What if Laurence/Zac casts in TAR 22 and Dave/Connor casts in TAR 19 instead (rule of both seasons unchanged), How will go far
to RFF, toanglobal!
If Laurence & Zac were in TAR22...
Leg 1: Most likely to survive, but has a chance to get eliminated due to the luck task on this leg.
Leg 2: Twin Doctors not knowing how to swim.
Leg 3: TBC
Leg 4: JJ,EP
Leg 5: Chynona out in 8th.
Leg 6: NEL
Leg 7: They have a chance to survive, but I don't know how this leg will go with them.
Leg 8: Chynona not here anymore, probably booting Youtube
Leg 9: NEL
Leg 10: Probably Roller Derby gets booted out.
Leg 11: CaroJen out.
F3 (assuming they survived legs 1 & 7): Maxie, Hockey, Laurence & Zac
If they didn't survive leg 1, Firefighters in gets boot Botswana, sparing Pwinnie who might make it to the F3/F4.
If they didn't survive leg 7, Pwinnie makes it to the F3/F4.
And because of the luck task, I'm not so sure who will receive the 2nd EP, since the twin docs are there to make the alliance.
If Dave & Connor were in TAR19...
Leg 1: NEL
Leg 2: I don't think Team Cancer will screw up big time, so they will most likely survive.
Leg 3: Pretty hard to tell, there was an intense footrace this leg. But just in case they survive this leg, read on...
Leg 4: NEL
Leg 5: Liz & Marie still out in 8th.
Leg 6: NEL
Leg 7: W-turn will probably remain unused here, unless Team Cancer has to make a strategic move. JJSibs still out in 7th.
Leg 8: Regardless of Team Cancer receiving the u-turn or not, I think they'll survive still. Jeremy & Sandy will finish 6th instead.
Leg 9: TBC
Leg 10: It's them or Bill & Cathi going home this leg. In case it's Bill & Cathi, read on...
Leg 11: Too hard to tell.
The F3 teams during this time got lucky.
Now if Team Cancer goes home in 10th/11th, Ethan & Jenna will either survive all the way to the F4 or will be screwed by the u-turn.
If they finish 9th, I think Kaylisa will screw up in leg 4 & 5, Liz & Marie will survive those legs instead. The twins will probably end their race in 6th or 5th. If 6th, the outcome of the race will be the same, with Ernie & Cindy winning, followed by... If 5th, Jeremy & Sandy goes home in 6th, Bill & Cathi will survive to the F4, and they could have a chance to be the oldest winners in TAR history!
If Team Cancer gets booted in leg 8, same outcome.
If they get booted out in leg 10, Bill & Cathi to the F4!