Heres what TDT posted ~~REWARD CHALLENGE:
Trivia/ Nakum wins letters from home?
Parts of this challenge were shown in the post-Ep3 TV preview, where it was edited to suggest the switch occurs here. But we think that's actually at the IC. This is just a plain old trivia quiz/ mental challenge for reward (as Probst warned, voting people out purely for strength is risky, so immediately following we see a mental challenge). As you might expect, Bobby Jon doesn't look pleased.
But fear not, his tribe wins anyway. We see Margaret gasping at the challenge, then in the same clothes, crying with a slightly different background behind her. We also see Judd uh... "not" crying. We expect that this reward will be something similar to the Vanuatu one, where the yellow tribe won coffee and letters from home. Ho hum. Switch, IMMUNITY CHALLENGE:
Canoe race, etc./ Nakum wins?
With Nakum enjoying another (reward) challenge win, looks like time to switch things up. Who gets switched? The web promo shows us a lot.
Some are clear: Rafe and Steph are shown together at the IC lake, with Rafe gasping. Later, Rafe is visible in a yellow canoe.
In the other canoe, which appears to be blue, Blake is present. So Blake and Rafe switch teams (biancaxxx also saw this, and posted it at MeSS).
Does Steph too? Yep, she's shown with a yellow buff around her waist. And then there's Jamie... shown in the web promo with what appears to be a blue buff on his head. But as the video moves, some of the blue slips onto his forehead, and some yellow peeks out on the other side. Whoops! Once this airs on TV, it should be more obvious. Who gets switched to Yaxha? Well, for the possibility of a tie, there must be 4 ex-Nakums there. So in addition to Blake, we think we hear Danni's voice directly asking Gary (at Yaxha camp) about his ("No! I swear!") NFL career. Danni's also featured in the RC shots (as is Jamie), which are usually clues for who's switched. For the other two, then, we'd guess Margaret and Judd, who are all over the promos. But there's no real evidence for or against there.
As for the IC, it looks very similar to the Ep1 IC, since racing canoes to retrieve objects from the lake appears to be involved. There is also some sort of throwing (spears? paddles?) stage involved, presumably using the objects picked up on the lake. Who wins? Well, since we see Gary back at Yaxha camp, getting the third degree about his football days, and a slightly drawling woman (who is not Amy, Steph or Lydia) asking him about it, we're guessing Yaxha loses, yet again. Because the post-IC action always follows the losing tribe back to their camp, as they prepare to vote someone out at TC. And Gary is the red herring this particular time.
BOOT/ Blake? Brian? Amy?
Clearly, our attempts to follow previously-useful patterns of CBS editing to find the bootee the last two weeks have been spectacularly bad. So we'll try something new this time.
There's one set of clues that's worked at times last season, and seems to still work this season, at least so far. While it probably won't work again, now that we're pointing out, it should at least be good for this episode: Simply, who is shown when Probst is speaking at the end of tribal council is important. And what he says when they're shown is important too. For the boot, Brianna was the last person shown as Probst gave his parting words ("didn't see it coming"). The three below all had significant edits at previous TCs, and all end up on Yaxha this week:
TDT credits this person XbaIanque
For the Blake spoiler so there maybe something to it ..
Overall, we think Blake is the most likely to be booted. Clearly, the Gary storyline is the focus for the episode, and will probably be the red herring heading into tribal council. Since Brian is shown flipping his head back and forth multiple times in the ads, he's probably the person getting pulled by the tie-vs-betrayal options. As such, he's unlikely to be a vote target (this week). He and Danni have previously talked about Gary, now's the time, in theory, to put the "Gary lied!" story into action. Amy sounds like she's sticking with Gary. Gary's not voting for himself, and if Lydia is there, she won't vote for Gary, either. The ex-Nakums will all happily vote for Gary, since he's a strong guy from the other tribe. That leaves Brian in the middle. We're guessing he chooses not to betray Gary, there's a tie, and Blake leaves.
(And then Brian, after the Nakums get mad that he promised to vote off Gary, then changed his mind, will likely be next).http://truedorktimes.com/survivor_guatemala/spoilers/index.htm