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Offline Dom

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TAR 21 Predictions
« on: May 19, 2012, 01:50:34 AM »
Okay so with TAR 21 confirmed and next to hit our screens, what do you guys think will happen? This is the thread to post all your predictions about the race, so you can look back and go 'I told you so!'

Personally I think we're going to see long overdue visits to Spain, New Zealand and Malta and perhaps even a new country in Africa like Gambia!


Offline supah

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2012, 02:08:04 AM »
YAY! I'm so glad you made this thread  :)

LOCATIONS
- a FOUR continent race, which i think will go
*North America-Europe-Africa-Asia-North America (my best guess is that THIS will be the route of TAR21)
OR
*North America-Oceania-Asia-Europe-Central America/North America
- starting line in LA area
- the first stop will either be New Zealand OR Europe
- at least ONE leg in China
- at least TWO legs in a Mediterranean nation(s) (e.g. Portugal, Spain, Malta, Italy, Greece, Turkey)
- if the race goes to Africa, my best bet is Morocco
- first time visit to a Yugoslavian nation (Serbia OR Slovenia)
- first time visit to Laos
- a NEW final city
- in total at least THREE NEW COUNTRIES
- the countries i have strong feeling this race will visit are Serbia, Laos and China

TEAMS
- at least TWO generational teams (i.e. parent/child, grandparent/grandchild)
- at least one African-American team
- THREE FF teams
- ONE recruited team
- at least TWO mactor teams
- a beauty queen contestant

what does everyone else think???
« Last Edit: May 19, 2012, 02:52:37 AM by supah3ro »

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Offline Declive

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2012, 07:23:15 AM »
Nordic Area.
Oh my gravy , Jet and Cord are still the best!

addie

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2012, 07:45:18 AM »
What I think could happen:

Leg 1: USA (New York) - Spain (Madrid)
Leg 2: Spain (Andulusia)
Leg 3: Spain - Morocco (Tangier)
Leg 4: Morocco - France - Monaco (Monte Carlo, Nice)
Leg 5: Monaco - France - Turkey (Istanbul)
Leg 6: Turkey (Cappadocia)
Leg 7: Turkey - China (Chengdu)
Leg 8: China - Nepal (Kathmandu)
Leg 9: Nepal (Mount Everest region)
Leg 10: Nepal - New Zealand (Christchurch)
Leg 11: New Zealand - Canada (Vancouver)
Leg 12: Canada - USA (Salt Lake City)

Agreed with supah3ro

Offline Prophet

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2012, 07:48:43 AM »
It's time for them to go back to China, I think northern China or Russia. I also don't expect to see South America again. I predict another route where they go to the far east first and work around to a U.S. east coast finale.
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Offline bcp19

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2012, 08:22:31 AM »
I don't think they will have a recruited team due to there not being a recent show finish to draw from.  I ran across this article: http://www.realityblurred.com/realitytv/archives/the_amazing_race_13/2008_Dec_04_casting_former_survivors  While the article is a bit dated, it seems very unlikely that you'd have the 'Russell Hantz/Evil Dick' teamup that keeps hitting twitter.

Offline choroneko

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2012, 08:23:25 AM »
Europe will be the first destination. Spain or France will be the first country. And a first time visit to a former Soviet state.
China will be visited, Southern China (Sichuan/Chongqing/Guangdong/Hainan).
Australia (anywhere other than Sydney) or New Zealand will be the last country visited.

And finally, a M/M team winner.
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Offline apskip

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2012, 09:38:00 AM »
You can see my analysis on this subject in the AR21 Transportation thread (although I do state that the analysis is more general than just for AR21). I conclude that if a race is heading west out of LAX, a potential first destination is Melbourne. If a race is heading east out of LAX a potential first destination is London.

Offline Wisnia

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2012, 09:47:29 AM »
Maybe, Poland? :>
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Offline kiki

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2012, 11:41:01 AM »
Maybe, Poland? :>

Unlikely, this June (8/6 to 1/7),  Poland and Ukraine co-host the Euro 2012 (European Football Cup), so I think that WP will avoid these countries, as well as London, because of the Olympics.
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Offline georgiapeach

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2012, 03:35:36 PM »
Just in case any of you reading spoilers slip up along the way...am going to move this to spoilerland. :lol:

Wishlists should still go in that thread, PREDICTIONS are welcome here.
"Our fans are pretty good. They don't give away too much. Sometimes people love dropping spoilers, but our fans are good. They tend to do it in such a way that doesn't ruin it for fans who don't want to know."--Phil Keoghan

Offline mjriches2005

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2012, 04:04:03 PM »
If the race began on the West Coast (not LA area) I would think the route would either go to Central America or Asia/Oceania on the first leg.  My predictions are:
Mexico (Cancun, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Queretaro, La Paz)
Costa Rica (San Jose, Liberia)
Guatemala (Tikal/Flores)
Belize
Nicaragua (Managua, Granada, Lake Nicaragua)
China (Hainan Island, Guangzhou, Hong Kong, Harbin, Macau)
South Korea (Seoul or Busan)
Philippines (Manila, Palawan, Laoag City)
New Zealand (Auckland, Wellington, South Island)
Australia (Melbourne or Canberra)
(For East Coast, probally Europe)
Portugal (Lisbon)
Spain (Madrid or Valencia)
France (French Riveria, Montpelier, Lyon, Toulouse)
Ireland (Dublin/County Cork)
Iceland (Reykjavik)
Norway (Tromso, Trondheim, Bergen)
Scotland (Edinburgh or Loch Ness Region)
« Last Edit: May 19, 2012, 06:48:44 PM by mjriches2005 »

Offline supah

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2012, 06:19:49 PM »
I hate to say this, but I doubt this race will go to Australia/New Zealand this season, I'm positive WRP are saving Australia/New Zealand for TAR22

New Zealand and Australia are absolutely beautiful all year round, but the most ideal time to visit them is summer, and right now, its close to winter here

Also I doubt South America will be visited in TAR21, we just had 3 legs there in TAR20, and its close to winter there too which is not the ideal time to visit

so by ruling out those areas, I think we will likely have a TAR17 route OR they could make it awesome and have a TAR3 route, with Central America first THEN onto Europe  :)

Offline mjriches2005

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2012, 06:59:33 PM »
Also, despite the fact that Mexico, Israel, Philippines, and Colombia are on the State Dept Travel Warning list.  Only these certain areas are dangerous. 
Mexico (Mainly Northern Mexico and Acapulco)
Israel (The area around the Gaza Strip)
Philippines (Mindinao/Southern Philippines)
Colombia (The very rural areas outside the major cities)

Just because these places are listed as dangerous, just consider the safest areas that could be prudential for the race to visit.

Offline weihen

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2012, 07:16:57 PM »
I think northern China may be visited this season,I always want them to visit Shaolin Temple...Xi'An maybe visited again...

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Offline Airlines

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #15 on: May 20, 2012, 12:40:40 AM »
MELBOURNE!!!
and,
NZ!!!
don't forget
THE FREAKING MEDITTERENEAN (GREECE)

Sorry, I have really strong views.
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Offline Airlines

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #16 on: May 20, 2012, 12:50:51 AM »
Europe will be the first destination. Spain or France will be the first country. And a first time visit to a former Soviet state.
China will be visited, Southern China (Sichuan/Chongqing/Guangdong/Hainan).
Australia (anywhere other than Sydney) or New Zealand will be the last country visited.

And finally, a M/M team winner.

First time to a Soviet state? What about Estonia, Lithuania, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan?
Victoria Rafaeli - BB16 champion hopefully

Offline Drake

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #17 on: May 20, 2012, 04:45:55 AM »
Europe will be the first destination. Spain or France will be the first country. And a first time visit to a former Soviet state.
France? Again? I don't think so. I think New Zealand is the first destination :)

addie

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #18 on: May 20, 2012, 04:55:58 AM »
France hasn't been used since TAR16, and their are many places they haven't been to. My pick would be a Nice/Monaco first leg.

Offline supah

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #19 on: May 20, 2012, 04:59:02 AM »
Europe will be the first destination. Spain or France will be the first country. And a first time visit to a former Soviet state.
France? Again? I don't think so. I think New Zealand is the first destination :)

this time of the year is not the best time to visit New Zealand (because its absolutely freezing), the most ideal time is Nov/Dec/Jan/Feb (when it is absolutely beautiful), and I imagine they will go their during TAR22 instead of TAR21

Offline apskip

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #20 on: May 20, 2012, 07:03:21 AM »
I was in Auckland and Rotorua, New Zealand last July. Temperatures in evenings did drop to 0 degrees Celsius in Rotorua and about 5 degrees Celsius in Auckland but were still quite pleasant. It is on the South Island that New Zealand temperatures routinely go below 0 degrees Celsius. The Amazing Race could have done even the South Island in the winter, although I certainly agree that its summers are much more pleasant.

Offline NumfarPTB

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #21 on: May 20, 2012, 07:15:39 PM »
Also I doubt South America will be visited in TAR21, we just had 3 legs there in TAR20, and its close to winter there too which is not the ideal time to visit

Not going into logistical side or even assuming it might happen, but it depends on what part of South America, they'd like to reach. Ecuador (and by extent Galapagos Island used as finish line in TAR:LA2 if I'm remembering that correctly) for example is so close to the equator line that they don't really have seasonal changes. The same could be applied to most of the countries on the northern part of the South America.

Offline apskip

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #22 on: May 20, 2012, 07:44:29 PM »
Also I doubt South America will be visited in TAR21, we just had 3 legs there in TAR20, and its close to winter there too which is not the ideal time to visit

Not going into logistical side or even assuming it might happen, but it depends on what part of South America, they'd like to reach. Ecuador (and by extent Galapagos Island used as finish line in TAR:LA2 if I'm remembering that correctly) for example is so close to the equator line that they don't really have seasonal changes. The same could be applied to most of the countries on the northern part of the South America.

I don't see it that way. Brazil is a subtropical country even in winter. Argentina's northern half (down to about Mendoza) has surprisingly mild winter temperatures. Chile well below Santiago has the same due to the effect of the Pacific Ocean. 

Offline Xarles

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #23 on: May 21, 2012, 12:33:20 AM »
Definitely Mexico deserves a second visit. If WRP loves bringing Elimination Station down here, why not bring the race back here again? 37 million Americans vacation here every year, why not bring down 24 more for a couple of days.

Most people don't realize how big Mexico is. It is in the world's biggest 15 with 3/4 of a million square miles and more than half of the country lies at least 500 miles away from the areas under the US "travel warning".

It seems silly to me not to visit a country with almost 50 major international airports which more than half are served by US airlines, leaded by United.

As In any other country in the world there are areas which remain "off reasonable limits" and there are many examples from all over the world, including London, Moscow, Los Angeles, Mumbai, Buenos Aires and New York.

I hope there are some intelligent people in WRP who decide to go for an Aztec, Mixtec, Zapotec, Olmec, Toltec or Mayan adventure and not only bring Elimination Station down here like if we were just a dump.

Offline Charlie90

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Re: TAR 21 Predictions
« Reply #24 on: May 21, 2012, 01:44:35 AM »
Definitely Mexico deserves a second visit. If WRP loves bringing Elimination Station down here, why not bring the race back here again? 37 million Americans vacation here every year, why not bring down 24 more for a couple of days.

Most people don't realize how big Mexico is. It is in the world's biggest 15 with 3/4 of a million square miles and more than half of the country lies at least 500 miles away from the areas under the US "travel warning".

It seems silly to me not to visit a country with almost 50 major international airports which more than half are served by US airlines, leaded by United.

As In any other country in the world there are areas which remain "off reasonable limits" and there are many examples from all over the world, including London, Moscow, Los Angeles, Mumbai, Buenos Aires and New York.

I hope there are some intelligent people in WRP who decide to go for an Aztec, Mixtec, Zapotec, Olmec, Toltec or Mayan adventure and not only bring Elimination Station down here like if we were just a dump.


I know. The travel warning is mostly in the north around here.
There is still a LOT of other places they can visit, and it's almost summer. They won't have to worry about cold temperatures.


 

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