Author Topic: TAR 19 Locations/Destinations **Spoilers**  (Read 177519 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Prophet

  • TarKonian Game Host
  • RFF Frantic Poster
  • *****
  • Posts: 8141
  • ∞∞
Re: TAR 19 Locations/Destinations **Spoilers**
« Reply #325 on: November 28, 2011, 04:32:48 PM »
:lol3:
Physics alone is not enough.

Those who forget history are sure to repeat it.

Offline tarflyonthewall

  • RFF Frantic Poster
  • *****
  • Posts: 520
Re: TAR 19 Locations/Destinations **Spoilers**
« Reply #326 on: December 09, 2011, 12:32:55 AM »
I suppose this is the best place to discuss this now that we're no longer "pre-race", but from the pre-race spec thread way back in May:

Quote
I could see them doing a leg in southern Africa. Maybe not South Africa specifically, but since it's only the northern countries that are affected at the moment it's very plausible South Africa or Namibia or Malawi or something could turn up.

If they do go to South America, I'd hope for Paraguay (the only non-Caribbean-bordering country still yet to appear), but with Brazil in TAR18 I think Argentina's most likely.

Europe? Hmmm. PIIGS are out since the governments won't spend money bringing the show to them, and we've seen most of the remaining western Europe countries in the past four seasons (by my count only Belgium, Denmark, and the micronations are left), so I'd expect an eastern European country, if any. Probably a new one, since no eastern European countries have been repeated yet (assuming you count Austria as "western"), and hopefully a Balkan state. Serbia's plausible, as is Albania, or maybe even Bulgaria.

Asia's harder. Since Family Edition, either China or Japan has been done in every race except 13, but 18 was the first to have them both, so maybe we might skip them this time? But it's hard to find any regions they haven't hit recently. Kazakhstan was apparently a real pain the first time, so I don't think we're going back or to any other country nearby (all with even worse infrastructure, and some not safe for women in particular). The Middle East is especially Not Safe Right Now, and we've done India and the neighbouring countries twice in the past two seasons, so they're most likely out. South-East Asia's a mainstay, but aside from three new countries (Indonesia, Laos, and Brunei), they've all been done in the past 5 seasons.

In summary, I suspect we'll get about 8 or 9 countries, probably containing at least one Central/South American country (probably Argentina and one other); South Africa (and possibly a country nearby); at least one country that was part of Yugoslavia; at least one of Thailand/Indonesia/Laos/Philippines, probably two; and a North American country.

So, that's Malawi correct, a North/Central American country correct (Panama), Thailand and Indonesia correct, skipping both China and India correct, AND Argentina and Paraguay kind-of correct for TAR20. Is there a "TAR Detective"-like handle available for amazing spec? :P


Offline apskip

  • Geographer Extraordinaire
  • TAR Detectives
  • RFF Frantic Poster
  • *****
  • Posts: 6189
Re: TAR 19 Locations/Destinations **Spoilers**
« Reply #327 on: December 09, 2011, 10:25:40 AM »
I suppose this is the best place to discuss this now that we're no longer "pre-race", but from the pre-race spec thread way back in May:

Quote
I could see them doing a leg in southern Africa. Maybe not South Africa specifically, but since it's only the northern countries that are affected at the moment it's very plausible South Africa or Namibia or Malawi or something could turn up.

If they do go to South America, I'd hope for Paraguay (the only non-Caribbean-bordering country still yet to appear), but with Brazil in TAR18 I think Argentina's most likely.

Europe? Hmmm. PIIGS are out since the governments won't spend money bringing the show to them, and we've seen most of the remaining western Europe countries in the past four seasons (by my count only Belgium, Denmark, and the micronations are left), so I'd expect an eastern European country, if any. Probably a new one, since no eastern European countries have been repeated yet (assuming you count Austria as "western"), and hopefully a Balkan state. Serbia's plausible, as is Albania, or maybe even Bulgaria.

Asia's harder. Since Family Edition, either China or Japan has been done in every race except 13, but 18 was the first to have them both, so maybe we might skip them this time? But it's hard to find any regions they haven't hit recently. Kazakhstan was apparently a real pain the first time, so I don't think we're going back or to any other country nearby (all with even worse infrastructure, and some not safe for women in particular). The Middle East is especially Not Safe Right Now, and we've done India and the neighbouring countries twice in the past two seasons, so they're most likely out. South-East Asia's a mainstay, but aside from three new countries (Indonesia, Laos, and Brunei), they've all been done in the past 5 seasons.

In summary, I suspect we'll get about 8 or 9 countries, probably containing at least one Central/South American country (probably Argentina and one other); South Africa (and possibly a country nearby); at least one country that was part of Yugoslavia; at least one of Thailand/Indonesia/Laos/Philippines, probably two; and a North American country.

So, that's Malawi correct, a North/Central American country correct (Panama), Thailand and Indonesia correct, skipping both China and India correct, AND Argentina and Paraguay kind-of correct for TAR20. Is there a "TAR Detective"-like handle available for amazing spec? :P
tarflyonthewall,
It's really better for a third party to grade your performance on your AR19 predictions. So I volunteer the following, taking into account the difficulty of your prediction coming true as well:

South Africa/Namibia/Malawi +

Paraguay/Brazil                     0

Belgium/Denmark                   + a particularly difficult prediction; you didn't predict both but you get extra credit

Eastern Europe                      0 a bold prediction that did not come true

No China or Japan                  +

No India or Middle East          +

some of Thailand/Indonesia/Laos/Philippines + actually 4 legs in 2 of those countries so you get extra credit

Central/South America, probably Argentina    + that's a huge area, so this is not a high risk prediction

North America (which of course overlaps with Central America) + but can you claim credit twice?

If we look at the actual route, you did not mention Taiwan and did not mention Panama specifically, but you did predict all other countries on the AR19 route. That makes it an extraordinary prediction. I give you an A+.