo, 1307 (11/24) - 1858 (11/24) (scheduled 1310-1845)
Aeroflot (SU) 1866 to Yerevan, 2143 (11/24) - 0120 (11/25) (scheduled 2125-0120+1)

I think you need a Russian visa to connect through Moscow so racers may not be allowed. Also teams were spotted connecting through Athens

Offline claude_24hrs

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #947 on: March 26, 2016, 09:51:31 AM »
The possibility of teams leaving Switzerland on the 24th (which could be the earliest), and the flights from Geneva to Yerevan, Armenia:

Swiss (LX) 2817 to Zurich, 1831 (11/24) - 1919 (11/24) (scheduled 1830-1925)
Swiss (LX) 1324 to Moscow Domodedovo, 2059 (11/24) - 0218 (11/25) (scheduled 2100-0225+1)
S7 909 to Yerevan, 1015 (11/25) - 1345 (11/25) (scheduled 1005-1400)

In which they could make it on time as sun rose on Yerevan in the 25th was 5:39 pm (1739) local time.

Phil, Bertram, Elise and production crew:

Aeroflot (SU) 2381 to Moscow Sheremetyevo, 1307 (11/24) - 1858 (11/24) (scheduled 1310-1845)
Aeroflot (SU) 1866 to Yerevan, 2143 (11/24) - 0120 (11/25) (scheduled 2125-0120+1)

I think you need a Russian visa to connect through Moscow so racers may not be allowed. Also teams were spotted connecting through Athens

The thing is the flights between Moscow (Domodedovo, Sheremetyevo and Vnukovo) to Yerevan are direct within daily flights. Flights from Athens to Yerevan occur twice a week.

Offline georgiapeach

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #948 on: March 26, 2016, 10:31:09 AM »
It doesn't matter how often the flights are Claude. WE KNOW at least some teams connected through ATHENS. Because of the Visa issues, it IS a possibility that ALL connected in Athens.

I would use the Athens flights for now.
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Offline Zack.

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Re: TAR 28 Speculation and Discussion of **SPOILERS**
« Reply #949 on: March 26, 2016, 01:51:40 PM »
We've got Tyler spotted in ATH at some point on 25 Nov. There's conveniently a nonstop flight from Athens to Yerevan on Wednesdays that would probably be favored over additional connections in Moscow or Kiev, so I'm guessing he and Korey (and probably everyone else) were on

A3 821 GVA ATH 1625 2010
A3 932 ATH EVN 2340 0320 (26th)


#justsaying