Short answer: Congratulations Max & Katie for winning The Amazing Race 22!
Long answer:
Leg 5: Everyone survives, null point.
Leg 6: Everyone survives, null point.
Leg 7: I feel that Jessica & John would probably make the same mistake as Pam & Winnie, which means either of them could be eliminated. It branches off into two directions from here.
Leg 8 With JJ eliminated in Leg 7: Chyona still eliminated.
Leg 8 With Pam & Winnie eliminated in Leg 7: Chyona still eliminated.
Leg 9 With JJ eliminated in Leg 7: Moot point.
Leg 9 With Pam & Winnie eliminated in Leg 7: Moot point.
Leg 10 With JJ eliminated in Leg 7: Everything is the same, with Pam & Winnie replacing Bates & Anthony.
Leg 10 With Pam & Winnie eliminated in Leg 7: It's an even 5 way race because any of the remaining alliance (JJ/Mona & Beth/Joey & Meghan) would tell each other about the other flight, causing Caro & Jen to be eliminated.
Leg 11: With JJ eliminated in Leg 7: Pam & Winnie might have some trouble at the Roadblock, but I forecast a Caro & Jen elimination regardless.
Leg 11 with Pam & Winnie eliminated in Leg 7: Mona & Beth eliminated, because John & Jessica would find it easier to swim, being surfers.
Leg 12 with JJ eliminated in Leg 7: Caro & Jen/Pam & Winnie/Maxie F3, I predict a Maxie win, who weren't that far behind Bates & Anthony at the time.
Leg 12 with Pam & Winnie eliminated in Leg 7: Close race between Maxie and JJ, Maxie pull through barely.