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Author Topic: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**  (Read 142195 times)

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Offline supah

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #950 on: September 02, 2012, 02:02:57 AM »
Thanks to yykris,A cluebox spotted in Moscow

A girl found a young M/F team doing a task about unlock(pretty look like RB in Xi'An leg,S6)...and later she saw a middle-aged M/M team arriving
Never really looked into this  :(
The only famous place in Moscow where this could take place is a bridge on the Vodootvodny Canal
These 'iron trees' are layered with love padlocks, just like the location in TAR6 in Xi'an
Here's a photo of one of the trees in Moscow http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Moscow-love-padlocks.jpg
^ Notice the tiles formation in the above link is the same as in the photo of the spotted clue box, but that could just be a coincidence...


Offline georgiapeach

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #951 on: September 02, 2012, 05:44:32 AM »
Looks good!! Thanks!
"Our fans are pretty good. They don't give away too much. Sometimes people love dropping spoilers, but our fans are good. They tend to do it in such a way that doesn't ruin it for fans who don't want to know."--Phil Keoghan

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Offline TARFansurvivor

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #952 on: September 04, 2012, 12:44:20 PM »
Just spec. but could Latvia be the location after Moscow?????????????? :future :future :future :future
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Offline ianthebalance

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #953 on: September 04, 2012, 01:26:44 PM »
Just spec. but could Latvia be the location after Moscow?????????????? :future :future :future :future

 :lol3: I just posted speculation about that idea in the TAR Route thread.


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Re: TAR21 Route

« Reply #43 on: Today at 01:25:11 PM »

Quote
Modify


I think Leg 8 will be Latvia.
1. Its a new country, which every season has had so far.
2. I think they put the 2-leg countries early so they wont have to do them while in europe. Yet, to make it easy for production to stay ahead of teams, neighboring countries like Russia/Latvia and Spain/France would make sense. Just speculation though .

Offline ianthebalance

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #954 on: September 04, 2012, 01:28:12 PM »
Just spec. but could Latvia be the location after Moscow?????????????? :future :future :future :future

 :lol3: I just posted speculation about that idea in the TAR Route thread.


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Re: TAR21 Route

« Reply #43 on: Today at 01:25:11 PM »

Quote
Modify


I think Leg 8 will be Latvia.
1. Its a new country, which every season has had so far.
2. I think they put the 2-leg countries early so they wont have to do them while in europe. Yet, to make it easy for production to stay ahead of teams, neighboring countries like Russia/Latvia and Spain/France would make sense. Just speculation though .

Also, that is a simular setup to Season 10. China/Mongolia, Mauritius/Madagascar, Spain/France.


Offline Airlines

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #955 on: September 04, 2012, 06:24:17 PM »
Going off the beaten path (a bit) here, but is it possible they go to Armenia? We've got Latvia, Bulgaria, Slovakia and Slovenia, so why not Armenia? It's not going too far out of the way.
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Offline QueenofRussia

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #956 on: September 04, 2012, 11:21:29 PM »
I think the season will go like this
Leg 1 - Rob & Sheila Eliminated 11th
Leg 2 - Amy & Daniel Eliminated 10th
Leg 3 - James & Abba Eliminated 9th
Leg 4 - Gary & Will Eliminated 8th
Leg 5 - NEL
Leg 6 - Rob & Kelley Eliminated 7th
Leg 7 - NEL
Leg 8 - Brittany & Caitlin Eliminated 6th
Leg 9 - Double Leg
Leg 10 - Ryan & Abbie Eliminated 5th
Leg 11 - Nadiya & Natalie Eliminated 4th
Leg 12 - Final Three:
              . Trey & Lexie
              . Jaymes & James
              . Josh & Brent

Offline theschnauzers

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #957 on: September 04, 2012, 11:24:32 PM »
I just don't have the impression that they'd be able to squeeze in travel to another country at that point in the Race. IMHO, it's either a second leg in Russia to fly out through Moscow, or in the Netherlands.
Don't forget they have to be able to get Phil ahead of the teams and an additional country would probably use more time than is likely unaccounted for.
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Offline ianthebalance

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #958 on: September 04, 2012, 11:26:02 PM »
I just don't have the impression that they'd be able to squeeze in travel to another country at that point in the Race. IMHO, it's either a second leg in Russia to fly out through Moscow, or in the Netherlands.
Don't forget they have to be able to get Phil ahead of the teams and an additional country would probably use more time than is likely unaccounted for.

They did it in Season 10.

Offline theschnauzers

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #959 on: September 05, 2012, 12:52:26 AM »
They had more filming time in season 10 as they were filming 13 legs still/

You've got to look at the timeline of when and where the teams are known to be and how much time needs to be accounted for with a leg 8. It takes more time to film in another country for one leg, than to stay in a country and film for two legs back-to-back, probably with a real short pit stop. It's a question of logistics and production time, and Phil's as well as the teams.
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Offline DrRox

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #960 on: September 05, 2012, 01:30:44 AM »
I just don't have the impression that they'd be able to squeeze in travel to another country at that point in the Race. IMHO, it's either a second leg in Russia to fly out through Moscow, or in the Netherlands.
Don't forget they have to be able to get Phil ahead of the teams and an additional country would probably use more time than is likely unaccounted for.

Teams were seen in front of the Bolshoi Theater at ~10pm on June 8th. They were not seen again till ~10am on June 11th in front of the Amsterdam Central Train Station. That is about 58 hours of missing time. Figure in two 12 hour pit stops and that leaves about 34 hours to run a leg and travel from Moscow to Amsterdam. Of course the pit stops could be shorter, but just using 12 hours as a marker.

1) How did they get to the Amsterdam Central Train station? I am under the impression that they arrived by train, but from where.....Schipol Airport or somewhere else? Schipol is a major hub for Northwest/Delta. This means lots of Americans, especially in June, yet not one word about anyone seeing them there.

2) If they came from somewhere in Holland other than Schipol,  where was it? Well some  possibliities..northeastern Holland in the Groningen area or southwestern Holland in the Rotterdam/den Hague area, southeastern Holland at Eindhoven. All have international airports with connections to different places in eastern europe. Bremen, Germany has a large airport just to the east of Holland and teams could have transited to locations in eastern Holland from there. This could represent a 2nd leg in Holland, before teams were observed in Amsterdam.

3) Moscow direct to Schipol. There could have been a 2nd leg in the vicinity of Moscow on June 9/10 and then fly directly to Amsterdam and they were just not seen at Schipol on June 11,but later at Amsterdam Central Train station.

4) 34 hours is plenty of time to travel to a 3rd country in central/eastern Europe and run a leg and get to Holland.
« Last Edit: September 05, 2012, 01:49:18 AM by DrRox »
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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #961 on: September 05, 2012, 09:14:33 AM »
I just don't have the impression that they'd be able to squeeze in travel to another country at that point in the Race. IMHO, it's either a second leg in Russia to fly out through Moscow, or in the Netherlands.
Don't forget they have to be able to get Phil ahead of the teams and an additional country would probably use more time than is likely unaccounted for.

Teams were seen in front of the Bolshoi Theater at ~10pm on June 8th. They were not seen again till ~10am on June 11th in front of the Amsterdam Central Train Station. That is about 58 hours of missing time. Figure in two 12 hour pit stops and that leaves about 34 hours to run a leg and travel from Moscow to Amsterdam. Of course the pit stops could be shorter, but just using 12 hours as a marker.

1) How did they get to the Amsterdam Central Train station? I am under the impression that they arrived by train, but from where.....Schipol Airport or somewhere else? Schipol is a major hub for Northwest/Delta. This means lots of Americans, especially in June, yet not one word about anyone seeing them there.

2) If they came from somewhere in Holland other than Schipol,  where was it? Well some  possibliities..northeastern Holland in the Groningen area or southwestern Holland in the Rotterdam/den Hague area, southeastern Holland at Eindhoven. All have international airports with connections to different places in eastern europe. Bremen, Germany has a large airport just to the east of Holland and teams could have transited to locations in eastern Holland from there. This could represent a 2nd leg in Holland, before teams were observed in Amsterdam.

3) Moscow direct to Schipol. There could have been a 2nd leg in the vicinity of Moscow on June 9/10 and then fly directly to Amsterdam and they were just not seen at Schipol on June 11,but later at Amsterdam Central Train station.

4) 34 hours is plenty of time to travel to a 3rd country in central/eastern Europe and run a leg and get to Holland.

That's an strange coincidence, but Groningen is the same city where the Martinitoren is placed.  The Martinitoren is the tower of the RB in TAR15.

« Last Edit: October 25, 2012, 07:08:20 PM by Alenaveda »
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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #962 on: September 05, 2012, 01:03:23 PM »
I just don't have the impression that they'd be able to squeeze in travel to another country at that point in the Race. IMHO, it's either a second leg in Russia to fly out through Moscow, or in the Netherlands.
Don't forget they have to be able to get Phil ahead of the teams and an additional country would probably use more time than is likely unaccounted for.

Teams were seen in front of the Bolshoi Theater at ~10pm on June 8th. They were not seen again till ~10am on June 11th in front of the Amsterdam Central Train Station. That is about 58 hours of missing time. Figure in two 12 hour pit stops and that leaves about 34 hours to run a leg and travel from Moscow to Amsterdam. Of course the pit stops could be shorter, but just using 12 hours as a marker.

1) How did they get to the Amsterdam Central Train station? I am under the impression that they arrived by train, but from where.....Schipol Airport or somewhere else? Schipol is a major hub for Northwest/Delta. This means lots of Americans, especially in June, yet not one word about anyone seeing them there.

2) If they came from somewhere in Holland other than Schipol,  where was it? Well some  possibliities..northeastern Holland in the Groningen area or southwestern Holland in the Rotterdam/den Hague area, southeastern Holland at Eindhoven. All have international airports with connections to different places in eastern europe. Bremen, Germany has a large airport just to the east of Holland and teams could have transited to locations in eastern Holland from there. This could represent a 2nd leg in Holland, before teams were observed in Amsterdam.

3) Moscow direct to Schipol. There could have been a 2nd leg in the vicinity of Moscow on June 9/10 and then fly directly to Amsterdam and they were just not seen at Schipol on June 11,but later at Amsterdam Central Train station.

4) 34 hours is plenty of time to travel to a 3rd country in central/eastern Europe and run a leg and get to Holland.

Does anyone have timings for the sightings in Amsterdam, especially at Central Station? I managed to snag @SNKRFRK's tweet at 12.29pm local time, but I don't have an Instagram account so I'm not sure if you can get times off the photos.

But if teams were spotted just past noon, it seems like they wouldn't have just got off a plane from Moscow. The direct flights from Moscow to Amsterdam are 0535-0655 and 1045-1215 (actual arrival 1231), meaning the times don't jive with an arrival at Schiphol at 11am-noon. Connecting flights might work, but it means teams were risking very tight connection times (an hour or so) to make it on a flight to Amsterdam.

This opens up the possibility for other places for Leg 8! But neither St Petersburg nor the Baltic states work for these timings. It'd help a lot if we knew exactly when teams were at Central Station!

Ok, someone has to say it, even if it sounds crazy; but what if we're wrong about the missing leg?  We took for granted that it was in Russia or close to it.  What if our missing leg is in the Netherlands?  Just a spec...  :duno:
"When you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains--however improbable--must be the truth." --Sir Arthur Conan Doyle

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #963 on: September 05, 2012, 06:48:30 PM »
About the non logical choice of the TAR15 RB as a switchback because the answer is already known...

Did anybody remember the number of the pickets teams had to count to complete the Detour of the Leg in Lithuania on TAR12?
Did anybody remember the number of steps of the stone stair teams had to count to complete the Detour of the Leg in Salvador, Brazil, on TAR13?
Did anybody remember the number of statues at the temple teams had to count to complete the RB of the second Leg in Indonesia of TAR19?

Do it with the pressure of the race - the Netherlands are on the second half of the race, so any mistake make a difference -, and we could easily chose it over the other two.
I don't know why, but when I think of this, always this quote pops:

Dan:  "They do this one season and one person do it for eight hours"
Sam:  "Why on earth would you tell me that right now?"

"When you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains--however improbable--must be the truth." --Sir Arthur Conan Doyle

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Offline supah

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #964 on: September 08, 2012, 08:41:31 PM »
Thanks to yykris,A cluebox spotted in Moscow

A girl found a young M/F team doing a task about unlock(pretty look like RB in Xi'An leg,S6)...and later she saw a middle-aged M/M team arriving
Now this could be the DUMBEST theory ever, but listen up.
weihen told us that the source said it looked like the TAR6 RB in Xi’an but it was in Moscow, Russia
This could be just me, but I think that is definitely one of the most infamous Roadblocks in TAR history.

My point is, do you think it’s possible that the ‘infamous switchback in the Netherlands’ could be a dodgy CBS misprint and is supposed to be ‘infamous switchback in Russia’?

Also, the press release did not say whether this switchback Roadblock previously took place in the Netherlands last time it appeared CMIIW
So it could be an RB from any country but it’s re-appearing in the Netherlands

IDK, just putting this out there because I don’t think any of the RBs we’ve had in the Netherlands are infamous nor memorable, except TAR12’s, I remember watching that :lol3:


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Offline Chateau d If

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #965 on: September 09, 2012, 07:13:10 PM »
This shot was taken between 3:15 and 3:25 pm (assumes June 16th).



And this shot was taken between 4:12 and 4:34 (assumes June 16th).



I'd say the bungee jump at the Navy Yard follows the task at Coney Island.
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Offline georgiapeach

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #966 on: September 09, 2012, 09:37:12 PM »
Could one do a task at Coney Island and then even get to the Navy Yard in 40 minutes??  ??? There would need to be some safety stuff before a bungy, right? :duno:
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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #967 on: September 09, 2012, 10:37:23 PM »
Could one do a task at Coney Island and then even get to the Navy Yard in 40 minutes??  ??? There would need to be some safety stuff before a bungy, right? :duno:

Too many variables, Peach.  Did they complet whatever they were doing fast? Did they have a taxi waiting for them? (I guess they did) There was too much traffic between both places? If they travel by taxi, did the driver know where to go? (you know the TAR classic as much as I am, always one F3 team has cab issues) Did the people on the Bungee work fast?  :gaah:  As I said, too many variables.
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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #968 on: September 10, 2012, 08:48:51 AM »
Since you asked me to do some research about the Martinitoren in Groningen, I had send an e-mail to the Martinitoren. Someone sended me this back, so I can tell you that they haven't visited Groningen the days the race went to the Netherlands:

Quote
Goedemorgen meneer Meinderts,

Ik heb in onze agenda gekeken welke verhuringen in juni hebben plaatsgevonden, maar vind daaronder geen Amerikaanse spelshow.
Misschien kunt u iets duidelijker aangeven wat men in de Martinikerk deed of de naam van de spelshow?

Mijn aanvullende vraag is wat is de achtergrond van uw verzoek om meer informatie?

Een hartelijke groet vanuit de Martini van Tini

Tini de Haan, secretaresse van het bestuur van de
Stichting Martinikerk Groningen

Martinikerk: Ruimte voor Inspiratie
Martinikerkhof 3
9712 JG Groningen

t: 050 3111 277
w: www.martinikerk.nl

Translation:

Good morning Mr. Meinderts,

I have looked in the agenda for the rentals of June, and I haven't found any rentals of an American game show. Maybe you can be a little more specific what they did in the Martinikerk or the name of the show?

My additional question is what the background is behind this request?

Sincerely,

So we can assume that it was either the eel or the ditch vault RB.

Offline apskip

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #969 on: September 10, 2012, 12:23:45 PM »
Could one do a task at Coney Island and then even get to the Navy Yard in 40 minutes??  ??? There would need to be some safety stuff before a bungy, right? :duno:
Peach,

I will give you a different answer than Alanevada. If this were a weekday or if the direction of travel you asked about were in a different direction, then probably he is right about too complex. However, June 16 was a Saturday and except from the western part of the Belt Parkway to Coney Island it should have had reasonable traffic. The drive from Kennedy Airport to Coney Island is 15 minutes. The task itself is the unknown as it would have to be very quick. From Coney Island up to the Belt Parkway to the Brooklyn Queens Expressway to the Brooklyn Navy Yard is slightly under 30 minutes.

So, could it be done in 40 minutes? Highly unlikely with the task time at Coney Island added in. 

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #970 on: September 10, 2012, 01:25:30 PM »
Could one do a task at Coney Island and then even get to the Navy Yard in 40 minutes??  ??? There would need to be some safety stuff before a bungy, right? :duno:
Peach,

I will give you a different answer than Alanevada. If this were a weekday or if the direction of travel you asked about were in a different direction, then probably he is right about too complex. However, June 16 was a Saturday and except from the western part of the Belt Parkway to Coney Island it should have had reasonable traffic. The drive from Kennedy Airport to Coney Island is 15 minutes. The task itself is the unknown as it would have to be very quick. From Coney Island up to the Belt Parkway to the Brooklyn Queens Expressway to the Brooklyn Navy Yard is slightly under 30 minutes.

So, could it be done in 40 minutes? Highly unlikely with the task time at Coney Island added in. 
Could one do a task at Coney Island and then even get to the Navy Yard in 40 minutes??  ??? There would need to be some safety stuff before a bungy, right? :duno:
Peach,

I will give you a different answer than Alanevada. If this were a weekday or if the direction of travel you asked about were in a different direction, then probably he is right about too complex. However, June 16 was a Saturday and except from the western part of the Belt Parkway to Coney Island it should have had reasonable traffic. The drive from Kennedy Airport to Coney Island is 15 minutes. The task itself is the unknown as it would have to be very quick. From Coney Island up to the Belt Parkway to the Brooklyn Queens Expressway to the Brooklyn Navy Yard is slightly under 30 minutes.

So, could it be done in 40 minutes? Highly unlikely with the task time at Coney Island added in.

Apskip, in fact you're providing answers to one of my questions.

There was too much traffic between both places?
June 16 was a Saturday and except from the western part of the Belt Parkway to Coney Island it should have had reasonable traffic. From Coney Island up to the Belt Parkway to the Brooklyn Queens Expressway to the Brooklyn Navy Yard is slightly under 30 minutes. (I did a little Google Map research after my post, and according to GM the estimated time is 26 minutes)

And you agree with me that the key factor on this is the time, and how much of it they spend on doing the unknown task at Coney Island.
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Offline DrRox

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #971 on: September 10, 2012, 05:27:27 PM »
Since you asked me to do some research about the Martinitoren in Groningen, I had send an e-mail to the Martinitoren. Someone sended me this back, so I can tell you that they haven't visited Groningen the days the race went to the Netherlands:

Quote
Goedemorgen meneer Meinderts,

Ik heb in onze agenda gekeken welke verhuringen in juni hebben plaatsgevonden, maar vind daaronder geen Amerikaanse spelshow.
Misschien kunt u iets duidelijker aangeven wat men in de Martinikerk deed of de naam van de spelshow?

Mijn aanvullende vraag is wat is de achtergrond van uw verzoek om meer informatie?

Een hartelijke groet vanuit de Martini van Tini

Tini de Haan, secretaresse van het bestuur van de
Stichting Martinikerk Groningen

Martinikerk: Ruimte voor Inspiratie
Martinikerkhof 3
9712 JG Groningen

t: 050 3111 277
w: www.martinikerk.nl

Translation:

Good morning Mr. Meinderts,

I have looked in the agenda for the rentals of June, and I haven't found any rentals of an American game show. Maybe you can be a little more specific what they did in the Martinikerk or the name of the show?

My additional question is what the background is behind this request?

Sincerely,

So we can assume that it was either the eel or the ditch vault RB.

Thanks a bunch, addie!!!!
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Offline ianthebalance

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #972 on: September 10, 2012, 09:49:53 PM »
Since you asked me to do some research about the Martinitoren in Groningen, I had send an e-mail to the Martinitoren. Someone sended me this back, so I can tell you that they haven't visited Groningen the days the race went to the Netherlands:

Quote
Goedemorgen meneer Meinderts,

Ik heb in onze agenda gekeken welke verhuringen in juni hebben plaatsgevonden, maar vind daaronder geen Amerikaanse spelshow.
Misschien kunt u iets duidelijker aangeven wat men in de Martinikerk deed of de naam van de spelshow?

Mijn aanvullende vraag is wat is de achtergrond van uw verzoek om meer informatie?

Een hartelijke groet vanuit de Martini van Tini

Tini de Haan, secretaresse van het bestuur van de
Stichting Martinikerk Groningen

Martinikerk: Ruimte voor Inspiratie
Martinikerkhof 3
9712 JG Groningen

t: 050 3111 277
w: www.martinikerk.nl

Translation:

Good morning Mr. Meinderts,

I have looked in the agenda for the rentals of June, and I haven't found any rentals of an American game show. Maybe you can be a little more specific what they did in the Martinikerk or the name of the show?

My additional question is what the background is behind this request?

Sincerely,

So we can assume that it was either the eel or the ditch vault RB.

Please be the ditch vault roadblock :hearts: (most entertaining roadblock in the netherlands)

Offline walkingpneumonia

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #973 on: September 11, 2012, 02:29:03 PM »
Tyler Watson ‏@trexwatson

Amazing race... Spotted http://instagr.am/p/L8liqFO5O2/



^On Coney Island

I think they are trying to estimate the size of the Hamburger   :lol:



Or how much beer it would take to fill the mug at the Brooklyn Brewery?
... this is just speculation ...
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Offline couchracer

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Re: TAR 21 Speculation and Discussion **of Spoilers**
« Reply #974 on: September 11, 2012, 04:05:51 PM »
I remember the ditch vault and Grandpa Donald getting down to his skivvies (or further he said).
I also remember the two poker playing girls not being able to finish the golf or ring the bell.
Really tough with swimming in between.


 

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