The Amazing Race > The Amazing Race Discussion
Ranking the Teams -- A basis for comparing all teams (TAR 1 - 33)
theschnauzers:
Leaderboard trends after leg 9:
--- Code: ---Placement Averages (in order by most recent three legs)
Leg 7 Leg 8 Leg 9 Trend Final Placement
Line Average
Kurt-Brodie 2.1428 2.0000 2.3333 steady
Tyler-Korey 2.8571 2.8750 2.6666 steady
Burnie-Ashley 3.7142 3.5000 3.3333 rising slowly
Dana-Matt 3.2857 3.5000 3.5555 falling slowly
Sheri-Cole 7.0000 6.8750 6.4444 rising slowly
28-06 Zach-Rachel 4.6666
28-07 Scott-Blair 7.4285
28-08 Erin-Joslyn 7.2000
28-09 Jessica-Brittany 7.0000
28-10 Cameron-Darius 8.0000
28-11 Marty-Hagan 9.5000
--- End code ---
I've used the trend word of "steady" to describe three teams that are staying within a narrow range; and the other two teams are rising, but very slowly.
As to a projection of the finishing placement average for the final three teams, I have computed a range from the best possible finishing average to the lowest. It's apparent that leg 10 will end in an elimination, and the final elimination would be either at the end of leg 11 or at a point early in leg 12. For all practical purposes, I treat those the same way in computing a range of possible finishing averages, the difference, as shown below, is that a team could finish fourth in leg 11, and not be eliminated at the elimination point in leg 12; thus both are shown below.
At this point the ranges are as follows:
--- Code: --- Best Worse Worse
Current [leg 9] Possible Finish Possible Finish Possible Finish
(Final 3) (Final 3)(4th on leg 11)(Final 3)(4th on leg 12)
[1st- 1st -1st] [4th -3rd - 3rd ] [4th - 4th - 3rd ]
Kurt-Brodie 21/9 2.3333 24/12 2.0000 31/12 2.5833 32/12 2.6666
Tyler-Korey 24/9 2.6666 27/12 2.2500 34/12 2.8333 35/12 2.9166
Burnie-Ashley 30/9 3.3333 33/12 2.7500 40/12 3.3333 41/12 3.4166
Dana-Matt 32/9 3.5555 35/12 2.9166 42/12 3.5000 43/12 3.5833
Sheri-Cole 58/9 6.4444 61/12 5.0833 68/12 5.6666 69/12 5.7500
--- End code ---
theschnauzers:
fixed error in previous post
--- Code: ---Placement Averages (in order by most recent three legs)
Leg 8 Leg 9 Leg 10 Trend Final Placement
Line Average
Tyler-Korey 2.8750 2.6666 2.5000 rising slowly
Burnie-Ashley 3.5000 3.3333 3.2000 rising slowly
Dana-Matt 3.5000 3.5555 3.5000 steady
Sheri-Cole 6.8750 6.4444 6.2000 rising slowly
28-05 Kurt-Brodie 2.6000
28-06 Zach-Rachel 4.6666
28-07 Scott-Blair 7.4285
28-08 Erin-Joslyn 7.2000
28-09 Jessica-Brittany 7.0000
28-10 Cameron-Darius 8.0000
28-11 Marty-Hagan 9.5000
--- End code ---
theschnauzers:
post leg 11 trend analysis:
For the record, there's no overlap of the ranges of final placement averages for the final three teams. Ought to be interesting to see how luck plays a part in the final leg this season:
--- Code: ---Placement Averages (in order by most recent three legs)
Leg 9 Leg 10 Leg 11 Trend Final Placement
Line Average
Tyler-Korey 2.6666 2.5000 2.3636 rising slowly
Dana-Matt 3.5555 3.5000 3.3636 rising slowly
Sheri-Cole 6.4444 6.2000 5.9090 rising slowly
28-04 Burnie-Ashley 3.2727
28-05 Kurt-Brodie 2.6000
28-06 Zach-Rachel 4.6666
28-07 Scott-Blair 7.4285
28-08 Erin-Joslyn 7.2000
28-09 Jessica-Brittany 7.0000
28-10 Cameron-Darius 8.0000
28-11 Marty-Hagan 9.5000
--- End code ---
theschnauzers:
Final placement averages for season 28:
--- Code: ---Final Placement Average
28-01 Dana-Matt 38/12 3.1666
28-02 Sheri-Cole 67/12 5.5833
28-03 Tyler-Korey 29/12 2.4166
28-04 Burnie-Ashley 36/11 3.2727
25-05 Kurt-Brodie 26/10 2.6000
28-06 Zach-Rachel 42/9 4.6666
26-07 Scott-Blair 52/7 7.4285
28-08 Erin-Joslyn 36/5 7.2000
28-09 Jessica-Brittany 28/4 7.0000
28-10 Cameron-Darius 24/3 8.0000
28-11 Marty-Hagan 19/2 9.5000
--- End code ---
These will be used in the O.P. of the other thread with the master list of team placements from TAR 1 to 28; that takes a little time because the every ten team spacing has to be manually reset every season to incorporate new teams, and because of the conventions I use for team placements with the same averages.
theschnauzers:
Update through season 29 is on its way.Will be posted prior to the TAR 30 premiere on January 3, 2018.
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